I hope the 70k decline in Cleveland translates to 70k R/R vote. If so that is over a third of the margin needed to make up from the 08 totals, and that is just one county.
Looking really, really good. Overall, so far, total absentees down (I think mostly from Ds) but that may change with early voting. However, I’m not sure if early voting is tallied with absentees. Either way, there is no way to spin these numbers as anything except massive bad news for Obama.
Mc Pain actually won the vote on election day in ‘08
Rats were able to “bank” hundreds of thousands of votes via absentee/early voting
If trend continues and ‘Pubs are able to win on election
day looks promising
The time for absentee ballet requests in OH expired Friday, correct?
Thank you for all this encouraging information. I expect Romney to win Ohio going away. In the 3-2-1 strategy, Ohio along with Indiana is part of the “2.” Since I fully expect Romney to carry all three of the southern states that comprise the “3” (Florida, NC, and Virginia), which state will fulfill the “1” requirement? Don’t worry. Expect Romney to carry several other states, including Pa., Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, Nevada, and maybe Michigan. It won’t be as massive a victory as the Gipper in ‘84 but will surpass the ‘04 Bush victory.
If Romney wins every Southern state plus Iowa, Colorado, and Nevada, he forces a tie which the Republicans will win.
Excellent. Thanks, LS.
As a numbers guy I thank you for this. Important to note that Dems crossover much easier than Reps, so those numbers are likely even better than they appear.
Absentees are similar here in SE Iowa.
in 2008 96% of ballots requested were cast
Thanks for the update LS!
A couple more Romney voters in Fresno and California could be in play.
How can the polling organizations continue to project a close vote in Ohio when the actual ballot-request numbers continue to be so substantially in the Republicans’ favor compared to 2008?
It would be in the Democrats’ interest for the Romney Team to assume that Cuyahoga County, for example, was so solidly Democratic there was no reason for them to spend money on advertising there. But the ballot-request figures now prove otherwise. So the Romney people will now be able to devise a better strategy for directing their funds in Ohio for maximum effect.
Any data on butler?
I feel that won it for bush in 2004.
Ryan went to miami which will help too.
Are people LEAVING Ohio, dying or what?
Wondering, didn’t they deleted over 400,000 voters? Maybe that plays into it although it really seems bambi enthusiasm is down. We detest him down here. I watched the debate with the volume off when the one was moving his mouth. I have taken to calling him a muslim and kenyan to irritate those i can. Thinking about walking the streets near early polling sites with sign FIRE THE KENYAN.