Posted on 10/06/2012 10:39:32 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar
A new poll shows Mitt Romney flipping a 5-point deficit in Colorado before the first presidential debate, which was held on Wednesday in Denver, to a 3.5-point advantage later in the week — another signal that Mr. Romney's comparatively strong debate performance has started to translate into rising poll numbers for the Republican.
A poll from Gravis Marketing, conducted Oct. 3-4, shows Mr. Romney with a 49.4 percent to 45.9 percent lead over Mr. Obama. The president had held nearly a 5-point lead in a poll conducted Sept. 25, at 50.2 percent to 45.5 percent.
Mr. Obama's job approval numbers are also significantly underwater in the new poll: 40.5 percent approve, while 50.9 percent disapprove. Just 36.8 percent of voters say the country is on the right track, compared to 53.5 percent who think it's on the wrong track.
The political party affiliation of the survey's sample was about 32 percent Republican, 28 percent Democrat and 40 percent "other."
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...
Poll Ping.
wow.
One debate can make a big difference. Right now I say Romney would win this election, probably take Wisconsin, Indiana, Florida and Colorado too.
Its cool to see the battlegrounds switch to the ones the Dems thought they owned.
I like this. I like this a lot.
Now it looks like they’ve started under utilizing the Dems. What’s up with that?
Glass Jaw.. who knew...
Dunno. Perhaps they are basing the poll on the current number of registered dems, reps, and ind?
They all got caught fudging the numbers; the debate gave them the excuse they needed to salvage their reputations after Obumbles gets thrown out of office.
As much as I like this poll result, I am unsure what to make of the sampling they used in CO: 32R/28D/40I .........comments?
How do you read this poll?
As the election gets closer, pollsters use more accurate sampling. They don’t want to be accused of getting it wrong later.
With the independents moving to the GOP and heavy Republican turnout, the Democrats could lose the Senate as well as the White House and the GOP could add several seats to its House majority.
It doesn’t look good and if Obama lives it down on his second debate, congressional Democrats are going to look for reasons not to have him in their districts or states. They don’t want to go down with the ship.
IN has never been a swing state. 2008 was anomaly and we won’t see that again in our lifetime.
If this continues (and I pray that it does), we are looking at the makings of the greatest landslide victory in decades.
It’s obvious. It’s so they can later deflate Mitt’s numbers to blunt his moment... at the appropriate time.
Not me. I can’t stand the guy.
But I do wish every one else the best. I wouldn’t get in any one’s way in this election.
Since he’s a liberal Republican, keep in mind why the race is as close as it is. Obama still has a chance to recover.
It ain’t over yet.
This was expected.
Obama is not going to recover.
The RNC convention didn't change much because unfortunately it was held the last big vacation week of summer; before Labor Day and, by the time there was a small bounce it was washed away by the DNC convention held the following week.
This is really the first time Romney was able to reach that amount of the public unfiltered. It helped!
This can't be right.
yep
It was also the first time many saw Obama unfiltered and unpackaged
40% belonged to other parties, what?
I believe you have hit the nail on the head.
Prior to the debate, the BIG story floating around the blogosphere, just shy of needing to be voiced by the enemedia, was the poll agenda of disheartening, discouraging, and imminent capitulation of Romney voters.
I remember thinking after the debate Romney did well, and zer0 didn’t, not overwhelmingly so... but the “trouncing” story snowballed overnight.
This trouncing is the enemedia’s way to switch to “save face”, abandoning the “Romney is toast” meme, and move to more realistic apportionments of D’s/R’s/I’s/U’s.
Over sampling R?..
Weird. What are they up to?
I can’t ever remember a debate where there was such a dramatic impact on the loser’s supporters. Usually, debates will swing a few undecideds one way or the other, but I’ve run into a bunch of committed liberals who are shocked and disheartened by Obama’s debate performance.
In one case, it was a black guy in line in front of me in the store talking loudly on his cell phone, saying, “If I didn’t know ‘bama, I’d be votin’ for that other dude. I’m still rootin’ for ‘bama, but I scared, now.”
I still don’t trust Romney to govern as a conservative, but at least he’s head and shoulders above the empty chair we have right now. ...and I do know Paul Ryan and trust he will be an asset as VP.
Yep, the real Obama without the packaging and the script is a real empty suit. People saw that last week. I bet a lot of them are deflated and confused. His entire media-created image was a fraud and its been shown to be. They will try to put it back in the bottle, they do have the media on their side.
Building O up for a comeback after the next debate, bank on it.
Now they will oversample the Republicans so they can make Barack the comeback kid again.
Nothing new under the sun.
You can’t stand Romney, but you are fine with giving Obama 4 more years to further socialize the country and add another $6-7 Trillion in debt? You want us to be another Greece? Have you kept up with the hardships Greeks are undergoing right now? Are you a financial flunkie?
There is still hope.......I never celebrated a particular victory before, but if this Marxist loses I sure will. God help this nation to rid itself of this curse......and I do hope that a good portion of the public have learned their lesson!
The lazy liberal left likes its food raw and its politics processed (think Comedy Central and anything else pre-masticated and pre-digested by the MSM).
Time for some political roughage, people!
I detest pre-chewed politics.
Romney’s been ahead for a while already. The pollsters just want to start posting reality a month before the election so they don’t look so stupid when Obama loses big.
So pollsters often discount the number of Dem voters by the 'highly disapprove' percentage they find.
I don't know what that number is in Colorado, but it easily could be 3-4 percent - the difference between known registration and the poll results.
The debate was like a hard slap to the face of some marginal Obama voters that broke them out of their trance/delusion. “My God, where was I, what was I doing? ...”
My thoughts exactly. These numbers have been cooked for a long time. Now the MSM is trying to salvage what little reputation they thought they had. Problem is, once a reputation is lost, it’s hard to get back.
Either a misprint or something very strange.
Until the debate all major polls were over weighing the Dems based on the 2008 turnout - which was of historic proportions and will never happen again. And they ignored how high 'the anybody but Obama vote' was. So now they're factoring that in with a +4% R turnout or most Independents going R (like - Broken Glass Voters of 2000).
I don't think its been a secret, except to the MSM, that GOP voters, Tea Party, etc, have been really energized to get rid of Obama. And Dem voters have been down and dejected, plus 'the yute vote' is gone for Barry. Or has turned against him and are now voting for Romney.
Does this mix sound like Colorado? A D/R/I of 28/32/50?
I'm concerned that we are being set up for the big Obama comeback.
Never count in CO too soon; it usually disappoints.
“Does this mix sound like Colorado? A D/R/I of 28/32/50? “
Registration of active Colorado voters as of 9/2012:
Dem: 806,876
Pub: 871,275
Ind: 798,422
So the pollster is R+4 and an apparent oversample of +18 for Independents. This versus a registration of R+2.6. I’m guessing that his TurnOut Model is based on who answered the phone. We criticized the Dem leaning polls for that practice, at least I did. Now we love them.
Don't get too confident. Obama should easily handle his/Hillary's decision to remove security from the Libya Team. But come to think of it, there is no possible explanation for his/her actions short of just total incompetence. LOL.
But, of course there is the outside possibility that it's Bush's fault.
This clown is going to get taken to the woodshed yet again by Romney who will look like a foreign policy master after the next debate.
We have only 2 guys that could make a difference in the direction our country is headed.
So - you're going to stand up for your country like this?
I hear what you are saying about pollsters wanting to get it right for their records, however my view on polling is that they only manufacture opinion.
I may be on my own, but it`s a deeply held belief I have had for many years.
The view I hold does not close the possibility that there may be a few honest pollsters, it`s just that the masses are swayed by the announced numbers of the many,
So a guy like Ras... whoever ( I have no favorites aside from the long gone George Gallup) could in fact do some honest polling, but the pool of people has already been tarnished by the other polls they have already heard, prior to taking a so called honest poll.
So I think the “science” is dead
Gravis has looked suspiciously R-leaning... so balance that with those D-leaning polls to get the ‘truth’.
Meanwhile “The Great Leader” is flinging all the mud he can concoct. Romney is staying on track.
The American people are seeing this and responding
These polls are “RACIST!!!!”/sarc
They under sampled both D and R and over sampled I in this poll. However the 3 point gap between R and D is reflective in CO Party ID polling.
Mitt Romney’s debate performance gave the snooze media the cover they needed for dumping their cooked polling results. Now we’re seeing the previous actual numbers with a bit of a post-debate bounce.
Thanks Jet Jaguar.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.