Skip to comments.Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval
Posted on 10/04/2012 11:29:37 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
Gallup tracks daily the percentage of Americans who approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president. Daily results are based on telephone interviews with approximately 1,500 national adults; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points...
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
I know this was probably done before last night's debate, but how the hell does a guy go up 4 points in one day?????
Its Gallop and its LAUGHABLE..they were already threatened repeatedly by Axelrod, anything that comes from Gallop is a joke
approximately 1,500 national adults....
Repeat after me five times until it sticks: GALLUP IS A JOKE.
Fear, remember what the Obama WH tried to do in regards to Gallup?
Gallup is trying to take care of their “boy” after his stumble last night.
It’s all in how you ask the question, baby! His job approval did NOT improve after last night’s debate, nor before last night’s debate.
Think it through!
Statistical noise. He has bumped up huge for no reason from time to time before. We need to see it stay there 4-5 days before we can id it as a new trend.
When I read it i thought it was a joke. Gallup must really be scared of axelrod. I didnt give this any thought before but cmon lol. Even barry and michelle cannot think that 54pct of America approves of him
Another possibility is they adjusted their sample mix again.
This is an example of why Gallup was number 18 in accuracy in 2008.
” but how the hell does a guy go up 4 points in one day????? “
You don’t, unless you do something wonderful in the interim.
does anyone really believe polls anymore?
Obama’s pre-debate support is like a shallow, muddy puddle. Now the hot sun has come out and it’s shrinking fast. Watch.
Perhaps the “Bradley effect” from respondents?
Don’t believe a word of it. The numbers reek of Soros’ or The 0’s slush funding.
It will make the decline that much more delicious!
To borrow from the debate, with a slight modification to make it true for my particular family....
“Look, Ive got three boys and a daughter. Im used to people saying something thats not always true but just keep repeating it and ultimately hoping Ill believe it. But that is not the case.”
You put WTF! into a title on Gallup polling.
Pretty soon we will become as hip as DU, and as unreadable.
I saw this and was concerned today slightly, but I don’t think it means anything. Just statistical noise since I just do not see that being real in one day.
You need to look at the internals. Over sample Democrats under sample Republicans and Independents. That is the easiest way. You could also over sample single women vs married women in your demographic mix along with under sampling men. That’s a little harder to spot and unpeeled you really went overboard would skewer the poll less. But if you combine the two you would get a larger skewer that would not be as obvious. To determine why it jumped you need to compare this poll to the prior one to see what the changed.
We can only hope that Obama’s poor debate performance shakes things up, but so far there is no real polling evidence that indicates last night’s debate has changed the trajectory of this election. Most polls show Obama at right about 50% approval, and now this one shows him at 54%.
The next 48-72 hours will tell the story. If the polls don’t move in Romney’s favor after Mitt kicked Hussein’s butt in the debate, then nothing is likely to change the course of this election.
They only call OBAMA PHONES!
They took this poll in the South.
The southside of Chicago.
they are the only ones that pick up an unknown number.
everyone else lets it go to voice mail.
That is good because Romney is ahead by double digits with indies and the GOP is very excited to vote
Yeah, I am not concerned unless polls don’t show at least a small shift to R by Saturday/Sunday.
Then a little...
We have to keep in mind the number of undecideds is small, so don’t expect a huge shift here. But, enough to win could certainly happen as trendlines continue.
Yeah, I’m more inclined to believe the polls that think 7 to 11 more percentage points of Democrats will make up this year’s electorate are full of dung.
Gallup is a 7 day average, I believe. It will take a few days to see how the numbers move. I am expecting the MSM to really start fudging poll numbers now, to protect their girlfriend.
“Adults” LoL. Perhaps it is useful to poll adults about booze but that is about it.
It is called fudging the numbers. Were there any internals listed?
That is why I say I do not believe in Polls..
7 day rolling average , pre-debate poll = Meaningless. Nice try Flo.
There is no evidence that The Disaster is winning this election. Having to rely on totally rigged polls to eck out a small lead for The Disaster is VERY strong evidence that he is losing big time.
This debate and the upcoming ones will only confirm this. It is only going to get worse from here on.
While Romney did not knock him out he landed many blows and got hit by none. Easy win on points.
NOT ONE of these polls showing mild approval (strong approval - strong disapproval is negative double digits in even the most favorable poll) come from a balanced D/R/I population. Why haven’t we seen leads from polls with a 33/33/34 mix or 50/50 men women?
And the fact that only 9% even talk to pollsters shows that even a properly scientific poll would seriously undercount conservatives.
I smell Axelgrease all over this.
None of the polls mean anything whatsoever.
The "margin of error" polls give is a range that the results will fall within 95% IF you have a random experiment repeated a certain number of times. The more times you repeat the random experiment, the smaller the range is.
Polls attempt to simulate a repeated random experiment in each interview they perform, but they can't ever get it truly random. How far they are off is something that can't be quantified into a "margin of error", but it is there, and causes polls to be more volatile due to what is appropriately called "confounding" factors.
On Morning Joe, David Axelrod asks the media for help taking down Mitt Romney.
Hey! MSM is throwing the flag on that!
The word “fudging” is not allowed when talking about the chosen one.
Obviously, we can't measure the post-debate trajectory of the election because no new polls have been released yet. The most recent polling data available right now, including today's absolutely ludicrous Gallup survey, was all taken prior to the debate. I suspect we'll start to see a flood of fresh new polling data starting tomorrow and I feel confident, even with the routinely gross oversampling of Democrats, that they will start reflecting an even tighter race.