Skip to comments.Election 2012: Wisconsin Tightens Considerably (O49, R47)
Posted on 10/06/2012 5:25:15 PM PDT by Lexinom
PPP's newest Wisconsin poll finds a big debate bump for Mitt Romney in the state. Two weeks ago he trailed Barack Obama by 7 points there, 52-45. Now he's pulled to within two points, with Obama's lead now just 49-47.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
it is a PPP Poll Democratic Pollster! Democratic pollster Dean Debnam founded the company. They do polling for left leaning entities!!! They are usually pretty far off the mark also they did a automated phone poll no body talks to you. Are you a Democrat press 1 Rep press 2... vary suspect!!!
No question WI will go R/R. Repubs need to send every dime to OH, VA, FL, and CO. Whatever’s left, MI (yes, MI).
If Romney wins every Southern state plus Iowa, Nevada, and Colorado, he wins.
Why? And by 20 pts? Color me dubious.
Obama won Indiana by 1% in 2008 while Bush won Indiana by about 16% in 2000 and 21% in 2004.
unfortunatly your right as this is a non-Confederate state, for other words a Commie stronghold despite Walkers victory.
Hopefully he will tell them to vote for him so many times on their Obama phones that they will become immune and ignore the messages.
“Secure our Future” was running ads in both MI and WI. If Ryan can make a stop in Rockford, IL for two hours...ah nevermind.
If Romney/Ryan can tie Zero to future liberal judge appointments, it may fire up the base even more.
A lib judge just shot down Walker’s reform law, IIRC (or was it the voter ID law, or both?)
That said, it's looking very good, and if I'm not mistaken Bush came very close to taking WI at least once.
OF: CO, FL, IA, NC, NH, NV, OH, VA, WI
I rate them as follows (from most to least probable for Romney):
NC (+3), OH (+2) , NV (+2), NH (+2), FL (0), VA (0), IA (-1), CO (-2), WI (-2)
I’m thinking NC is moving off the table.
I’m thinking we’re looking good in OH, NV and NH
I’m thinking FL and VA are ground zero.. Technically, we could win without Florida, but that would mean carrying al the other battleground states. If we carry FL but not VA, we could still win by carrying any one of CO, IA and WI, in addition to NC, OH, NV and NH.
So, I’m thinking FL is back to ground zero; but, because of the closeness and the size of the following four states, I think we will see the candidates devoting a lot of time, advertising and field operatives in FL, OH and VA.
As of right now, with continued good luck among the dwindling undecideds, and with some of the Johnson supporters shifting to Romney, I’m thinking we’ll carrying all of the battlegrounds plus NM and PA.
Considering what Scott Walker has done for Wisconsin, I cannot fathom why anybody other than a committed welfare case or union thug would ever vote for Obama.
I would look at SteveAustin’s #11. He knows something about the voting dynamics in WI.
The problem we have here is that we passed a really solid voter ID law last year. A liberal judge in Madison struck it down and the lib judges have it bottled up in the appeals court. Our one vote conservative majority supreme court has refused to take up the case until the appeals court has had a chance to rule on it. So voter ID will not be in place for the election next month,
We do have our share of voter fraud here. The city of Milwaukee is loaded with invalid or outdated voter registrations. I think the Dem candidate can pick up a good chunk of fraud votes here.
The bigger issue we have in Wisconsin is the fact Obama is black. There is a good chance that a larger part of the black community comes out for Obama whereas they didn’t have interest in other non Presidential elections over the last two years.
For whatever reasons, the black community in Milwaukee really didn’t get energized by the Scott Walker elections. The real state money here goes to the largely white teachers and public employees and those were the motivated voters in our Walker battles.
Don’t forget Michigan - it’s looking like the race there is tight enough to deem it a swing state.
Has Aaron Rodgers endorsed Romney/Ryan yet? In a tight race, that sort of thing might make a difference to last-minute deciders...
Seeing good news in Colorado. It’s another ‘ground zero’ state.
This is a 5 point swing. States like NH, IA and NV are now in play or in Romney’s camp. Ohio is the ground zero swing state, but with Romney looking like he’s up a few points overall, Obama is the one with a lot of exposed truf to defend, including WI.
This race has turned a corner. It was looking shaky in September but no longer.