There may be a 2-4% advantage for Dem voting in Nov. but 3% more Dems will vote for Romney than Republicans for Obama.
I'd put it higher than 3%, maybe 5-6%. Check out the chart in post #7, 15% of white male Dems for Romney!
I said 15% of white male Dems for Romney, I meant 15% of all white Dems.
There is no way Obama gets 10% of the GOP vote. If anything he gets 5-6%. There are going to be way fewer O-bubican votes coming down SCOAMF’S way.
On the other hand if Obama loses 10-12% of the base to Romney and loses 51-53% of Indies, it’s going to be an early, very happy night.