[DaveInDallas]

Margin of error...ahem.

Exactly right. The margin of error means any poll results could randomly fall within a range of values. If reality was a 50%-50% split with plus or minus 5%, either party's poll numbers could randomly fall between 45% and 55%. One day could be 53%-47% and the next day could be 47%-53%. It would show a 6% swing even though nothing's changed.

[nhwingut]

We need to look at it this way. Given the overwhelming corruptness of thee media, Romney is only down a point or two down with 38 days to go. Not exactly out of it.

And he supposedly has a war chest he is ready to unleash (although it continues to be delayed for some odd reason).

But we will see. It is not over by any means. Down 2 is nothing. Reagan was down 12 or so in mid October.

Plus anecdotally I don’t see it. I dont see any Obama stickers, yard signs etc. I feel like I am in the Iraq watching Baghdad Bob on TV. Nothing seems true.