Skip to comments.Demography is Destiny: Why the Falling U.S. Birth Rates Are So Troubling
Posted on 10/07/2012 12:17:06 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Were becoming Europe. At least, that’s what a long line of U.S. birth-rate figures seems to being telling us. And that’s bad news for the future of the country.
New numbers released by the U.S. government on Tuesday show record-low birth rates in 2011: the general fertility rate (63.2 per 1,000 women ages 15 to 44) was the lowest ever recorded; the birth rate for teenagers ages 15 to 19 declined; birth rates for women ages 20 to 24 hit a record low; and rates for Hispanic and non-Hispanic black women dipped. Some birth rates remained unchanged, like those of women in their late 40s. Only women ages 35 to 39 and 40 to 44 are more likely to have babies now than in the past.
The data are part of a broader postfinancial crash trend. Every year since 2007, when the number of births in the U.S. hit 4.3 million, Americans have brought fewer babies into the world. Much of that has to do with the recession: Americans apparently decided that they couldnt afford to have as many kids in an unstable economy, even if they were married.
Such declines are typical during economic crises. During the Great Depression, birth rates dropped significantly, and the same thing happened during the stagnation of the 1970s. Weve seen this previously throughout the last 100 years, says Mark Mather, a demographer for the Population Reference Bureau. Fertility rates drop in periods of economic stress.
It appears that the decline in birth rates has at least begun to slow, likely reflecting the fact that Americans are feeling more confident about their economic future. The birth rate fell by 1% in 2011, as opposed to the 2% and 3% drops in prior years.
(Excerpt) Read more at business.time.com ...
Even before the euro crisis, experts were sounding the alarm over Europes gloomy demographic future. How is the continent supposed to take care of an aging population when its birth rates are pointing toward a shrinking workforce in the decades to come?
The U.S. rate hasnt fallen to European levels yet. The birth rate of children per woman in the U.S. is about 1.9. But the downward trend will almost certainly force the U.S. to rethink how to financially support the elderly and fund programs like Social Security and Medicare, ongoing economic debates that will take on even more weight as the country ages.
What we need to do is give a tax breaks on FAMILIES... that is because both parents are working 2 or more jobs to pay taxes. We need to give families a life...
A trend noticed and written about by Patrick Buchanan a decade or so back.
Families trying to maintain a modest standard of living by abandoning large families.
I’m from a 5 children family. When I was growing up in the 60’s that was the norm in my all white suburban neighborhood.
Mexican Americans are breeding like rabbits. It is a bit ironic that the problems brought about by falling birthrate might in some way be mitigated by this.
This is what happens in a welfare state. The cost of having children rises, because of the burden government puts on producers to support everybody else. Also, people tend to think they do not need children to help them in their old age, as government has taken over many of the duties and responsibilities formerly the purview of families. Finally, as women pursue careers, they are less likely to want many kids.
So, irresponsible people and Muslims are having kids that the rest of us support. The future does not look bright.
Sums it up accurately.
The 47% are breeding like rabbits.
One has to wonder about what the difference is between conception rates and birth rates.
Are conception rates changeing?
Is the lowered birth rate due to the higher fetus murder rate?
If we were not advertising for women to use Planned parenthood as a birth control method and paying for their multiple trips there, what would the birth rate be?
Now we are paying for free contraceptive devices, it can be seen to anyone with an ounce of common sense that it has become the role of the government to decrease the population.
Our Government does not want whites and Negroes to breed, yet they are perfectly fine with Hispanics and Muslims repopulating America.
If this isn’t the plan, it is certainly the result.
This embrace of feminism is the number one reason IMO. Female fertility starts declining at age 25 yet you rarely see married women in that age group with kids. Girls are taught to establish themselves in a career first, then have children. That in and of itself will cause a woman to have few or zero children.
it’s funny that birth rates go down in 1st world countries in times of economic crisis...
and yet ... in 3rd world countries that live in a constant state of financial crisis... birth rates are skyrocketing.
****the birth rate for teenagers ages 15 to 19 declined****
This is the only ‘news’ in the article and it’s good. As for the rest of the ‘data’ there are no surprises. Marriage used to be the safe house for having children and, prior to birth control methods - the sky was the limit. i.e. more children to care for the farm - and later, the elderly parents.
The ebb and flow of birth rates seems to follow - or lead existing population crises. In history birth rates were affected by drought, crop/food shortages, wars, flu/plague pandemics, depressions. Today the birth rate is affected by scientific manipulations, sexual identity and road rage;)
Where I live, the illegals are pumping out babies like there is no tomorrow.
The more kids they pump out, the more benefits they get from the government.
I hardly ever see whites, Asians, and blacks with babies.
This is so absolutely true.
Democrats often wonder how the lower-middle class can support Republicans. The reason you gave is precisely it. They know they're getting screwed by the welfare state.
The will never have a problem. They'll just pay more for what they need as prices rise.
But the lower-middle class is priced out of those things the welfare state provides for "free".
“How is the continent supposed to take care ... “
There’s a more concerning subject than that, and a reason I never understood why the radical muslims do what they do, especially since they are so patient.
You need 2.2 kids per each couple to maintain a population (in this case, population= culture.) I forget the number for Europe - which resembles our blue states - something like 1.2. That’s a parabolic, not geometric curve - in the direction of ‘death of the culture.’
In Europe, the population slack is being replaced by Muslims.
In the US I believe the Red states save us at about even because Red State birth rates compensate for Blue States.
Mark Steyn was one of the (and perhaps THE) first to begin yelling about this 10 years ago.
It trumps politics - because it doesn’t matter whether the western culture populations move left or right. Why? They are eliminating themselves in reverse proportion to how bunnies multiply/replicate.
And who is replicating? And who is immigrating?
That’s why Mark’s theme is often on ‘Death of the West’ ... he’s not just saying ‘oh we are moving too left’ ... or that ‘gosh too much immigration’
What he’s saying is that we are KILLING OURSELVES by not replacing ourselves.
So I wonder sometimes why the muslims don’t just keep immigrating quietly into Europe, and then in a few generations they can have simply take over politically.
In a sense, having 1 child fewer than the 2.2 average needed to keep a population steady, is just one child an invading force never needs to kill. So we’re fighting their battle against us, for them. We’re on their side by not reproducing.
This trumps politics - because without enough lefties and righties to fight it out, in comes the third, dominant culture - whatever it is.
It was about 7 years ago, after reading Steyn and some others that I realized ... this is simply a more foundational subject than even the Constitution.
When there is no one left to practice the Constitution, or when the lumpen electorate can come up with a 3/4 majority - because the electorate is a ‘replacement culture,’ they can just amend, amend, amend, and bye bye Western Culture - both liberals and conservatives would perish in that fire.
No need for war - no need even for revolution. So why don’t the Muslim’s just wait it out - immigrate, immigrate, immigrate?
The French, maybe 7 years ago, in fear of exactly this, began rewarding couples financially for having more than 1 baby, and as I recall it was significantly more ... significant ... than simply adding a deduction for another dependent.