Think of how many self-identified Democrats register that way because of their union jobs in the private sector or government employment. How they vote is a different story.
In addition, after the Bush big government fiasco, many GOP members became independents or small “L” libertarians. They won’t be thrilled voting for Romney but it is about getting Obama out of office as the greater of two evils.
Just these two groups alone should skew the numbers 10% or so towards the GOP. Factor in a depressed voter turnout for Obamessiah by his key constituencies, and it is a rout even with the voter fraud that will occur.
The election is close. Absent a serious screwup by either candidate it will remain close. It all boils down to turnout. hussein is a failed president with an incredible political machine and support of the state media. willard is a reasonably competent non-conservative with a much improved political machine. Neither inspire much enthusiasm outside of their hardcore supporters.
I think the south to a state goes for willard and the north with the possible exception of NH goes for hussein. And the election ends up being decided in the midwest.
The states to watch on the east coast are VA, FL, and PA. If PA, FL and VA go for willard, it’s over for hussein. If PA, FL and VA go for hussein, it’s over for willard. If it salts out how I think it will, PA will go for hussein, VA and FL go for willard and it’s decided in the midwest.
My Chicago-based, Jewish friend and his Jewish wife, both lifelong Democrats who voted for Obama in 2008, are voting for Romney. Need I say more? Romney is going to win this election.
Totally agree with what I believe and have been saying for some time as well.
Obama has a lead. It is rather small, and can be overcome, but he currently has a lead. If the election were held today, he would win by a margin similar to GWB back in 2004.
Romney still has time to turn things around though. The public is still deeply unsatisfied with Obama overall, they currently just don’t see Romney as a better alternative.
The debates will tell a lot. The MSM has already written their stories about how Obama dominated the debates and Romney was poorly prepared and made numerous gaffes.
If the American people can get past that spin though and actually listen to what Romney has to offer, and if he can indeed lay out a compelling alternative vision, then he WILL be our next President.
Those are big “ifs”, but it can be done.
No Republican calls Romney “Mittens”
I think he’s underpolling what I like to call the “pizzed off effect” which is going to pump up the GOP percentage significantly.
My county is 2 to 1 Democrats advantage for most elections. Last election, Obama only won by 4 votes.
I have not seen one single Obama sign - not one. Several Romney/Ryan signs on display.
In spite of the Democrat leanings our community is full of bitter clingers to guns and religion. I expect Romney/Ryan to win. Huge number of union worker support though.