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Ipsos/Reuters: Obama 46% - Romney 44% (LV)...D+6 (RV), Indys R+6 (RV) - with internals
Ipsos/Reuters ^

Posted on 10/05/2012 7:56:57 PM PDT by profit_guy

If the 2012 Presidential Election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?...

(Excerpt) Read more at ipsos-na.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; onlinepoll

1 posted on 10/05/2012 7:57:07 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

B.S.


2 posted on 10/05/2012 7:58:31 PM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal The 16th Amendment!)
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To: profit_guy

Poll was conducted from Oct 1-5


3 posted on 10/05/2012 8:00:16 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

Impossible to believe.


4 posted on 10/05/2012 8:01:01 PM PDT by Swede Girl
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To: profit_guy
For the survey, a sample of 1,728 American registered voters (age 18 and over) was interviewed online

Worthless
5 posted on 10/05/2012 8:01:21 PM PDT by Cruising For Freedom (Don't be the proof that MSM PsyOps works.)
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To: profit_guy

WOW! They’re pulling all the stops now! Notice how the disastrous Obumbler debate story is all of sudden MIA from the media outlets?? MOVE ALONG FOLKS IT NEVER HAPPENED!!


6 posted on 10/05/2012 8:03:41 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: All


Help End The Obama Era In 2012
Your Monthly and Quarterly Donations
Help Keep FR In the Battle!

7 posted on 10/05/2012 8:10:49 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Cruising For Freedom
"For the survey, a sample of 1,728 American registered voters (age 18 and over) was interviewed online."

BWAHAHAHAHA!

Online, I'm 22 with a 7 digit bank account, a Maserati and rock hard pecs.

This jerk is goin' down!

8 posted on 10/05/2012 8:11:37 PM PDT by SnuffaBolshevik (In a tornado, even turkeys can fly.)
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To: Swede Girl

44% - Democrats
38% - Republican
12% - Independent
4% - None of these
2% - DK


9 posted on 10/05/2012 8:12:23 PM PDT by funfan
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To: Swede Girl

I think it’s good for Romney - because they over-sampled Dems by 6, and Indys favor Romney by 6, then combine all that with the fact the poll was conducted over five days with only one of those days being post debate.


10 posted on 10/05/2012 8:13:23 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: SnuffaBolshevik
Online, I'm 22 with a 7 digit bank account, a Maserati and rock hard pecs.

You too?!
11 posted on 10/05/2012 8:16:56 PM PDT by Cruising For Freedom (Don't be the proof that MSM PsyOps works.)
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To: SnuffaBolshevik

“Online, I’m 22 with a 7 digit bank account, a Maserati and rock hard pecs.”

Check out my page and let me know if you’re interested.

*wink wink*

;)


12 posted on 10/05/2012 8:19:59 PM PDT by Salamander (Like acid and oil on a mad man's face, his reason tends to fly away.)
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To: Cruising For Freedom

How do they go from Registered Voters to likey Voters shouldn’t the stats be on one or the other? Alos they have an oversampling of Democrats too don’t they

44% - Democrats
38% - Republican
12% - Independent
4% - None of these
2% - DK


13 posted on 10/05/2012 8:21:12 PM PDT by funfan
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To: profit_guy

This is actually pretty good for Romney.


14 posted on 10/05/2012 8:21:39 PM PDT by yellowhammer
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To: Cruising For Freedom
How do they go from Registered Voters to likely Voters shouldn't the stats be on one or the other? Also they have an oversampling of Democrats too don't they

44% - Democrats
38% - Republican
12% - Independent
4% - None of these
2% - DK

15 posted on 10/05/2012 8:22:00 PM PDT by funfan
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To: funfan

Don’t even bother making sense of online polls, or any other polls for that matter. It’s a waste of our time. Just GOTV.


16 posted on 10/05/2012 8:25:08 PM PDT by Cruising For Freedom (Don't be the proof that MSM PsyOps works.)
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To: profit_guy

Most importantly Indy’s say Romney won the first debate 52-17.


17 posted on 10/05/2012 8:26:01 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

It Ipso/Reuters. The least accurate of all the polls.


18 posted on 10/05/2012 8:32:27 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: RoseofTexas

I actually heard more about the 47% video today than I did about the debate. thanks, Wolf .


19 posted on 10/05/2012 9:08:15 PM PDT by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: MNJohnnie

Below is from a pdf file, just google `42 fallacies’.
It’s good stuff but lots of click ads, so watch out.

Fallacy: Biased Sample

Also Known as: Biased Statistics, Loaded Sample, Prejudiced Statistics, Prejudiced Sample, Loaded Statistics, Biased Induction, Biased Generalization

Description of Biased Sample
This fallacy is committed when a person draws a conclusion about a population based on a sample that is biased or prejudiced in some manner. It has the following form:
Sample S, which is biased, is taken from population P.
Conclusion C is drawn about Population P based on S.
The person committing the fallacy is misusing the following type of reasoning, which is known variously as Inductive Generalization, Generalization, and Statistical Generalization:
X% of all observed A’s are B’’s.
Therefore X% of all A’s are Bs.

My experience over the last couple weeks is that I have been called by pollsters more than once and as soon as the interviewer determines that I’m not in the bag for Obama, s/he hangs up.
These experiences and the fact that Obama makes Jimmy Carter look like Moses parting the Red Sea leads me to believe that the polls are no more biased than, say, the CBS evening news, Chris Matthews or Michelle Obama.


20 posted on 10/05/2012 9:16:16 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives)
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To: MNJohnnie

Worse than the “Special Sauce” Zogby Poll?


21 posted on 10/05/2012 9:21:26 PM PDT by princeofdarkness (The Obama Administration is circling the wagons. But the Truth Indians are using flaming arrows.)
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To: profit_guy
This is very good for Romney.

I have noticed this in the last few weeks. Apparently the pollsters got pissed about their Dem over samples being pointed out. So what they did is inflate both Dem and Rep samples and decrease the Indy sample. That way they could get the results they wanted but hide the statistical manipulation they were using to get that result.

So reweigh the poll to a 34D-31R-25Indy which is a more accurate sample and use the Indy sample split as the poll did 38% to 32% and you get an Obama 42-Romney 41 split.
The rest is either no vote, vote for 3rd party or undecided. Out of that 14% you can figure a 4% no vote or other vote leaving 10% undecided

Historically undecided break 2 to 1 to the challenger. In this case Romney. Split it that way and you get Romney 47.5 and Obama 45.5.

Now keep in mind that is merely the snapshot right now.

Looking at the internals what Romney seems to have accomplished in the 1st debate is to totally undo all the negative advertising the Mass Media and the O regime have thrown at him to date. In non partisan voters minds Romney has solidly established himself as a viable credible alternative to Obama. Based on how the trend is going, that suggest it is now Romney's race to lose. It is going to be very tough to undo the damage Obama did to himself in the 1st debate.

22 posted on 10/05/2012 9:33:36 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: profit_guy

Hi, can you please post today’s (Saturday’s) Rasmussen national poll internals?


23 posted on 10/06/2012 6:58:37 AM PDT by Cruising For Freedom (Don't be the proof that MSM PsyOps works.)
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To: Cruising For Freedom

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2941087/posts


24 posted on 10/06/2012 7:29:49 AM PDT by profit_guy
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