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Rasmussen: WED: 10/03: O:49% R:47%: Obama -15%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/03/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/03/2012 6:46:43 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows President Obama attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate,...

Read more .

Just 17% View Debates as Very Important to How They Will Vote

Voters are attaching less significance to the outcome of tonight’s first presidential debate compared to the kick-off debate four years ago.

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Likely U.S. Voters say they are likely to watch...

Read more .

56% Say Schools Should Teach Both Sex Ed and Abstinence

When it comes to sex education in schools, the majority agrees that teaching both sex education and abstinence-only education is the best route for students.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that...

Read more .

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows President Obama attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate,...

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
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Obama had a good polling day yesterday, oddly.

Close the deal today Mr. Romney!

1 posted on 10/03/2012 6:46:48 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

There is no doubt in my mind that since the lamestream pretty wells own the media that the headlines tomorrow will be no worse for Obama than “draw”. If there’s any way at all to paint it as a Romney loss, then they will.

Their favorite line in the past has always been, “expectations”. Romney will lose because “expectations require an out-and-out win from him.” Since he didn’t land a knockout, then he loses.

I’ll bet tomorrow’s articles are already written.


2 posted on 10/03/2012 6:52:07 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Statistical noise, tied race that will be decided by turnout and late deciders.


3 posted on 10/03/2012 6:55:31 AM PDT by Andrei Bulba (No Obama, no way!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Still a dead heat.

Rasmussen O 49 R 47 (D+3 Sample)
NBC/Wall St O 49 R 46 (D+4)
ABC/WaPo 49 R 47 (D+3)
CNN O 50 R 47 (D+8)
Politico/GW O 49 R 47 (D+3)
Natl Journal O47 R 47 (D+7)

Avg O 48 R 47 (D +5)


4 posted on 10/03/2012 7:00:14 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: xzins

Even if Romney were to hit a grand slam home run the media would report it a draw to a slight win for Romney it’s just how it is. Have to stop worrying about it and just GOTV.


5 posted on 10/03/2012 7:04:49 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: xzins

Let’s hope Romney knows the price of a gallon of milk is $4.69 which is ridiculous. He should just bring it up and talk about the value of the dollar falling and inflation. Talk about high gas prices. Talk about lesser average income. There is so much. He just has to be clear and also ask the media to start asking Obama some real questions they don’t want to talk about. Romney at least needs to bring it up so it’s out there. I think Romney wins this debate because he just has so much more material to use. This is on domestic policies, so how many times is Obama going to blame Bush? Once he starts doing that, Romney should remind Obama that the Democrats took over Congress in 2007 and start explaining away the “All Bush’s Fault” myth. This is the main reason Obama got elected in the first place and they need to start debunking it. He also needs to explain why giving tax breaks to everyone will spur the economy. I think Romney does a great job tonight and people will finally start to get it. Obama has never debated a real capitalist that knows how the economy works. Obama will be up against it. Think about it - it’s a community organizer debating a CEO - what else do we need to know here?


6 posted on 10/03/2012 7:05:48 AM PDT by larryleo (We all need to get Newtered!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

It just continues to amaze me that 49% of this nation is that stupid. Too believe that four more years of this scumbag is going to make America better. We are very very close to total collapse. And this 49% wants its. They beg for the “rich” to be torn down. What the stupids fail to see is that when the so called rich get flattened, the free money is cut totally off. America is going down folks. When Obama wins, it is over as a Free Republic.


7 posted on 10/03/2012 7:06:21 AM PDT by RetiredArmy (The Scriptures clearly tell us we are in the last days, the end times. Christ is the only answer!)
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To: nhwingut

Obama still is under 50% in every poll.


8 posted on 10/03/2012 7:06:44 AM PDT by Republican Extremist
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To: admin; moder_ator

The correct Presidential approval number is -12%

Not -15%

My fault. I looked at the cached page from yesterday

ADMIN/MODERATOR: Please correct my post title to say “-12%” instead of the “-15%”

Thanks!


9 posted on 10/03/2012 7:09:17 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: larryleo

They will ask Romney only social issues questions like abortion, affirmative action, etc. Anything but the economy or foreign policy.


10 posted on 10/03/2012 7:11:02 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative. REJECT THEN STOP SOCIALISM THIS NOV!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Obama had a good polling day yesterday, oddly.

Well, only partly, since his Strongly Approve - Strongly Disapprove went from -12 to -15.

So my question is, is Ras using the same sample to ask about the president's approval rating as he is asking O vs Romney?

I find it very difficult to believe that the people who are strongly disapproving of 0 will not vote for Romney. That would in Ras samples give R a base of 40 - 43%. In comparison 0's base is only 26 - 30%. Sure, in the total approval stakes the difference is much smaller, and sometimes even to 0's advantage. However, even though likely voters are polled, how likely are the strong dis- and approvals to vote compared to those that are not as decidedly for or against?

Unless there is a large section of those who strongly oppose Obama who for one or other reason decide not to vote for ABO then the Democrats will have a big job GOTV to be able to counter Romney's lead.

11 posted on 10/03/2012 7:16:21 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: nhwingut

National Journal tied among LV and they’re using 2008 model.


12 posted on 10/03/2012 7:17:28 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: RetiredArmy

Black voters = 13%
Hispanics = 20%
Hardcore liberal Whites = 20%

That’s where those figures come from.


13 posted on 10/03/2012 7:18:09 AM PDT by ZULU (See video: http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2012/09/the-first-siege-of-vienna.html)
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To: ScaniaBoy; admin; moder_ator; Admin Moderator

Scaniaboy,

Sadly that was MY screwup.

I saw the cached page on my browser. Did not check the day above.

It stayed at -12%

I have already alerted the admin to change the title.

Sorry!


14 posted on 10/03/2012 7:19:02 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

OK, so no change in the difference between strong approval and strong disapproval rate today (it was -12% yesterday as well), but it does not change the main point of my previous post.


15 posted on 10/03/2012 7:19:34 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: ZULU

Four years ago, it was All Zogby All the Time. Where is he?


16 posted on 10/03/2012 7:20:28 AM PDT by Galtoid ( .)
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To: ScaniaBoy

I do agree a 100% with your post.


17 posted on 10/03/2012 7:21:20 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: NoobRep

This race is tied up. It will remain that way. John Kerry almost beat Bush. That shows you our country has the disease of leftism in its bones. Obama is a disaster but he has the advantage of incumbency. Romney is not “liked” warmly enough by people. So it’s tied and turn out will decide it.

And Romney was correct let’s face it. We’ve let democrats create the scumbag society of illegals and welfare bums who never think about the good of this country they are selfish leeches who only take. The left has to be fought, you don’t beat them in a nice discussion.


18 posted on 10/03/2012 7:23:49 AM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: nhwingut

The polling numbers are sheer nonsense. They go from D+3 to D+8, yet the results are statistically the same. It’s possible for Obama to be winning the popular vote, yet losing the EC.

The important points are he’s below 50% in every poll. Momentum is on our side. We keep harping on Romney, yet it is Obama who is struggling.

The MSM has a billion dollars in spending on pro-Obama “newsvertisements” and “aditorials”, yet he still cannot get traction. Only 9% of people contacted participate in the poll. That’s overwhelming self-selection.


19 posted on 10/03/2012 7:24:24 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Republican Extremist

Romney had such a bad September. That he’s now tied with Obama. LOL!


20 posted on 10/03/2012 7:26:17 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: Galtoid
"Four years ago, it was All Zogby All the Time. Where is he?"

Doesn't matter. We got a new Zogby special saucer named Nate Silver at the NYet...

21 posted on 10/03/2012 7:29:04 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, IA = 272EV)
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To: Williams

I think Romney is winning by 3-4 points. He’s up anywhere from 4-10 points with Independents. In the NR poll he’s up 49-41 with Indies. Obama will NOT win without winning Independents.


22 posted on 10/03/2012 7:30:10 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: Williams

Kerry won 20 states and McCain won 22.


23 posted on 10/03/2012 7:35:52 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Just a couple of anecdotal events that I thought I'd share. This has NEVER happened to me before and I've been politically active since 1968. I have yard signs for Romney, George Allen and Scott Rigell up in my yard. I was leaving my house last evening to hit the driving range and a car stopped at my house and the driver got out and asked where I got my signs. I told him and then offered a Romney sign to him. I always carry a few extra fro friends. As soon as I got back from the driving range my doorbell rang. It was someone from the neighborhood out walking their dog who wanted to know where they could get a Romney sign. I gave him one. He said he'd never been active before and usually didn't even vote but he was voting this year and this would be the first campaign sign he ever put up (the guy was about 30). Then...today on my way to work, stopped at a light a car pulls up next to me and the driver starts making gestures at me to get my attention. I ignored him until he got out and knocked on my passenger window...he wanted to know where I got my Romney bumper stickers!

Three times in two days I've been approached by strangers wanting Romney gear. I know it's just anecdotal and really doesn't mean anything but I'm amazed by it...and encouraged.

24 posted on 10/03/2012 7:36:05 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: nhwingut
It is statistically a dead heat if you look at just one poll. But the aggregate indicates 0 is ahead outside the margin of error, so he will win if the election were held today. I am certain of that....

Having said that, the significance of the very low poll participation rate (9%) should not be forgotten. If there is indeed a systematic skewing of the demographic sample due to the low participation (R&R supporters like me consistently refusing to answer polls) then the actual results may be very different, but not because the polls were inaccurate. The polls only predict what those willing to be polled will indicate.

25 posted on 10/03/2012 7:39:34 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: RetiredArmy
It just continues to amaze me that 49% of this nation is that stupid. Too believe that four more years of this scumbag is going to make America better. We are very very close to total collapse. And this 49% wants its. They beg for the “rich” to be torn down. What the stupids fail to see is that when the so called rich get flattened, the free money is cut totally off. America is going down folks. When Obama wins, it is over as a Free Republic.

You said it. I simply cannot believe that there's that many stupid people in the Republic. We are done if the bastard gets back in, of that I have no doubt.

26 posted on 10/03/2012 7:43:51 AM PDT by Marathoner (If the bastard were to win reelection, let America burn. IDGAF anymore.)
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To: nwrep

Huh? He’s up by 1.5 points based on the last 6 polls. The MOE is 3ish. He’s not outside the MOE, not by a long shot.

Furthermore, these are based on a avg of D+5 samples. The turnout will not be D+5. So factor that into it and the race is certainly not in Obama’s favor, and most likely in favor of Romney by a point or two.

And finally, the bulk of the 4-6% undecideds are almost assured to go for Romney at probably a 2-1 pace. They are not undecided about Obama after 4 years, while many are scared of the race card beatdown, hence it is easier to say, “not sure, undecided” and then go in the booth and punch the Romney oval.


27 posted on 10/03/2012 7:45:39 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: snarkytart

McCain wasn’t running against an incumbent. Kerry should have won one or two states, and 30 years earlier that would have been the case.

For that matter, Obama never should have been elected. The democrats have been allowed to mainstream a destructive form of liberalism. They have New York and California locked up and the problem starts there.

We have people here who can vote but they are not citizens of this country in spirit. No other way to explain that the people of New York City would never have supported wars against the people who attacked them.

But I digress.


28 posted on 10/03/2012 7:48:14 AM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: ZULU; SoftwareEngineer; xzins; Andrei Bulba; nhwingut; HamiltonJay; larryleo; RetiredArmy; ...
ZULU:
Black voters = 13%
Hispanics = 20%
Hardcore liberal Whites = 20%
That’s where those figures come from.

Zulu's post tells it all. >50% baby.

This is why I don't understand all the navel gazing on polls and ballots.

We've got to do an LBO on the MSM, and take over the Journalism schools and government schools for the long term NOW.

Carpet bombing the TV ads and GOTV? We need to be voting in Board of Directors at NBC. New media is, is that stupid Hannity video "firecracker" last night.

Suppose Romney wins? The MSM will turn 53% into 65% by 2014.

Newt or Santorum would speak to these Obamaphone freaks how?

The GOPe is just rearranging the deck chairs...that's all that's left to do.

29 posted on 10/03/2012 7:53:45 AM PDT by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Who won the independents


30 posted on 10/03/2012 8:07:38 AM PDT by zt1053
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To: SoftwareEngineer

If Americans want four more years, they deserve it.


31 posted on 10/03/2012 8:12:10 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (You didn't build that. The private sector is doing fine. We tried our plan and it worked.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
scotty rasmussen admitted that he raised the dim to republican ratio because he has more dims answering his poll. Of course they are... we are voting against obama no matter what... the dims actually are voting for obama and are more motivated to waste their time answering his poll. THAT is what is wrong with the polling today.

LLS

32 posted on 10/03/2012 8:13:03 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer ("if it looks like you are not gonna make it you gotta get mean, I mean plumb mad-dog mean" J. Wales)
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To: Uncle Miltie
If Americans want four more years, they deserve it.

And all the mocking and derision that comes with it.

33 posted on 10/03/2012 8:23:15 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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So in a Dem +7 poll it is tied, but in a Dem +3 poll Obama has a 3 point lead?


34 posted on 10/03/2012 8:36:34 AM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: LibLieSlayer

Dear sir, where did you hear this if you dont mind me asking? THats not very professional of him if he did and only tells me that he wants to keep it very close so that more people sign up for the “premium access” so that they can track everything daily. What a jerk imho.


35 posted on 10/03/2012 8:45:23 AM PDT by lsrusso1971
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To: sam_paine

Unless we knock out the government schools we’ll never get our country back. Here’s a typical teacher at one of Chicago’s top grade schools:

About me: https://sites.google.com/site/mrbarashsocialstudies/mr-barash

Make sure you check out his photo.

The “good” speeches list: https://sites.google.com/site/mrbarashsocialstudies/home/speech-links

This school is known as Bell School. Look it up. Parents fight to get into this school, they’re very involved, etc. Yet without school competition it’s a liberal echo chamber.


36 posted on 10/03/2012 8:49:56 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: 1010RD
Unless we knock out the government schools we’ll never get our country back. Here’s a typical teacher at one of Chicago’s top grade schools:

And yet, schools are state funded and we can't affect them even in the Reddest of red states.

37 posted on 10/03/2012 8:53:49 AM PDT by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: larryleo
Let’s hope Romney knows the price of a gallon of milk is $4.69 which is ridiculous.

I don't care what the price of milk is.

I want Romney to know the price of a gallon of gasoline, and what it was in January, 2009.

Almost every other price is at least somewhat derived from that.

38 posted on 10/03/2012 9:04:33 AM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
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To: lsrusso1971
He was on Hannity I think Monday night and I read it in a thread on polls here on FR. He said he is using his current polling data to extract that more dims are ID’ing now than last month. I suggest that most of us are not thrilled with Romney but will be voting against obama and for Romney/Ryan. I know that I would not waste time on polling... I would hang up. Only 9% to 11% are answering any of these polls and dims have more to gain from positive polling than those that are going to vote for Mitt because he is not obama. That is why I think that Mitt will win... because we are highly motivated to vote... we are just not all hyper and enthralled with who we are absolutely going to vote for.

LLS

39 posted on 10/03/2012 9:08:50 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer ("if it looks like you are not gonna make it you gotta get mean, I mean plumb mad-dog mean" J. Wales)
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To: pgkdan
i live in NoVA and my evidence was anecdotal too, until i saw this noting the lopsidedness of yard signs for Romney in NoVA. and the genius obamabot in the article who said yard signs don't vote? well if people are beating down the door looking for Romney signs, logically one would assume they care enough to go to the polls to vote for him on election day.
40 posted on 10/03/2012 9:54:07 AM PDT by xsmommy
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To: 1010RD

“Only 9% of people contacted participate in the poll. That’s overwhelming self-selection.”

I use practically every caller-Id and caller-blocker known to mankind, including myself. For example, I never answer 202 or 703 area codes, nothing that looks like a poll, nothing that looks like a fake Caller-ID.

And I was just talking this morning to a friend who owns some significant-sized small global businesses, and he brought up the same notion, namely, that he does the same thing that I do, and knows many others who do the same, that is, he ducks the blizzard of political calls and thinks the polls are worthless due to this self-selection.

He also made another interesting point, namely, that he has several liberal acquaintances who avowedly fall all over themselves to answer these polls to give their pro-Obama views.

So on the one hand we have conservatives ducking the polls, and yet on the other hand we have rabid liberals enthusiastically answering the polls. I wonder what the REAL numbers will look like on November 7? My guess is nowhere near what the ObamaMedia polls are claiming.


41 posted on 10/03/2012 10:16:45 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: HamiltonJay

“Even if Romney were to hit a grand slam home run the media would report it a draw to a slight win for Romney it’s just how it is. Have to stop worrying about it and just GOTV.”

True dat.

The polls are intriguing and many are obsessed with following them, but I heard that pollsters are being denied responses by 90% of those they call. Only ten per cent even want to participate in the polls.


42 posted on 10/03/2012 10:43:03 AM PDT by Canedawg
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To: HamiltonJay

“Even if Romney were to hit a grand slam home run the media would report it a draw to a slight win for Romney it’s just how it is. Have to stop worrying about it and just GOTV.”

True dat.

The polls are intriguing and many are obsessed with following them, but I heard that pollsters are being denied responses by 90% of those they call. Only ten per cent even want to participate in the polls.


43 posted on 10/03/2012 10:43:23 AM PDT by Canedawg
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To: nhwingut
And finally, the bulk of the 4-6% undecideds are almost assured to go for Romney at probably a 2-1 pace. They are not undecided about Obama after 4 years, while many are scared of the race card beatdown, hence it is easier to say, “not sure, undecided” and then go in the booth and punch the Romney oval.

Or they won't vote. A lot of people who are disappointed with Obama are decidedly unenthusiastic about Romney and his abilities to fix the problems. Just because someone doesn't like Obama doesn't mean that they will like Romney.

44 posted on 10/03/2012 11:07:51 AM PDT by CommerceComet (Obama vs. Romney - clear evidence that our nation has been judged by God and found wanting.)
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To: Galtoid

Getting his camel re-shoed somewhere.


45 posted on 10/03/2012 11:33:33 AM PDT by ZULU (See video: http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2012/09/the-first-siege-of-vienna.html)
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To: sam_paine

Agree with a lot of what you said. There should be an effort to take back the schools and the media, just as liberals launched an all out effort and succeeded. Liberals were a distinct minority when they did it.


46 posted on 10/03/2012 11:34:37 AM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: Williams

Wonder what happened? We had the institutions and the goodwill of the country in the 80’s.

But we just relented. I guess conservatism is a war...a war against tyranny. People get tired of war.


47 posted on 10/03/2012 11:45:55 AM PDT by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: larryleo
Let’s hope Romney knows the price of a gallon of milk is $4.69 which is ridiculous

What kind of milk is that? WOW. It's $3.29 at Costco and even $3.99 at the supermarket.

48 posted on 10/03/2012 12:18:32 PM PDT by frogjerk (OBAMA NOV 2012 = HORSEMEAT)
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To: 1010RD
Just a thought---feel free to share: for all those who think Romney isn't hitting hard enough

In the primaries, my wife said she liked Romney cause he was ruthless and sneaky. Freepers asked "where is the guy who nuked Newt?" We'll I think you're seeing him. The first race tape, then Telemundo's "Fast/Furious" exposé, now this race tape---if I didn't know better I'd say that the Romney campaign was behind this. :)

49 posted on 10/03/2012 12:39:03 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: pgkdan
Three times in two days I've been approached by strangers wanting Romney gear. I know it's just anecdotal and really doesn't mean anything but I'm amazed by it...and encouraged.

Wow! Well, it meant something to me. Really lifted my spirits. Thanks for posting this. You may want to mention Virginia somewhere in there, though, just in case folks don't know who George Allen and Scott Rigell are. Swing state stories are VERY important (to me, anyway). I grill my Dad every week for any new info he may have from Ohio.

50 posted on 10/03/2012 12:40:53 PM PDT by America_Right (I am the 53%. Please get out of the cart and help me pull for a while.)
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