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New polls show Romney overtakes Obama in Colorado, nationally
washingtontimes.com/ ^ | 6 Oct 2012

Posted on 10/06/2012 10:39:32 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar

A new poll shows Mitt Romney flipping a 5-point deficit in Colorado before the first presidential debate, which was held on Wednesday in Denver, to a 3.5-point advantage later in the week — another signal that Mr. Romney's comparatively strong debate performance has started to translate into rising poll numbers for the Republican.

A poll from Gravis Marketing, conducted Oct. 3-4, shows Mr. Romney with a 49.4 percent to 45.9 percent lead over Mr. Obama. The president had held nearly a 5-point lead in a poll conducted Sept. 25, at 50.2 percent to 45.5 percent.

Mr. Obama's job approval numbers are also significantly underwater in the new poll: 40.5 percent approve, while 50.9 percent disapprove. Just 36.8 percent of voters say the country is on the right track, compared to 53.5 percent who think it's on the wrong track.

The political party affiliation of the survey's sample was about 32 percent Republican, 28 percent Democrat and 40 percent "other."

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado
KEYWORDS: colorado
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1 posted on 10/06/2012 10:39:45 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll Ping.


2 posted on 10/06/2012 10:40:39 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: Jet Jaguar

wow.

One debate can make a big difference. Right now I say Romney would win this election, probably take Wisconsin, Indiana, Florida and Colorado too.

Its cool to see the battlegrounds switch to the ones the Dems thought they owned.


3 posted on 10/06/2012 10:41:57 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Jet Jaguar

I like this. I like this a lot.


4 posted on 10/06/2012 10:43:50 PM PDT by Slyfox
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To: Jet Jaguar

Now it looks like they’ve started under utilizing the Dems. What’s up with that?


5 posted on 10/06/2012 10:43:58 PM PDT by SierraWasp ("The New Normal," is FAR from any normality!!!)
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To: Jet Jaguar

Glass Jaw.. who knew...


6 posted on 10/06/2012 10:47:53 PM PDT by desertfreedom765
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To: SierraWasp

Dunno. Perhaps they are basing the poll on the current number of registered dems, reps, and ind?


7 posted on 10/06/2012 10:52:40 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: SierraWasp

They all got caught fudging the numbers; the debate gave them the excuse they needed to salvage their reputations after Obumbles gets thrown out of office.


8 posted on 10/06/2012 10:53:21 PM PDT by fireman15 (Check your facts before making ignorant statements.)
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To: Jet Jaguar

As much as I like this poll result, I am unsure what to make of the sampling they used in CO: 32R/28D/40I .........comments?


9 posted on 10/06/2012 10:53:30 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: LS; Ravi

How do you read this poll?


10 posted on 10/06/2012 10:55:51 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: profit_guy

As the election gets closer, pollsters use more accurate sampling. They don’t want to be accused of getting it wrong later.

With the independents moving to the GOP and heavy Republican turnout, the Democrats could lose the Senate as well as the White House and the GOP could add several seats to its House majority.

It doesn’t look good and if Obama lives it down on his second debate, congressional Democrats are going to look for reasons not to have him in their districts or states. They don’t want to go down with the ship.

IN has never been a swing state. 2008 was anomaly and we won’t see that again in our lifetime.


11 posted on 10/06/2012 11:01:07 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Jet Jaguar

If this continues (and I pray that it does), we are looking at the makings of the greatest landslide victory in decades.


12 posted on 10/06/2012 11:03:58 PM PDT by Stonewall Jackson ("I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy.")
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To: Jet Jaguar
Everybody complains about the polls when they are not going their way. Poll numbers do not make up for the hard work that is still needed to get Barack Obama voted out of office. We need to all get out the vote. Anybody that you know that will vote against BO, take them to the voting booth personally.
13 posted on 10/06/2012 11:04:42 PM PDT by political1 (Love your neighbors)
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To: profit_guy

It’s obvious. It’s so they can later deflate Mitt’s numbers to blunt his moment... at the appropriate time.


14 posted on 10/06/2012 11:07:54 PM PDT by Lexinom
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To: political1

Not me. I can’t stand the guy.

But I do wish every one else the best. I wouldn’t get in any one’s way in this election.


15 posted on 10/06/2012 11:08:02 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Lexinom

Since he’s a liberal Republican, keep in mind why the race is as close as it is. Obama still has a chance to recover.

It ain’t over yet.


16 posted on 10/06/2012 11:09:38 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Jet Jaguar
Many on FR were saying that the polls would tighten in Oct, which is what is happening.

This was expected.

Obama is not going to recover.

17 posted on 10/06/2012 11:10:24 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: GeronL
Didn't approximately 70 million people see the debate? That's a lot for now a day with all the other Internet and cable/satellite options.

The RNC convention didn't change much because unfortunately it was held the last big vacation week of summer; before Labor Day and, by the time there was a small bounce it was washed away by the DNC convention held the following week.

This is really the first time Romney was able to reach that amount of the public unfiltered. It helped!

18 posted on 10/06/2012 11:11:09 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Jet Jaguar
The political party affiliation of the survey's sample was about 32 percent Republican, 28 percent Democrat and 40 percent "other."

This can't be right.

19 posted on 10/06/2012 11:11:53 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: snarkytart

yep

It was also the first time many saw Obama unfiltered and unpackaged


20 posted on 10/06/2012 11:14:01 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: fortheDeclaration

40% belonged to other parties, what?


21 posted on 10/06/2012 11:14:56 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: fireman15

I believe you have hit the nail on the head.

Prior to the debate, the BIG story floating around the blogosphere, just shy of needing to be voiced by the enemedia, was the poll agenda of disheartening, discouraging, and imminent capitulation of Romney voters.

I remember thinking after the debate Romney did well, and zer0 didn’t, not overwhelmingly so... but the “trouncing” story snowballed overnight.

This trouncing is the enemedia’s way to switch to “save face”, abandoning the “Romney is toast” meme, and move to more realistic apportionments of D’s/R’s/I’s/U’s.


22 posted on 10/06/2012 11:17:35 PM PDT by C210N ("ask not what the candidate can do for you, ask what you can do for the candidate" (Breitbart, 2012))
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To: fortheDeclaration

Over sampling R?..

Weird. What are they up to?


23 posted on 10/06/2012 11:17:44 PM PDT by TigerClaws
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To: GeronL

I can’t ever remember a debate where there was such a dramatic impact on the loser’s supporters. Usually, debates will swing a few undecideds one way or the other, but I’ve run into a bunch of committed liberals who are shocked and disheartened by Obama’s debate performance.

In one case, it was a black guy in line in front of me in the store talking loudly on his cell phone, saying, “If I didn’t know ‘bama, I’d be votin’ for that other dude. I’m still rootin’ for ‘bama, but I scared, now.”

I still don’t trust Romney to govern as a conservative, but at least he’s head and shoulders above the empty chair we have right now. ...and I do know Paul Ryan and trust he will be an asset as VP.


24 posted on 10/06/2012 11:17:56 PM PDT by MediaMole
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To: MediaMole

Yep, the real Obama without the packaging and the script is a real empty suit. People saw that last week. I bet a lot of them are deflated and confused. His entire media-created image was a fraud and its been shown to be. They will try to put it back in the bottle, they do have the media on their side.


25 posted on 10/06/2012 11:20:24 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: TigerClaws

Building O up for a comeback after the next debate, bank on it.

Now they will oversample the Republicans so they can make Barack the comeback kid again.

Nothing new under the sun.


26 posted on 10/06/2012 11:21:46 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: goldstategop

You can’t stand Romney, but you are fine with giving Obama 4 more years to further socialize the country and add another $6-7 Trillion in debt? You want us to be another Greece? Have you kept up with the hardships Greeks are undergoing right now? Are you a financial flunkie?


27 posted on 10/06/2012 11:54:29 PM PDT by entropy12
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To: Stonewall Jackson

There is still hope.......I never celebrated a particular victory before, but if this Marxist loses I sure will. God help this nation to rid itself of this curse......and I do hope that a good portion of the public have learned their lesson!


28 posted on 10/07/2012 12:02:24 AM PDT by saintgermaine
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To: GeronL
It was also the first time many saw Obama unfiltered and unpackaged and unhinged.
29 posted on 10/07/2012 12:10:15 AM PDT by spokeshave (The only people better off today than 4 years ago are the Prisoners at Guantanamo.)
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To: GeronL; snarkytart
It was also the first time many saw Obama unfiltered and unpackaged

The lazy liberal left likes its food raw and its politics processed (think Comedy Central and anything else pre-masticated and pre-digested by the MSM).

Time for some political roughage, people!

30 posted on 10/07/2012 12:15:58 AM PDT by thecodont
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To: thecodont; spokeshave

I detest pre-chewed politics.


31 posted on 10/07/2012 12:26:03 AM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: GeronL

Romney’s been ahead for a while already. The pollsters just want to start posting reality a month before the election so they don’t look so stupid when Obama loses big.


32 posted on 10/07/2012 1:11:40 AM PDT by WildWeasel
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To: Jet Jaguar; SierraWasp; profit_guy
I think the balance is found in the disapproval of Obama performance among Democrats. A growing number of Democrats have said they will be voting for another candidate.

So pollsters often discount the number of Dem voters by the 'highly disapprove' percentage they find.

I don't know what that number is in Colorado, but it easily could be 3-4 percent - the difference between known registration and the poll results.

33 posted on 10/07/2012 1:21:41 AM PDT by Ron C.
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To: Jet Jaguar

The debate was like a hard slap to the face of some marginal Obama voters that broke them out of their trance/delusion. “My God, where was I, what was I doing? ...”


34 posted on 10/07/2012 2:10:01 AM PDT by MrDem (Founder: Democrats for Cheney/Palin 2012)
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To: fireman15

My thoughts exactly. These numbers have been cooked for a long time. Now the MSM is trying to salvage what little reputation they thought they had. Problem is, once a reputation is lost, it’s hard to get back.


35 posted on 10/07/2012 2:45:36 AM PDT by HarleyD
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To: TigerClaws

Either a misprint or something very strange.


36 posted on 10/07/2012 3:45:56 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: SierraWasp
My assumption for the +4 R is a 'voter enthusiasm index'.

Until the debate all major polls were over weighing the Dems based on the 2008 turnout - which was of historic proportions and will never happen again. And they ignored how high 'the anybody but Obama vote' was. So now they're factoring that in with a +4% R turnout or most Independents going R (like - Broken Glass Voters of 2000).

I don't think its been a secret, except to the MSM, that GOP voters, Tea Party, etc, have been really energized to get rid of Obama. And Dem voters have been down and dejected, plus 'the yute vote' is gone for Barry. Or has turned against him and are now voting for Romney.

37 posted on 10/07/2012 4:49:39 AM PDT by Condor51 (Si vis pacem, para bellum.)
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To: Jet Jaguar

38 posted on 10/07/2012 4:53:18 AM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: Jet Jaguar
The political party affiliation of the survey's sample was about 32 percent Republican, 28 percent Democrat and 40 percent "other."

Does this mix sound like Colorado? A D/R/I of 28/32/50?

I'm concerned that we are being set up for the big Obama comeback.

39 posted on 10/07/2012 5:07:03 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: Jet Jaguar

Never count in CO too soon; it usually disappoints.


40 posted on 10/07/2012 8:39:30 AM PDT by Theodore R. (`)
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To: InterceptPoint

“Does this mix sound like Colorado? A D/R/I of 28/32/50? “

Registration of active Colorado voters as of 9/2012:

Dem: 806,876

Pub: 871,275

Ind: 798,422


41 posted on 10/07/2012 9:33:18 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: catnipman

So the pollster is R+4 and an apparent oversample of +18 for Independents. This versus a registration of R+2.6. I’m guessing that his TurnOut Model is based on who answered the phone. We criticized the Dem leaning polls for that practice, at least I did. Now we love them.


42 posted on 10/07/2012 10:27:27 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: Slyfox
I like this. I like this a lot.

Don't get too confident. Obama should easily handle his/Hillary's decision to remove security from the Libya Team. But come to think of it, there is no possible explanation for his/her actions short of just total incompetence. LOL.

But, of course there is the outside possibility that it's Bush's fault.

This clown is going to get taken to the woodshed yet again by Romney who will look like a foreign policy master after the next debate.

43 posted on 10/07/2012 10:37:56 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: goldstategop
"But I do wish every one else the best. I wouldn’t get in any one’s way in this election.

We have only 2 guys that could make a difference in the direction our country is headed.

So - you're going to stand up for your country like this?

44 posted on 10/07/2012 2:07:06 PM PDT by LADY J (You never know how strong you are until being strong is the only choice you have. - Author Unknown)
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To: goldstategop

I hear what you are saying about pollsters wanting to get it right for their records, however my view on polling is that they only manufacture opinion.

I may be on my own, but it`s a deeply held belief I have had for many years.

The view I hold does not close the possibility that there may be a few honest pollsters, it`s just that the masses are swayed by the announced numbers of the many,

So a guy like Ras... whoever ( I have no favorites aside from the long gone George Gallup) could in fact do some honest polling, but the pool of people has already been tarnished by the other polls they have already heard, prior to taking a so called honest poll.

So I think the “science” is dead


45 posted on 10/07/2012 4:37:11 PM PDT by Friendofgeorge (SARAH PALIN 2012 OR BUST)
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To: SierraWasp

Gravis has looked suspiciously R-leaning... so balance that with those D-leaning polls to get the ‘truth’.


46 posted on 10/07/2012 4:42:09 PM PDT by WOSG (REPEAL AND REPLACE OBAMA. He stole America’s promise!)
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To: Jet Jaguar

Meanwhile “The Great Leader” is flinging all the mud he can concoct. Romney is staying on track.

The American people are seeing this and responding


47 posted on 10/07/2012 4:48:00 PM PDT by Gamecock
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To: Jet Jaguar

These polls are “RACIST!!!!”/sarc


48 posted on 10/07/2012 4:57:06 PM PDT by ReformationFan
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To: SierraWasp

They under sampled both D and R and over sampled I in this poll. However the 3 point gap between R and D is reflective in CO Party ID polling.


49 posted on 10/07/2012 6:20:44 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Mitt Romney’s debate performance gave the snooze media the cover they needed for dumping their cooked polling results. Now we’re seeing the previous actual numbers with a bit of a post-debate bounce.

Thanks Jet Jaguar.


50 posted on 10/07/2012 7:54:19 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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