Posted on 10/06/2012 8:17:22 AM PDT by Perdogg
A new poll shows a slight change in the presidential race immediately following Wednesday night's debate in Denver, with a 4-point lead for President Obama the day before the debate becoming a 1-point deficit the day after his uninspiring peformance.
On Tuesday, the Washington, D.C.-based Clarus Research Group surveyed 590 likely voters and found Obama leading Mitt Romney, 49 percent to 45 percent. On Thursday, Clarus found, in an identical number of interviews, that Romney had inched ahead by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...
Just wait until post debate of Ryan v. Biden...add another 4 points!!!
General consenus, on all sides.. is that at least 90%, if not more of the electorate is firmly locked in..committed to one of the candidates, and can't be swayed. So, if there's a maximum of 10% available, and we now have a 5 point swing..according to the article..that means that the one debate swayed 50% of the voters that could be influenced...
Looks like Obama is settling in around 46-48 after the debate. I feel pretty good about that 30 days out. Romney needs to put the hammer down the next two weeks (Ryan and Townhall debate and more good ads), and he’s in good shape.
I can’t even Watch Obama open his yap, but I am going to enjoy watching Ryan take Biden to the mat.
Bring on the popcorn. On second thought, I expect to be laughing so hard I’d better not. I might choke on it!
IF the subject is America is the most detestable place to live and is to blame for all the World's ills; or perhaps simply the standard theme of the Black Victims Industry's America is RACIST and must be taken down!
.. otherwise he needs a teleprompter to read because anything other than condemnation of America is like a foreign language to him.
Looks like oversampling Dems isn’t even working.
Pray for America
ping
Is this even possible? I know that I still get stuck in traffic jams every time I go to work!
Obama got beat because the things that would improve the economy aren’t of interest to him or he would have learned them long ago.
They’re DOE numbers, and there are three decades worth on that chart.
Maybe other areas of the country are seeing less traffic on the roads?
Unexpected..not.
If Obama is playing rope a dope as the Left claims the dope he roped is himself.
I want Paul Ryan to cram like Joe Biden was a blooming rose!!! Biden is, by far....the dumbest human being in the universe......but....I would take nothing for granted. Ryan has to be on top of his and the game to insure the political wipeout of Joe Biden. Please Paul...we love ya, but take nothing for granted. Proper planning, expert knowledge of the debate material, excellent delivery, bestows proper, successful, victory, performance!!! Do it!!!
Biden is a good debater and won every single debate in which he appeared with Hillary and Obama.
He lies and misrepresents like crazy, but it’s so natural to him that he gets away with it. There’s no way that some MSM journalist will call him on it.
Ryan’s signature retort to Joe Biden next Thursday should be “There you again Joe, making stuff up”.
The bump is nice, but probably temporary. And it’s nice Romney won the first debate, but we shouldn’t read too much into that. Virtually all incumbents since 1980 have lost the first debate. I think the only exception was Clinton. I have a hunch His Majesty is going to come out with all guns blazing in the next debate. I hope Romney isn’t overconfident.
“90%, if not more of the electorate is firmly locked in”
Those that say they are locked in assume that nothing will happen to change their minds. Something just happened that was unexpected by many, and certainly by those “locked in” to Obama.
Past counts of locked-in voters are no longer accurate.
The next Romney/Obama debate is town hall format. I don’t know that is the best spot for Obama to go on the attack.
Hasn’t the media already proclaimed Biden the winner of the debate with Ryan, as they did with his faceoff with Palin? So many just know what the media tells them, and I suspect Obama will regain his favor in the second debate with determined media spin.
First, it DOES make a difference where you are driving. The entire country or even parts of states no doubt have differing amounts of traffic when compared to the past. It might also make a difference WHEN you typically drive. Some people are still driving but making fewer trips, combining errands etc but might still be found on the roads when YOU typically drive.
People are making fewer long distance/cross country type trips unless they are truckers and working. I also hear that some trucking companies have gone and are going to natural gas powered vehicles.
Second, a lot of people are driving vehicles that are much more fuel efficient than in the past.
I don’t know the specifics, but I hear on the news that America’s gasoline consumption continues to decline, per capita, year upon year upon year, which would generally fit the conclusion from the Energy Dept. data.
Do NOT underestimate Biden people.
Yeah, he has a idiotic reputation, but don’t forget his performance wasn’t bad against Palin.
I think luckily Ryan is young and should come across well, but do not underestimate Biden.
I think ALL the tapes, revelations, the Relemundo stuff were orchestrated somehow by Mitt’s team. I think you HAVE seen the hammer falling.
Democrat loses 5 points in one day “slight change in the polll”
Republican down 2 points in the poll. “Race is over”
I could be wrong, but didn’t Bite-Me do pretty well vs Palin, when everyone thought he would be stomped?
Yes, he did very well. He’s smooth and his misrepresentations go by so quickly that he doesn’t get called on them.
Post of the day......
Its a friggin poll, of which I will NOT believe in any shape form or size.
They are in full tilt panic mode, creating loes after lies, their whole mantra is to lie their way to victory, to them playing golf is tossing hundreds of balls onto the green and when one rolls by chance into the hole they will claim it a hole in one.
No truth whatsoever, from polls to job numbers, from foreign intel to Obamacare, its all lies, smoke and diversions because doing it the right way would be too easy and the unions won’t make their take of the proceeds.
Obama got his ass whupped, now he is a rich spoiled brat scheming on getting even by any means, usually it will involve something dangerous will occur in the plan of making Romney look even smaller.
Sarah was defenseless against Biden’s lies due to the fact that she wasn’t from inside the Beltway...Ryan has been there 14 years and can refute whatever bs Biden attempts to peddle.
Good, the only thing Obama has going for him is his “likeability”. He comes out “All guns blazing” and it is going to do only one thing, knock those numbers down.
Well at the rebalance site Obama has slipped A full .5% and stands at 44.47%. Romney has almost a 4% lead with 7% still undecided. This survey includes polls from before the debate.
They are still using a +.13% D party affiliation number.
Obama is toast.
This time, however, is different. There's another variable in this calculus that places unprecedented weight on the debates. That variable is the fact last Wednesday was the first time Obama has been seriously challenged by a serious and prepared opponent. He's being vetted for the first time ever.
Yes! And at that point Biden had no record to defend (as a VP/ Obama surrogate). He now has four years of failure to defend; WHOLE NEW BALLGAME!!
Excellent charts. Thanks.
Glad you see their value.
That food stamp chart is scary.
The other day I was in the checkout line behind a slightly chubby, healthy twentysomething woman who may or may not have been in college. She swiped a card of some sort as payment. The cashier said she had to sign for it. The girl signed, and left the receipt behind, discarded.
I don’t think she would have discarded the receipt if it has been from a debit card or a credit card.
Notice how the story is stated in terms of Obama, e.g. Obama slides. Obama has been President for 4 years. A poor debate performance did not all of sudden enlighten people as to what Obama is or is not about.
No. The real story is that Romney is surging. A lot more people now have seen Romney in action and heard his side of the story.
Ever hear Patricia Bin Murray from Washington, Al Franken from Minnesota or our own Pennsylvania doofus Bob Casey, Jr., the best thing of which can be said about him is that he is silent and invisible most of the time?
Biden is dumb, but nowhere near the dumbest. Not even in the narrow universe of present and former U.S. Senators. Vice Presidents? Maybe. But Al Gore would give him tough competition for that title.
This is but a very narrow part of the market, link here shows a better count of the total gasoline market
http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=wgfupus2&f=w
This is but a very narrow part of the market, link here shows a better count of the total gasoline market
http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=wgfupus2&f=w
I rather doubt it will move the numbers at all. People are going to focus on the top of the ticket unless there were some extreme gaffe.
In what world four years ago this month would Sarah have been expected to stomp Biden? Maybe here, but, that would have been about it.
I don’t know what’’s wrong with me. I’m still terrified of something but not sure what. But I do know that evil doesn’t just give up and go away, they find even more heinous methods to destroy their enemies.
Aside from that, I’m feeling pretty damn good about the debate :-)
Yes here. That was exactly what I referred to.
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