Sounds like many aren’t buying the latest unemployment numbers.
However, the sample does include BOTH Friday and Saturday and historically (on Rasmussen AND other polls) Republicans poll about 2 points lower. Many reasons are assigned for that.
The Rasmussen poll on Thursday the 11th will be the FIRST post debate poll that will be done all on weekdays. It will also be a good poll to analyze as we will be able to see how permanent this “bounce” is for Team RR
It is my contention that Team RR is at 53 or 54% consistently but Republicans got EXCITED and maybe answered more phones after the debate victory. Till then the Republicans had been sulking and disheartened due to the constant “Obama will win in a landslide” drumbeat of the MSM
Good point . . . and post-bogus jobs report. I would ad another point or two, maybe three. Keep in mind, too, that Rasmussen is sampling a lot more Dems than he used to. He uses a dynamic model (I think it is 21 days, and thus, pre-debate and post-Dem-convention) in which he relies on Party self-identification by those polled. It may be as high as Dem+6 at this point. That will gradually shift in our direction, too. Note too that Rasmussen gives Romney a 16 point advantage among independents. For now, Romney 49% to Obummer 47%? I’ll take it!
Ras polls are all now showing the “leaners.” Does this include a “certain to vote” element?
Are the “Messiah’s” weekend bounces going away?
- Thanks for posting these latest polls
- FReepers please - get the URL of these poll threads on FR and email them to you mega-email buddy lists with “Please FORWARD ASAP”
The goolfer needs a looong vacation
No further bounce for Romney in today’s numbers.
This is still going to be a dogfight right up until election day.
I am doubting all polls these days. I spent 2.5 hours making calls in VA for the Romney campaign yesterday and had only 5 people answer the phone. Every other call got an answering machine or the number was disconnected. Who are the pollsters talking to?
Rasmussen is apparently using D+3. Based on his monthly numbers, the electorate is at R+4. I expect somewhere between R+0 and R+3 for the election. That would put Romney up by 5 to 8 percent. The latest Rasmussen independent count was Romney +16.
Modest bounce? From -3 to +2? With so few undecideds, that’s a huge bounce.
Then Romney should lead by at least 5 by Wednesday.
I find it distressing that conservatives are set to vote for a liberal just because he carries an “R” after his name
The last time I got a call from there it was to ask me to work on Saturday and my caller id showed ‘000-000-0000’. I didn’t answer. They left a message on VM.