Skip to comments.Obama free falling on Intrade
Posted on 10/03/2012 8:35:23 PM PDT by erod
Want to know how the debate is going? Check out Intrade, which is a market-based betting site. Obama is down to a 67% chance of winning the presidency, compared to 76.5% before the debate
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Dang, I forgot to open up an Intrade account to clean up. ;-)
Not a big fall. People still expect him to be re-elected.
That’s not a big move.
Call me when Obama’s Intrade number goes under 50%.
Obama’s numbers would go down a lot more if we had a media that would press Obama to point out where exactly in the U.S. tax code is the tax incentive a company receives to move its business overseas. I suspect we won’t be hearing much more of this fictitious, rabble-rousing myth in the next few weeks.
It dropped 10 points in less than an hour. I agree with you FRiend 67% is not perfect, but it is a step in the right direction. It may be under 50 by next week.
He’s dropping about a point every 15-30 minutes.
That;’s almost 10 points in an hour or two. That’s a big drop.
Yes, it proves nothing, but it indicates Obama may be well past his peak.
Romney did an excellent job tonight, excellent. And don’t think the greater meme will be lost on anyone: Romney looked like a guy who prepared, Obama looked like a guy who was prepared to skate.
And “skate” sure as hell ain’t racist, if you know what I mean and I think you do!
I opened one but when I saw the personal info needed to make trades I declined. Sure, I would have made a good bit of money on Romney winning if I bought at $2.17 but I just wasn’t comfortable with handing out info to internet companies.
Maybe you should just go to the website and watch it. Obama just might be below 50% before sunup. He’s already at 65% now and dropping about a tenth of a point every minute.
One chap on Townhall noted that Intrade tends to lag news cycles by 6 to 12 hours. Wait till all the reviews of the debate come out, 95% of them panning Obama with a huge skillet.
Dropped a few more points since you posted this. It’s still Obama way over Romney there, but other FReepers on other threads have convinced me Intrade is a worthless indicator of how people are going to vote.
By the time it converges on the vote, it’s about to get officially announced anyhow.
yeah it’s based in Ireland