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Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval
Gallup ^ | 10/4/12 | Gallup

Posted on 10/04/2012 11:29:37 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper

Gallup tracks daily the percentage of Americans who approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president. Daily results are based on telephone interviews with approximately 1,500 national adults; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points...

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012polls; axelrod; bhojobapproval; gallup
Obamugabe up 4 to 54% approval, 42% disapproval in Gallup's poll of 1,500.

I know this was probably done before last night's debate, but how the hell does a guy go up 4 points in one day?????

1 posted on 10/04/2012 11:29:47 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

Its Gallop and its LAUGHABLE..they were already threatened repeatedly by Axelrod, anything that comes from Gallop is a joke


2 posted on 10/04/2012 11:31:49 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: SoFloFreeper

approximately 1,500 national adults....


3 posted on 10/04/2012 11:31:49 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: SoFloFreeper

Repeat after me five times until it sticks: GALLUP IS A JOKE.


4 posted on 10/04/2012 11:31:54 AM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Fear, remember what the Obama WH tried to do in regards to Gallup?


5 posted on 10/04/2012 11:32:07 AM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Gallup is trying to take care of their “boy” after his stumble last night.


6 posted on 10/04/2012 11:32:41 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty ("Get that evil, foreign, muslim, usurping, gay bastard out of MY White House!" FUBO!)
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To: SoFloFreeper

It’s all in how you ask the question, baby! His job approval did NOT improve after last night’s debate, nor before last night’s debate.

Think it through!


7 posted on 10/04/2012 11:32:56 AM PDT by King Hawk
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To: SoFloFreeper

Statistical noise. He has bumped up huge for no reason from time to time before. We need to see it stay there 4-5 days before we can id it as a new trend.


8 posted on 10/04/2012 11:33:24 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: SoFloFreeper

When I read it i thought it was a joke. Gallup must really be scared of axelrod. I didnt give this any thought before but cmon lol. Even barry and michelle cannot think that 54pct of America approves of him


9 posted on 10/04/2012 11:33:44 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: SoFloFreeper
Last night after they debate, word probably came down from Axelrods office to massively pad Obama’s pre-debate numbers in anticipation of the awful numbers he will have over the next couple days to “cushion” the impact (Gallup is on a 10 day rolling average). With Obama up 12 today (what a joke), even if he is down 10 points over the next couple days, it will only drop the rolling average to around +5.
10 posted on 10/04/2012 11:34:13 AM PDT by apillar
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To: SoFloFreeper

Another possibility is they adjusted their sample mix again.

This is an example of why Gallup was number 18 in accuracy in 2008.


11 posted on 10/04/2012 11:34:33 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: SoFloFreeper

” but how the hell does a guy go up 4 points in one day????? “

You don’t, unless you do something wonderful in the interim.


12 posted on 10/04/2012 11:34:54 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: SoFloFreeper

does anyone really believe polls anymore?


13 posted on 10/04/2012 11:35:13 AM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Obama’s pre-debate support is like a shallow, muddy puddle. Now the hot sun has come out and it’s shrinking fast. Watch.


14 posted on 10/04/2012 11:35:22 AM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
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To: SoFloFreeper

Perhaps the “Bradley effect” from respondents?


15 posted on 10/04/2012 11:35:42 AM PDT by Brandonmark (2012: Our Hope IS Change!)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Don’t believe a word of it. The numbers reek of Soros’ or The 0’s slush funding.


16 posted on 10/04/2012 11:36:37 AM PDT by hawaiianninja (Palm note to self: Work for a successful 2012! +Throw the liberal garbage out!)
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To: SoFloFreeper

It will make the decline that much more delicious!


17 posted on 10/04/2012 11:37:36 AM PDT by Erik Latranyi (When religions have to beg the gov't for a waiver, we are already under socialism.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

To borrow from the debate, with a slight modification to make it true for my particular family....

“Look, I’ve got three boys and a daughter. I’m used to people saying something that’s not always true but just keep repeating it and ultimately hoping I’ll believe it. But that is not the case.”


18 posted on 10/04/2012 11:38:20 AM PDT by cschroe (Veritas est lux)
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To: SoFloFreeper

You put WTF! into a title on Gallup polling.

Pretty soon we will become as hip as DU, and as unreadable.


19 posted on 10/04/2012 11:40:38 AM PDT by ansel12
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To: SoFloFreeper; All

I saw this and was concerned today slightly, but I don’t think it means anything. Just statistical noise since I just do not see that being real in one day.


20 posted on 10/04/2012 11:45:13 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: SoFloFreeper

You need to look at the internals. Over sample Democrats under sample Republicans and Independents. That is the easiest way. You could also over sample single women vs married women in your demographic mix along with under sampling men. That’s a little harder to spot and unpeeled you really went overboard would skewer the poll less. But if you combine the two you would get a larger skewer that would not be as obvious. To determine why it jumped you need to compare this poll to the prior one to see what the changed.


21 posted on 10/04/2012 11:46:52 AM PDT by airedale
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To: SoFloFreeper

We can only hope that Obama’s poor debate performance shakes things up, but so far there is no real polling evidence that indicates last night’s debate has changed the trajectory of this election. Most polls show Obama at right about 50% approval, and now this one shows him at 54%.

The next 48-72 hours will tell the story. If the polls don’t move in Romney’s favor after Mitt kicked Hussein’s butt in the debate, then nothing is likely to change the course of this election.


22 posted on 10/04/2012 11:50:02 AM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: SoFloFreeper

They only call OBAMA PHONES!


23 posted on 10/04/2012 11:50:26 AM PDT by hadaclueonce (you are paying 12% more for fuel because of Ethanol. Smile big Corn Lobby,)
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To: SoFloFreeper

They took this poll in the South.

The southside of Chicago.


24 posted on 10/04/2012 11:53:18 AM PDT by Iron Munro (A bisexual Muslim is one who owns both a camel AND a goat.)
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To: hadaclueonce

they are the only ones that pick up an unknown number.

everyone else lets it go to voice mail.


25 posted on 10/04/2012 11:53:24 AM PDT by hadaclueonce (you are paying 12% more for fuel because of Ethanol. Smile big Corn Lobby,)
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To: Longbow1969

That is good because Romney is ahead by double digits with indies and the GOP is very excited to vote


26 posted on 10/04/2012 11:53:50 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: Longbow1969

Yeah, I am not concerned unless polls don’t show at least a small shift to R by Saturday/Sunday.

Then a little...

We have to keep in mind the number of undecideds is small, so don’t expect a huge shift here. But, enough to win could certainly happen as trendlines continue.


27 posted on 10/04/2012 11:54:05 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: Longbow1969

Yeah, I’m more inclined to believe the polls that think 7 to 11 more percentage points of Democrats will make up this year’s electorate are full of dung.


28 posted on 10/04/2012 11:54:20 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

Gallup is a 7 day average, I believe. It will take a few days to see how the numbers move. I am expecting the MSM to really start fudging poll numbers now, to protect their girlfriend.


29 posted on 10/04/2012 11:57:01 AM PDT by Sterm26
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To: SoFloFreeper

“Adults” LoL. Perhaps it is useful to poll adults about booze but that is about it.


30 posted on 10/04/2012 11:57:44 AM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

It is called fudging the numbers. Were there any internals listed?


31 posted on 10/04/2012 12:02:08 PM PDT by funfan
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To: SoFloFreeper

That is why I say I do not believe in Polls..


32 posted on 10/04/2012 12:02:39 PM PDT by PLD
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To: SoFloFreeper

7 day rolling average , pre-debate poll = Meaningless. Nice try Flo.


33 posted on 10/04/2012 12:02:45 PM PDT by heights
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To: Longbow1969

There is no evidence that The Disaster is winning this election. Having to rely on totally rigged polls to eck out a small lead for The Disaster is VERY strong evidence that he is losing big time.

This debate and the upcoming ones will only confirm this. It is only going to get worse from here on.

While Romney did not knock him out he landed many blows and got hit by none. Easy win on points.

NOT ONE of these polls showing mild approval (strong approval - strong disapproval is negative double digits in even the most favorable poll) come from a balanced D/R/I population. Why haven’t we seen leads from polls with a 33/33/34 mix or 50/50 men women?

And the fact that only 9% even talk to pollsters shows that even a properly scientific poll would seriously undercount conservatives.


34 posted on 10/04/2012 12:09:26 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

I smell Axelgrease all over this.


35 posted on 10/04/2012 12:10:59 PM PDT by BlessingsofLiberty (Remember Brian Terry...)
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To: SoFloFreeper

None of the polls mean anything whatsoever.


36 posted on 10/04/2012 12:20:19 PM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: SoFloFreeper
Ok, I am putting on my mathematicians hat...it is likely statistical noise. Here is why I think so...

The "margin of error" polls give is a range that the results will fall within 95% IF you have a random experiment repeated a certain number of times. The more times you repeat the random experiment, the smaller the range is.

Polls attempt to simulate a repeated random experiment in each interview they perform, but they can't ever get it truly random. How far they are off is something that can't be quantified into a "margin of error", but it is there, and causes polls to be more volatile due to what is appropriately called "confounding" factors.

37 posted on 10/04/2012 12:51:56 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: SoFloFreeper
Here's your answer!

On Morning Joe, David Axelrod asks the media for help taking down Mitt Romney.

38 posted on 10/04/2012 2:23:04 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: funfan

Hey! MSM is throwing the flag on that!

The word “fudging” is not allowed when talking about the chosen one.

/s


39 posted on 10/04/2012 2:32:17 PM PDT by hadaclueonce (you are paying 12% more for fuel because of Ethanol. Smile big Corn Lobby,)
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To: Longbow1969
Longbow1969 wrote:
<<
We can only hope that Obama’s poor debate performance shakes things up, but so far there is no real polling evidence that indicates last night’s debate has changed the trajectory of this election. Most polls show Obama at right about 50% approval, and now this one shows him at 54%.
>>

************************************************************

Obviously, we can't measure the post-debate trajectory of the election because no new polls have been released yet. The most recent polling data available right now, including today's absolutely ludicrous Gallup survey, was all taken prior to the debate. I suspect we'll start to see a flood of fresh new polling data starting tomorrow and I feel confident, even with the routinely gross oversampling of Democrats, that they will start reflecting an even tighter race.

40 posted on 10/04/2012 3:59:32 PM PDT by DestroyLiberalism
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