Skip to comments.NH Poll: Obama opens up 15 point lead
Posted on 10/01/2012 5:59:41 PM PDT by Joe27
"President Barack Obama has opened a lead over Mitt Romney in New Hampshire. Independent voters who had been supporting Romney have swung to Obama in recent weeks." ....... "With one month remaining before the November 6 election, Barack Obama has opened up a statistically significant lead over Mitt Romney in the battleground state of New Hampshire. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 52% of likely New Hampshire voters plan to vote for Obama, 37% say they will support Romney, 3% prefer some other candidate, and 9% say they are undecided."
(Excerpt) Read more at unh.edu ...
Not surprisingly, if you dig through and find the voters listed 2008 preference (Who did you vote for in 2008?) the results are similar:
Obama 52% McCain 36%
That'd all be fine and dandy except for the fact that Obama won the state 54% to 44% in 2008.
Romney is probably down in NH but that stat alone suggests this poll is a joke. Like Hewitt's interview with the Quinnipiac pollster shows, they never apply the basic standard of any analytic work: Ask yourself, "Does this make sense?" when all your number crunching is over. Assuming considerably less Republicans will show up is probably not a safe assumption. Interestingly, the party ID numbers in the internals weren't as screwed up, raising questions about how they screened their sizable 'independent' group.
I'm not projecting victory but it'll be 2004 all over again if Mitt pulls this out. I can hear the media now: "What?! How were our polls wrong?!?!??! We know the American people all too well!!!"
What was the exact double-digit number UNH’s polling for the Boston Globe had had Scott Brown losing to Coakley by?
(Actually I think NH could be tough for Romney.)
I’m in southwestern NH.
I’m seeing twice as many 0bamao signs as Romney signs.
Not scientific, I know.
We need 1 of 3 states Romney reside in. Mich and Mass is out so NH needs to step up
It’s not just tough for Romney, the rocks in these peoples’ heads are tough on the United States.
What fools. Bad economy, bad wars, unpopular Obamacare, arrogant president, extravagant private vacations for Michelle - and these people can’t get enough of it.
Why is this a surprise? North east states are liberal and they have a choice between Liberal and Liberal-Lite, why go with the Lite? Thanks, Republican Party.
Doesn’t Romney have a house in New Hampshire? I thought it was supposed to be his for the taking.
Sure, when you poll nothing but Democrats. All twenty of them.
I saw a poll that gives Obama a 16% enthusiasm advantage in North Carolina.
That is just ridiculous
I’m in southern NH (Nashua area) and I see many more Romney signs than Obama signs. Not that that means anything...
Oh I guess some folks in NH want more dead ambassadors, more dead mexican teenagers, death panels andvising their moms on their end of life options.
Do it up, NH, re-eleect Barack Hussein Hitler, you bunch of dopes.
Depression, despair, division, destruction, degradation, and stagnation.. The new normal!
I'm bookmarking this thread right now for the day after the election.
CA is out too.
I'm in central NH, right between NH1 and 2. I've seen a total of four, count 'em, four Obama signs. Romney signs are all over the place.
But you're right, not scientific at all.
Why do they even bother polling any Republicans. They arent looking for the truth so go all the way.
Isn’t NH the “Live Free or Die” state???
What happened to them?
That “Live Free or Die” thing was so old-school anyway. This is New America! We get lots and lots of free stuff now! Money for college! “Free” health care! Breakfast, lunch and dinner at school for the kids! Obamaphones! Government money for the mortgage! Food stamps! Welfare money! Unemployment checks for 99 weeks!
Who needs freedom when we get all these cool government freebies? Grab your hammock, boys and girls! Life is GOOOOOOOOD!!!!
You're surrounded by pinko states on all sides.
The entire NE has beeen democratic for years.
What has been so "special" about your state?
Live For Free or Die?
And we let this state choose our candidate???
Whatever ~ the polls, whoever did them, are probably based on a less than 9% response ~ and at that level are woefully out of whack when it comes to randomness of the selection. I wouldn’t worry about them. This year is different for the pollsters ~ far worse ~ 50% worse than 2009. See: http://pjmedia.com/tatler/2012/09/30/we-are-the-91-only-9-of-americans-cooperate-with-pollsters/
Exactl;y, This is not surprising for New hampshire.
It;s a state filled with yankee liberals who cannot tell sheit from Shinola.
They must love them high gas prices in New Hampshire.
I don’t believe it.
Live Free, or pay for what ever the Govt tells you to!
NH is the same state that voted for progressive Dem Woodrow Wilson twice and super progressive FDR three times. Their conservative rep is kind of iffy in my opinion.
I’m in Nashua, and I haven’t seen a single Obama yard sign. Romney/Ryan signs everywhere (and I mean EVERYWHERE) and only the occasional, sad O bumper sticker on a Jetta or Prius.
This sounds funny to me.NH was the state that,in 2010,flipped both their House seats from Maoist Rats to Republicans *and* sent a Republican to the Senate.I don’t live in NH so I’m no expert but my statement about 2010 is accurate.Also,the New Hampshire legislature just overrode the Rat governor’s veto and enacted a voter ID law.And lastly my understanding is that the Republican candidate for governor is leading the Rat.
Except for Downtown Nashua and the elite towns of Hollis, New Boston, and Mt. Vernon, that area tends to be more conservative.
I live near Keene (aka Kiev), where the Keene Sentinel (Kiev Slantinel) reflects the opinions of thousands of students at Keene State.
In “Live Free or Die NH”, the college students get to vote twice legally this year. Once in their NH college town and by absentee ballot in their home town.
It won’t be as easy to go precinct shopping with names from the obituary, like they used to, though. You need a photo ID to vote this year.
So, you win some, you lose some. They get to vote at least twice, anyway, if the DemonRAT precinct wardens can awaken them from their drug hazed and alcohol soaked stupor.
Meanwhile, I will crawl over broken glass to vote AGAINST the Communist usurper. It sickens me to know that a commie ideologue like him, with the filthy connections he has, and the Chicago machine, even has a fighting chance to be seriously considered for a POTUS.
The Democrats are fighting like hell to make sure that college students can vote here without having to declare domicile here and get a NH drivers’ license.
It looks like they are polling mostly government or union voters. Notice I did not say “workers”. These people have killed the golden goose. The private sector is close to dead. Where will the government get the money to pay all the pensions and salaries?
Why are there so many posters here trying to fake like Obama’s ahead in New Hampshire?
People, please relax and stop dumping on New Hampshire. This silly poll is nowhere close to being accurate.
In my area of the state there are many more Romney signs than Obama.
A few empty chairs out in the front yards as well.
Must be because they think the dems can duplicate the 15% lead in NH on election day with fraudulent votes from New York and Massachussetts residents.
I’m not seeing any bumper stickers or yard signs this time. In 2008 they were everywhere. Remember all the stickers with lipstick for Palin. I am just too lazy to get one this year. That may be the case for alot of people.
Try the table in this article to show the percentage of people called who actually respond to a poll.
Obama can’t even win Mass. by 15 points.
New Hampshire’s 4 Electoral votes was the difference for W in 2000 so make sure you *do* crawl over broken glass next month.
The MSM is now reporting that Obama has opened up a 98% lead.
no actual polling. but that is what they are reporting right now.
REALITY ALERT EVERYONE:
Romney is up by +3. Poll dated 9/18/2012 conducted by Rasmussen. And I’m supposed to believe that Obamster is up by 15 points. Bullfeathers!
Rasmussen has Romney ahead in New Hampshire.
Mass? He can’t win CA by 15 pts. And I live here!
I agree. I just don’t get it.
The late October NY Times / CBS national poll will be 85% Obama, 10% Romney, 3% Undecided, and 2% Illegal.
yea, how’s that “Free State Project” working out.
15 Point Lead? I don’t think so. Obama doesn’t have 15 points in California for chrissakes.
According to Larry Kudlow, in a 45 minute speech there were only 200 words devoted to the economy.