Posted on 10/01/2012 5:17:43 AM PDT by nhwingut
The presidential race is tight enough nationally that a strong performance in Wednesdays debate by Mitt Romney could put him in the lead.
A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Poll of likely voters shows President Barack Obama ahead 49 percent to 47 percent, a point closer than a week ago and still within the margin of error.
Romney now leads by 4 points among independents, up slightly from a week ago. The Republican must overperform with that group to make up for the near monolithic support of African-Americans for Obama, as well as the huge Democratic advantage among Latinos and women.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
The breakdown of the respondants was not good.
43D (29 strong) - 41R (23 strong) - 15I - 1O
I agree. The dems spent massively on negative advertising through the summer and the race is still very close. Romney can win this thing. The core tactical problems continue to be the facts that the press functions as Obama’s praetorian guard and that Obama’s status as the first black president insulates him from personal attack. A double standard, yes, but it’s there.
I think Romney’s best line of attack in the debates would be humor, but I don’t know if he has the knack for it. A “there you go again” line, successfully delivered, would do wonders.
thnx
I think they have been working on a “there you go again” line.
If you read the talking points coming from Obama, it’s what they fear. The O spox said the other day, “Obama will not use zingers.” In other words, we hope Romney does not either.
Insane.
The Wash Post came out with a poll showing the same result today. However, it had this tidbit and was only sampled Dem +3, which is quite reasonable. I did not like this though:
“Each candidate faces challenges in turning out their supporters on Election Day, the poll shows. Young voters are less likely than they were in 2008 to say they likely will vote, and fully 96 percent of Obama voters say they think Obama will win the election. But, overall, 63 percent of voters — including 26 percent of Romney supporters — say they think Obama will win; the leader on this measure has gone on to win every election since 1984.”
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