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Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll: R: 49% O: 47%: Obama -13%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/07/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/07/2012 6:56:17 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

Sunday, October 07, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.

These results are based upon nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, today’s update is the first based entirely upon interviews conducted after the first presidential debate last Wednesday night.

The numbers reflect a modest debate bounce for Romney. See daily tracking history. As with all bounces, it remains to be seen whether it is a temporary blip or signals a lasting change in the race.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; barackrupt; cokehead4prez; election; gomittgo; obama; rasmussen; romney; tacky0bama; tackytacky0bama; taqiyya0bama; taqiyyataqiyya0bama; taquiyya; taquiyyataquiyya; vacationvacation
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This is all in post debate. However, it is also, ALL weekend (normally not good for Republicans)
1 posted on 10/07/2012 6:56:24 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Sounds like many aren’t buying the latest unemployment numbers.


2 posted on 10/07/2012 6:58:35 AM PDT by TwelveOfTwenty (Ho, ho, hey, hey, I'm BUYcotting Chick-Fil-A)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
To expand on my above post. The sample includes Thursday, Friday and Saturday. So, all the interviews were post debate.

However, the sample does include BOTH Friday and Saturday and historically (on Rasmussen AND other polls) Republicans poll about 2 points lower. Many reasons are assigned for that.

The Rasmussen poll on Thursday the 11th will be the FIRST post debate poll that will be done all on weekdays. It will also be a good poll to analyze as we will be able to see how permanent this “bounce” is for Team RR

It is my contention that Team RR is at 53 or 54% consistently but Republicans got EXCITED and maybe answered more phones after the debate victory. Till then the Republicans had been sulking and disheartened due to the constant “Obama will win in a landslide” drumbeat of the MSM

3 posted on 10/07/2012 7:00:59 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: TwelveOfTwenty

No champagne corks pop until it’s either a double-digit lead, or a DOP big wig flips out live on prime time TV. Other than that, wait until all the ballots are counted.


4 posted on 10/07/2012 7:03:15 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (End the occupation. Annex today.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

If you want an even better number, watch the Rasmussen poll on Friday the 12th.

It will have numbers from Tue, Wed and Thu. As Monday is a holiday for goverment workers (”Columbus messed up with directions Day”), the Dem sample will be higher on Monday

Also, the Friday sample will NOT have any interviews that will be POST the VP debate. So, it truly will the LAST sample that will show us the lasting BENEFIT of the Romney FIRST debate win.


5 posted on 10/07/2012 7:04:04 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Good point . . . and post-bogus jobs report. I would ad another point or two, maybe three. Keep in mind, too, that Rasmussen is sampling a lot more Dems than he used to. He uses a dynamic model (I think it is 21 days, and thus, pre-debate and post-Dem-convention) in which he relies on Party self-identification by those polled. It may be as high as Dem+6 at this point. That will gradually shift in our direction, too. Note too that Rasmussen gives Romney a 16 point advantage among independents. For now, Romney 49% to Obummer 47%? I’ll take it!


6 posted on 10/07/2012 7:06:48 AM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Ras polls are all now showing the “leaners.” Does this include a “certain to vote” element?


7 posted on 10/07/2012 7:07:50 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: Eleutheria5

The polls are skewed to Obama. Romeny is ahead by more.
As this month goes on, Obama will get more desperate. There will be more lies and more desperate attempts to scare everyone about Romney. Their only strategy is to attack or distract from Obama’s failures.


8 posted on 10/07/2012 7:07:57 AM PDT by FreedBird
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To: Eleutheria5

I agree, but if people doubt these numbers, it give us a weapon. From what I’ve seen, Romney will do his research and have answers at the next debate.


9 posted on 10/07/2012 7:09:43 AM PDT by TwelveOfTwenty (Ho, ho, hey, hey, I'm BUYcotting Chick-Fil-A)
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To: FreedBird

Most probably, but fortune favors those who fight as if their back is against the wall. This is to the death and for the jugular.


10 posted on 10/07/2012 7:13:31 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (End the occupation. Annex today.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Are the “Messiah’s” weekend bounces going away?


11 posted on 10/07/2012 7:22:02 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

.

- Thanks for posting these latest polls

- FReepers please - get the URL of these poll threads on FR and email them to you mega-email buddy lists with “Please FORWARD ASAP”

The goolfer needs a looong vacation

.


12 posted on 10/07/2012 7:48:48 AM PDT by devolve (----- ------- ------------c.1000_and_c.1620-------- ----------------------------)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Photobucket
13 posted on 10/07/2012 7:51:26 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Photobucket
14 posted on 10/07/2012 7:56:46 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Photobucket
15 posted on 10/07/2012 7:57:17 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

Good photoshop op to put a FR screen on the laptop.


16 posted on 10/07/2012 8:13:14 AM PDT by Rebelbase (The most transparent administration ever is clear as mud.)
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To: Eleutheria5
Most probably, but fortune favors those who fight as if their back is against the wall. This is to the death and for the jugular.

Our back is still against the wall. These guys cheat; if things are within a couple of points they will fudge the results as they have in various close elections. In my home state, Washington they recounted three times in our governors race a few years ago, until they got the results they wanted. Most troubling currently... Obama is funneling 100s of millions of dollars of ill gotten “donations” (stashed stimulus dollars?) into negative ads in the swing states where according to Rasmussen he is still ahead 49% to 47%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_swing_state_tracking_poll

17 posted on 10/07/2012 8:18:43 AM PDT by fireman15 (Check your facts before making ignorant statements.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

No further bounce for Romney in today’s numbers.

This is still going to be a dogfight right up until election day.


18 posted on 10/07/2012 8:21:30 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

I am doubting all polls these days. I spent 2.5 hours making calls in VA for the Romney campaign yesterday and had only 5 people answer the phone. Every other call got an answering machine or the number was disconnected. Who are the pollsters talking to?


19 posted on 10/07/2012 9:08:11 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: Eleutheria5

“No champagne corks pop until it’s either a double-digit lead, or a DOP big wig flips out live on prime time TV.”

Keep a close eye on Chrissy Matthews over on PMSNBC. When they come with the straight jacket, lead him off the set, and put him in a padded cell, we can all rest easy.


20 posted on 10/07/2012 9:08:22 AM PDT by flaglady47 (When the gov't fears the people, liberty; When the people fear the gov't, tyranny.)
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To: flaglady47
Ya but does the cell have a flat screen constantly looping the Acceptance Speech on 11/6... LOL!!!! :-)...

It will be like the inspector in the Pink Panther, screaming Clouseau, except it will be Mitt ! Mitt ! LOL !!!!

21 posted on 10/07/2012 9:17:53 AM PDT by taildragger (( Fubarward Obama 2012, think about it :-) ))
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Rasmussen is apparently using D+3. Based on his monthly numbers, the electorate is at R+4. I expect somewhere between R+0 and R+3 for the election. That would put Romney up by 5 to 8 percent. The latest Rasmussen independent count was Romney +16.


22 posted on 10/07/2012 9:19:13 AM PDT by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Is the Rasmussen poll skewed?

Even Rasmussen is skewed toward the Democrats
23 posted on 10/07/2012 9:28:57 AM PDT by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

You are right. I bet Romney is at least up another point or two since this is a weekend poll.


24 posted on 10/07/2012 9:56:59 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Modest bounce? From -3 to +2? With so few undecideds, that’s a huge bounce.


25 posted on 10/07/2012 10:07:36 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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To: Revolutionary

I dont know. Usually in presidential years, democraps have a slight advantage. I think a D+2 is probably more realistic.


26 posted on 10/07/2012 10:09:24 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: SoftwareEngineer
However, it is also, ALL weekend (normally not good for Republicans)

Then Romney should lead by at least 5 by Wednesday.

27 posted on 10/07/2012 11:13:05 AM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: Rebelbase
As background?
true... you can drive the office liberal crazy, too. :-D

28 posted on 10/07/2012 11:23:41 AM PDT by skinkinthegrass (WA DC E$tabli$hment; DNC/RNC/Unionists...Brazilian saying: "$@me Old $hit; w/ different flie$" :^)
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To: MrChips

“Note too that Rasmussen gives Romney a 16 point advantage among independents.”

Do you have a link to internals? I thought Ras had indies split at 47-47. If this is true then it would be practically impossible for Mitt to lose, especially if Ras uses the current GOP party ID advantage of 2.6 pts.


29 posted on 10/07/2012 6:30:50 PM PDT by princeofdarkness ( Nobama. No more. No way. November 2012.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

I find it distressing that conservatives are set to vote for a liberal just because he carries an “R” after his name


30 posted on 10/07/2012 6:31:00 PM PDT by LMAO ("Begging hands and Bleeding hearts will only cry out for more"...Anthem from Rush)
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To: LMAO

Vote for 0bama then LMAO. Problem solved.


31 posted on 10/07/2012 6:39:40 PM PDT by mplsconservative
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To: LMAO
I find it distressing that conservatives are set to vote for a liberal just because he carries an “R” after his name

You would prefer that we vote for the radical with a "D" after his name?

Is that what you want?

32 posted on 10/07/2012 6:42:53 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
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To: MrChips

Sorry, didn’t read further down. Still, I don’t see the 16-pt advantage. It is interesting to see AA Romney support at 12% yet only 2% disapprove of BO’s performance. What gives?


33 posted on 10/07/2012 6:52:48 PM PDT by princeofdarkness ( Nobama. No more. No way. November 2012.)
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To: okie01

No.

But it’s more and more evidence to me that too many conservatives are reflexively voting for Republicans without question.

Just what we need. Another big government Republican


34 posted on 10/07/2012 6:56:09 PM PDT by LMAO ("Begging hands and Bleeding hearts will only cry out for more"...Anthem from Rush)
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To: mplsconservative

I love the reflexive, non thinking answer because I won’t vote for a liberal Republican that must mean I’m voting for BHO.

LOL!!! Nothing like letting the fingers type before the mind engages


35 posted on 10/07/2012 7:01:23 PM PDT by LMAO ("Begging hands and Bleeding hearts will only cry out for more"...Anthem from Rush)
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To: LMAO
But it’s more and more evidence to me that too many conservatives are reflexively voting for Republicans without question.

If I might ask...

Who the hell do you think they should be voting for?

36 posted on 10/07/2012 7:01:55 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
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To: okie01

You said...
“Who the hell do you think they should be voting for?”

It’s none of my business who people should vote for. I’m just pointing out that Mitt is a liberal that too many conservatives are voting for simply because he’s a Republican.

There is no way conservatives would vote for him except for the party label with his record and past positions


37 posted on 10/07/2012 7:07:51 PM PDT by LMAO ("Begging hands and Bleeding hearts will only cry out for more"...Anthem from Rush)
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To: LMAO

Yeah, LMAO, I hear you. I wish Romney was more conservative, too. (I wanted Newt, with all my heart). But it just didn’t happen.

But I do believe Romney is a highly intelligent, good and decent man who does not hate America as Obama very obviously does. Romney is not going to “spread the wealth” or promote socialism openly. He’s for a strong military. I believe he’ll do the best job he can — I think he’s really eager to get to work to solve at least SOME of this country’s problems — and I don’t think we’re going to see him out golfing or playing basketball, wasting taxpayer dollars on trips to Spain and generally acting like a freaking CLASSLESS PUNK.

In the end, Americans need to solve these problems themselves, also. They need to get off their fat butts. They need to vote in conservative representatives, and then we can hold Rom’s feet to the fire.


38 posted on 10/07/2012 7:10:20 PM PDT by LibsRJerks
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To: LMAO
There is no way conservatives would vote for [Romney] except for the party label with his record and past positions

May I ask again...?

Have you considered the alternative?

39 posted on 10/07/2012 7:13:55 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
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To: okie01
Well, since we won't change each other’s minds on Romney we'll agree to disagree.

My surprise, and disappointment, is after the rise of the TEA Party we ended up with a nominee like Romney

40 posted on 10/07/2012 7:21:36 PM PDT by LMAO ("Begging hands and Bleeding hearts will only cry out for more"...Anthem from Rush)
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To: LMAO
My surprise, and disappointment, is after the rise of the TEA Party we ended up with a nominee like Romney

On that, we can agree.

But Romney's who we've got. And, given the alternative, I would expect every conservative to be sensible enough to vote for Romney -- as opposed to making some futile gesture by voting for a third party candidate or sitting it out.

Obviously, you disagree. For reasons which escape me...

41 posted on 10/07/2012 7:31:54 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
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To: pgkdan

When you make calls for Romney, would my Caller ID identify the call as coming from Romney, etc., OR does it show Unknown Caller or a telephone number, or what? If I know that it IS a call from Romney, I WILL answer the call. Otherwise, I will ignore any calls that don’t identify themselves If I don’t recognize a phone number calling on my Caller ID, I will let it go to voice mail. Does anyone know if a call from Rasmussen identifies itself as coming from Rasmussen?


42 posted on 10/07/2012 10:22:57 PM PDT by itssme
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To: okie01

I expected a continued bounce after the debate. Maybe some polling data is yet to be analyzed.


43 posted on 10/07/2012 10:41:31 PM PDT by SarahPalinForPresident2012 (Time to Reload)
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To: profit_guy

Based on those internals Rasmussen is using a Dem +3 turnout model.


44 posted on 10/07/2012 11:28:00 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: LMAO
I love the reflexive, non thinking answer because I won’t vote for a liberal Republican that must mean I’m voting for BHO.

LOL!!! Nothing like letting the fingers type before the mind engages

Sorry. I'll have to disagree with you about who's mind is disengaged and not thinking.

A vote for anyone else, is a vote for 0bama. I challenge you to think about that. I doubt you will though, as I think you are just here to try to spread discontent. I don't recall seeing you here in the 9 years I've been a member of FR.

45 posted on 10/08/2012 4:27:13 AM PDT by mplsconservative
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To: mplsconservative
You said...
“I don't recall seeing you here in the 9 years I've been a member of FR.”

So what does that have anything to do with the fact that people like you are voting for a liberal just because he's a Republican.

So you oppose ObamaCare but are voting for the guy who takes it as a compliment that he is referred to as the grandfather of Obamacare?? ROFLMAO!!!!

I would suggest you look at Romney's record as gov. There is no way you or any self proclaimed conservative would vote for a Democrat if he/she had that record but since Romney is a Republican, it's all good, right?

46 posted on 10/08/2012 5:40:40 AM PDT by LMAO ("Begging hands and Bleeding hearts will only cry out for more"...Anthem from Rush)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

The last time I got a call from there it was to ask me to work on Saturday and my caller id showed ‘000-000-0000’. I didn’t answer. They left a message on VM.


47 posted on 10/08/2012 5:45:10 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: itssme; SoftwareEngineer

see post #47. Somehow I posted it to softwareengineer by mistake.


48 posted on 10/08/2012 5:51:37 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: LMAO

Do you not understand that Romney’s healthcare plan is a STATE issue, not federal?

I still think you’re some sort of concern troll. Enjoy your ‘purity’ while enabling 0bama.


49 posted on 10/08/2012 6:02:39 AM PDT by mplsconservative
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To: LMAO

It’s quite a bit better than a socialist government don’t you agree? Or do you enjoy having all of your money taken and given to someone else? Obviously you don’t have any of your adult children living with you because they can’t find a full time job to support themselves? I do... Now you can vote for who ever you want, but we have two candidates. They can’t be changed now.


50 posted on 10/08/2012 6:10:06 AM PDT by sissyjane
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