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Tarrance Group/Battleground Poll - Toss-up States R50%/O46%
Tarrance Group ^

Posted on 10/01/2012 5:39:45 PM PDT by profit_guy

See page 69. There are 279 pages of internals here from a very respected pollster.

(Excerpt) Read more at tarrance.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; 2012tossups

1 posted on 10/01/2012 5:39:49 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

And yet the liberal polls indicate that Obama is up in most of the battleground states.

Are they still manipulating the polls, to create the impression that Obama
Is more popular than he really is???


2 posted on 10/01/2012 5:43:45 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Of course, thats the strategy the libs are going with. Hey according to the AP Obama has already won don’t ya know..the truth is Obama is the one that is trailing, but they are hoping that if enough people believe the BS polls that Romney voters will stay home


3 posted on 10/01/2012 5:45:53 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: profit_guy

But, but, but... even Karl Rover has Obama winning Ohio and almost every other state.
The lesson here is that even if you have 10 good polls. If the other 90 have +12 Dems then your average will be way off. Republicans should just throw out any poll that has more than a +3 Dem advantage. They’re BS.


4 posted on 10/01/2012 5:48:17 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: profit_guy

Been seeing it so often I assumed it said Obama was ahead. Wow.

This race is close, that’s for sure. Not exactly who is really ahead....honestly think it’s Obama ahead by maybe 2 right now but this poll is interesting, and it’s an extremely respected pollster so who knows.


5 posted on 10/01/2012 5:50:40 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: profit_guy
If the final Tarrance Group/Battleground poll says we are going to win - we will win. If they say we are going to lose - we will lose. They have an incredible track record: Photobucket
6 posted on 10/01/2012 5:51:21 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Viennacon

Polls with D+3 or less are at least respectable. I think the real number is probably D+1.5-2 or so right now and may end up being even less for Dems IF Romney can excite people with the debate.


7 posted on 10/01/2012 5:54:24 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: Viennacon
Rove map is pure crap .
Its a collection of slanted media polls averaged together .
Its useless garbage.

Today the ABC Wash Compost poll of numerous swing states consisted of 161 voters !!
I been to bigger family reunions !

YES , that is how desperate the Obama media has gotten a headline screaming Obama ahead based on 161 people in multiple states !! the real poll data must be awful for the messiah!

8 posted on 10/01/2012 6:03:34 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: profit_guy

Thanks for posting.

Here are some of the disgusting findings from this poll.

In states where the unemployment is 10% or higher (as of July), Obamugabe is winning by 18%...in other words, the states suffering the most under Obamugabe’s War on Prosperity support him the most. Fools.

Men go for Romney even if they are unemployed. Employed men support him over the Kenyan commie 53-44. But even men unemployed support Romney 48-45.

Women, sadly, support the Clown 44-53...but unemployed women, those who have NO JOB, support him 40-55. Pathetic.

Laughable: 18% of those who describe themselves as “very conservative” are voting for Obamugabe. These must be the folks who don’t know what “oonservative” or “very” means.

Bigger laugh: 15% of those who identify “strongly” with the Tea Party are voting for Obamugabe.

Married women support Romney 54-42.
Single women support AssClown 12-85.
100% of the single mothers surveyed support Obamugabe.

Sad: Non-white “conservative Christians” support the pro-abortion, pro-sodomite Occupier 37% to 59%.


9 posted on 10/01/2012 6:08:47 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper; All

Don’t like the generic congressional ballot with this poll....has it as D+2.

But, we have often won with that level as well.


10 posted on 10/01/2012 6:27:05 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: SoFloFreeper

LOL!

Made my husband laugh! He’s had a rough day, so he needed it and we both thank you.


11 posted on 10/01/2012 6:32:44 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: profit_guy

New here guys, but I’ve been reading your site since 08. On my 2 kids, I SWEAR I’m NOT A TROLL!! I’m confused about this poll though......I went to the site and the only thing I could gather from the charts was a 49/47 vote preference for O. WHere is the 50/46 stat? What page?

God Bless


12 posted on 10/01/2012 6:37:43 PM PDT by lsrusso1971
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To: profit_guy

I was hoping things might get better closer to the election the polling companies change methods about now.


13 posted on 10/01/2012 6:39:40 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Take two Aspirin and call me in November - Obama for Hindmost.)
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To: lsrusso1971

You’re kidding me, right? I posted the page number. I even posted the total number of pages.


14 posted on 10/01/2012 6:52:13 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

Re 2000 - I don’t think any pollsters picked up the last minute undecided swing to Gore as a result of the Bush DUI revelation.


15 posted on 10/01/2012 7:06:58 PM PDT by randita
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To: Dilbert San Diego

The most recent battleground polls of the swing states gave Obama an 11 point lead. They polled just 160 people from each sate with less than a 9% response rate meaning that only 9% answered the poll and 91% hung up. On top of that the margin of error was 8% and the democrat over sampling was 11%. I heard this on Hugh Hewitt. He was laughing senseless at how stupid this poll was not resembling anything close to reality


16 posted on 10/01/2012 9:56:12 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: profit_guy

I see POLITICO Battleground States with Romney up 49 to 47. But isn’t that a small sample? Only 270 polled.


17 posted on 10/01/2012 10:10:39 PM PDT by yellowhammer
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To: profit_guy

I am guessing that the “projected” numbers there are more likely the last poll they took before the election rather than the last poll they took in September.


18 posted on 10/01/2012 11:47:58 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: Viennacon

Perhaps as a political consultant for Republicans, Rove is trashing his competition who got the Romney contract?


19 posted on 10/01/2012 11:52:58 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: profit_guy

Sorry man,......it was late last night and I just glanced at the headline. I caught my mistake after replying to you but couldn’t erase the comment. This poll made my day though. Thanks for posting it.


20 posted on 10/02/2012 5:18:28 AM PDT by lsrusso1971
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To: lsrusso1971

np


21 posted on 10/02/2012 8:46:14 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Obama is down at least 4-5. Particularly in the battleground states. This crap he is winning is idiotic.

Obama will not win a single state he won by less than 55% of the popular vote in 2008, with perhaps the sole exception of MN.


22 posted on 10/02/2012 8:52:46 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: rwfromkansas
Don’t like the generic congressional ballot with this poll....has it as D+2.

While I do not like it, it should be more than enough to hold the House. I think with all the redistricting we hold unless it is around D+5

23 posted on 10/02/2012 8:53:32 AM PDT by NeoCaveman ("If I had a son he'd look like B.O.'s lunch" - Rin Tin Tin)
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To: randita
Re 2000 - I don’t think any pollsters picked up the last minute undecided swing to Gore as a result of the Bush DUI revelation.

And while that was bigger, there was also the early call in Florida for Gore which probably cost Bush the popular vote.

24 posted on 10/02/2012 8:55:32 AM PDT by NeoCaveman ("If I had a son he'd look like B.O.'s lunch" - Rin Tin Tin)
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