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Ohio poll: Romney leads 51-48 among those certain to vote
The Examiner ^ | 10/5 | Washington Secrets

Posted on 10/05/2012 7:44:30 AM PDT by tatown

The first post-presidential debate poll in critical Ohio shows that Mitt Romney blunted President Obama's momentum with his winning performance and is now leading the president among Ohioans who say that they are "certain" to vote.

Overall, the race is deadlocked with Obama over Romney 50 percent to 49 percent, according to the poll taken Thursday night.

But among the stunning 92 percent of all voters in the state who say they are certain to go to the polls on Election Day, Romney leads 51 percent to 48 percent. And among the 83 percent who have already made up their minds how they will vote, Romney is ahead 52 percent to 48 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; obama; oh2012; ohio; poll; romney
Looking good!
1 posted on 10/05/2012 7:44:37 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

Keep praying that fraud is kept to a minimum!!


2 posted on 10/05/2012 7:45:57 AM PDT by Michigander222
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To: tatown

Over 50%, in Ohio!! For the first time! As Ohio goes, so goes the nation?

Bears out the OH absentee voting request spreadsheet that LS, Ravi and LdSentinal have been analyzing for weeks now.


3 posted on 10/05/2012 7:48:08 AM PDT by plushaye (Election 2012 Prayer Force)
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To: tatown

In a tie or close election, “crawling over broken glass” voters beat “crawling to the voting booth to get a feature upgrade on your free Obama phone” every time.


4 posted on 10/05/2012 7:51:39 AM PDT by MrDem (Founder: Democrats for Cheney/Palin 2012)
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To: tatown

Oh my....I guess the Labor Dept. will have to find at least two million new jobs created by The One in October to prop up his flacid poll numbers.


5 posted on 10/05/2012 7:53:33 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: tatown
The real numbers are beginning to trickle out. Per Ras Romney is up slightly in VA.

It is going to be close, but the breathless MSM fantasy of a "commanding Obama lead" is quickly evaporating.

6 posted on 10/05/2012 7:54:29 AM PDT by jboot (This isn't your father's America. Stay safe and keep your powder dry.)
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To: tatown

This race is shaping up nicely right now. There is no way to call Romney “down in the polls”. His debate performance was HUGE. I just hope he and Ryan are well-prepared for the fiercely rabid opposition they are going to face in the next 3 debates. The Marxist is a cornered animal and I’m guessing it’s going to get ugly.


7 posted on 10/05/2012 7:54:40 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: plushaye
Over 50%, in Ohio!! For the first time! As Ohio goes, so goes the nation?

O's still got the Ras edge among LIKELY voters. This poll counts CERTAIN voters.

That said, O will lose Ohio. Count on it.
8 posted on 10/05/2012 7:59:39 AM PDT by mmichaels1970
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To: mmichaels1970

True. I haven’t believed the poll numbers since FReepers LS and Ravi started analyzing the absentee ballot requests by county. Those are real numbers. The trend has been going our way for weeks. It’s the exact opposite of 2008.


9 posted on 10/05/2012 8:02:23 AM PDT by plushaye (Election 2012 Prayer Force)
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To: tatown

Romney is going to win.


10 posted on 10/05/2012 8:51:31 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: Michigander222

All of the government is republican: Governor, House, Senate, Supreme Court, Sec State, Treasurer.

And the Sec State controls elections in Ohio. So, fraud will be harder for the dems to pull of this time. 2008 they had a dem Sec State.


11 posted on 10/05/2012 8:55:59 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
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To: Michigander222
Keep praying that fraud is kept to a minimum!!

It will be up to half of the poll watchers. The Demonrats will try to max it.

12 posted on 10/05/2012 9:00:48 AM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop the destruction in 2012 or continue the decline)
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To: tatown

YAHOO!!!!!

This is fantastic news!!!

What is the sampling on this?


13 posted on 10/05/2012 9:01:34 AM PDT by diamond6 (Freerepublic.com and Hillbuzz.org are my go to sites for conservative news.)
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To: tatown

I never thought I’d do it but after he kicked Obamas ass at the debate I sent Romney a substantial donation. I’m still wary of Mitt but he talked the constitutional talk pretty good while sachooling the fallen prince and my disdain for Obama/Biden has reached new heights. Go MITT! Kick Obama’s marxist ass!


14 posted on 10/05/2012 9:05:10 AM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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To: tatown

I don’t know, maybe I’m seeing things wrong, but a 3 point lead? 2 points in other polls? WTF? Are people on crack in this country or what? You would think a President who’s been nothing but an unmitigated disaster his entire term in addition to being a complete jabbering moron the other night in the debates would be trailing by 5, 10, 15 points, but nooooo...we got 2 points there 3 points here! WHO the F is still SUPPORTING THIS IDIOT?? This is amazing, he’s like the teflon POTUS or something, he can do no wrong to these morons or maybe he’s figured out a way to mass hypnotize people? Spew some zombie gas in the air?


15 posted on 10/05/2012 9:14:44 AM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (Someday our schools we will teach the difference between "lose" and "loose")
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

“WHO the F is still SUPPORTING THIS IDIOT?”

The “47%” of Americans who are getting free handouts who don’t want it to stop. They are bought and paid for by the RAT party.


16 posted on 10/05/2012 9:19:28 AM PDT by diamond6 (Freerepublic.com and Hillbuzz.org are my go to sites for conservative news.)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

We all feel the same way.......ILL


17 posted on 10/05/2012 9:19:43 AM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda
You would think a President who’s been nothing but an unmitigated disaster his entire term in addition to being a complete jabbering moron the other night in the debates would be trailing by 5, 10, 15 points

Here are some of the problems getting voters to kick out an incumbent. Think about it in different terms. Lets say you bought a new car three years ago and you were so excited about this new car you bragged to all your friends about the car.

It was a car that would pay off all your debt, it would give you money, it would take care of all your health needs. Never has there ever been a car like this. You were so excited you got your friends to buy the same car. You even went on record to those doubters who tried to tell you that this car was all a mirage.

You were very wrong about the car. It was the biggest lemon ever but you don't really want to admit that to yourself. You wrestle with the question "Am I really this gullible?" If you do give up on your car and sell it, you have to face the friends you misled as well as the folks who are going to say "I told you so".

18 posted on 10/05/2012 9:27:37 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: tatown

Don’t be surprised when the polls start telling us the Obama is winning again. They have to acknowledge that Obama got creamed Wednesday. They know that even the least sophisticated prole knows that Romney cleaned Obama’s clock.
Frustrated Inner Party Demoncrats like Plouf and Axelrod admitted as much yesterday.
As in Nineteen Eighty-four “Two plus two amounts to four” when it must but as soon as the shouting dies down, the polls will again reflect oversampling of Democrats. Not `gloom & doom,’ just realpolitic.


19 posted on 10/05/2012 10:09:04 AM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives)
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Keep FR Running

Fight back.
Counter the MSM spin machine.

20 posted on 10/05/2012 11:31:09 AM PDT by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=93destr)
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To: BlueStateRightist

I think the Marxists have a problem. How do they get ugly with everybody watching and suspecting every accusation is trumped up. tossed out there or a trial balloon?


21 posted on 10/05/2012 11:48:25 AM PDT by Minnesota fox
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To: plushaye

Romney badly needs Ohio, Florida and Virginia. If he steals Wisconsin and some of those normally dimwit states, he can pull this off. But, I still believe he needs more than a 3 or 4 electorial or a 50.1 to 49.9% vote. Then the riots would begin and the dear leader would declare martial law and off to the races banning the courts, etc. and all law would be under him and the feds.


22 posted on 10/05/2012 12:30:35 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (The Scriptures clearly tell us we are in the last days, the end times. Christ is the only answer!)
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To: Raycpa

That’s exactly it!


23 posted on 10/05/2012 1:14:32 PM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (Someday our schools we will teach the difference between "lose" and "loose")
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To: tatown

We’ve finally reached the point where the pollsters have to quit propagandizing and start showing the true numbers. What we are seeing now is close to what was always the case. Considering the Bradley Effect, Romney numbers are likely even better than what the polls will ever show.


24 posted on 10/05/2012 2:05:34 PM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: KansasGirl
Romney is going to win.

From your keyboard, to God's monitor.

25 posted on 10/05/2012 2:08:31 PM PDT by tnlibertarian (Government's solution to everything: Less freedom.)
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To: tatown

“Looking good!”

Yes and we won’t see the full results of the debate until early next week :)


26 posted on 10/05/2012 2:10:44 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: Raycpa

If that car is continually breaking down on your commute to work, your trips to the store or the local government cheese warehouse and is always in the garage because it cannot do ANY of the little things a good car does, then it is time to trade it in for the Romneymobile: looks good, runs good and kicks ass and takes names.


27 posted on 10/05/2012 2:22:11 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda
I don’t know, maybe I’m seeing things wrong, but a 3 point lead? 2 points in other polls? WTF?

You're just seeing the beginning of an upward trend for Romney. Give it some time, and I think the gap will widen in Romney's favor...

28 posted on 10/05/2012 2:33:51 PM PDT by sargon
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To: sargon

I do notice Obama keeps campaigning in Ohio and Wisconsin,,,seems to me they are very much in play.


29 posted on 10/05/2012 4:58:04 PM PDT by austinaero
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To: tatown

“Uh, uh, Jim you may want to move on to another topic...” -—Hussein Obammy (Debate #1)


30 posted on 10/05/2012 8:35:37 PM PDT by Scooter100 ("Now that the fog has lifted, I still can't find my pipe". --- S. Holmes)
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To: xzins

I find all the information about voter registrations in Ohio encouraging. Not because it necessarily shows some turnout advantage for Pubbies, though that would seem to be the case; but, because it indicates that lots of dead people and other fictitious registrations have been expunged. This reduces the opportunities for fraud by locally managed precincts where workers fill-in ballots en masse (read: urban areas). I think the Philly fraud may also be reduced this time.


31 posted on 10/06/2012 10:45:58 AM PDT by Thickman (Obama - President Ubiquitous (a.k.a. P.U.))
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32 posted on 10/06/2012 2:44:58 PM PDT by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=93destr)
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To: Michigander222
Republicans control the entire state government this year, unlike 2008. I'd say the fraud factor will be minimal.

Further, Obama meltdown in Debate I has to be demoralizing as hell to the low-intensity obama voters. The "certain" obama voters may not be all that certain on a cold gray day in November.

33 posted on 10/06/2012 3:13:31 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Raycpa
Cognitive dissonance. It is a real effect. But while it may be active at the verbal level, it may not contribute to the motivation needed to go out and act on it. So this factor may influence verbal behavior but not translate into overt voting behavior. We'll see.
34 posted on 10/06/2012 3:19:21 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: 1035rep

The Ras poll released tomorrow (Sun) morning will be his first one that will be all post debate.


35 posted on 10/06/2012 3:53:11 PM PDT by JPG (Make it happen)
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To: JPG

Good deal, thanks.


36 posted on 10/06/2012 4:37:09 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda
Are people on crack in this country or what?

Some are.But most are on government checks.Not that that's different from crack.

37 posted on 10/06/2012 5:57:30 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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