Skip to comments.Rasmussen Daily Tracking: MON 10/08: R:48% O:48% Obama -11%
Posted on 10/08/2012 6:38:40 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Monday, October 08, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
While there have been modest swings in recent months that have favored one candidate over the other, the overall picture is of a race that is both stable and very close. Over the past 100 days of tracking, Romney and Obama have been within two points of each other 72 times. Additionally, on 89 of those 100 days, the candidates have been within three points of each other. That is exceedingly close in a poll with a three percentage-point margin of error. See daily tracking history.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
No it won't, blowout city as it stands now.
A recent Obama rally in the battleground state of Colorado turned into something of a Seinfeldian air.
A scathing video by commentator Trapper that compares Obama to Costanza in a Seinfeld episode.... ..."a debate almost about nothing"...
..and that Obama takes 24 hours to respond....
Front page of Yahoo
As I have been saying for years, ALL pollsters have an agenda. I have never seen any sign ever that Ras was a Republican, people keep telling me he is.
I can be objective, it`s not like I am real real excited about Romney...Yes I am all in now for him because he is only alternative, but I still hold the same view I have held for years.
Ras is as much as saying that Romney got no bounce, He shouild be up by 10 in a poll.
Claims that Obama got a bigger bounce out of phony job numbers, he said as much between the lines.,..yes I am a between the lines reader and very good at it :)
CNN has a new poll out today saying Obama is up by 6 with likely voters nation wide...give me a break!!!
What happened to Blitzer saying a “scientific” (that`s what he called it late post debate night)poll showed 35% more likely to vote Romney as apposed to 18% Zero, from undecided voters??
All of a sudden Obama up by 6, leading in areas he should not.
There is no “science” in political polling in 2012 period! Regardless of what the number is.
Anybody that believes in polling needs to have head examined..sorry JMHO
Anybody that thinks we have a friend in Ras or any other pollster is also whacked out
My thought exactly.
It could be that the “liar” campaign is working. If you figure that Fox was the only one not promoting it, that means that the vast majority of news watchers over the weekend were being fed the propaganda that Romney was lying about his tax plan.
There is no 5 trillion tax plan, but how would you know that if the “news” is telling you that there is?
And don’t tell me BO won’t manipulate a jobs report right before the election when Repubs have no time to respond. You know he will. Too much is at stake and BO isn’t going to let a little thing like truth stand in his way.
“Ugh! Weekend effect, I suppose”
I went to Rasmussen’s page as linked above.
The results are mixed, no matter how you slice it.
The Senate race in Ohio is still a horse race (neither candidate has broken the 50% mark), but Virginia looks like a goner for George Allen, Kaine is at the 50% level.
Rasmussen shows Romney at 49% in Virginia with a shot at winning, but in Ohio, Obama has hit 50% with Romney trailing at 49% — that doesn’t leave much leverage to turn that contest around, unless we change some “likely Obama voters” into “likely Romney voters”. That’s going to be difficult. Without Ohio, Romney faces a Herculean struggle to amass enough votes to win in the Electoral College.
Florida is Romney 49%, Obama 47%, looks good for us.
I don’t know how old Rasmussen’s poll for Pennsylvania is, but his last-reported numbers were Obama 51%, Romney 39%. I know the race there is tightening, but it looks like Obama’s going to get PA.
This is going to be a bitter struggle to the very end, with lawsuits and claims of fraud which may even delay the final results in some states. I’m sensing this will become the “last-ditch attempt” by the ‘rats to steal the election, a la Al Franken.
Those here on FR who say it’s going to be a landslide — well, better think again. The fact that the election remains so close with a candidate as provenly destructive to the American ideal as is Obama indicates that there is now a huge electoral demographic that will never again support the “traditional American model”.
We are entering an era of bitterly divided politics — a “civil cold war”, if you will.
Still a tough fight ahead...
My personal opinion is that a lot of normally self described Democrats are too ashamed right now to admit it and thy identify themselves as independents.
The result being that they end up way over sampling democrats.
Plus the polls can’t really take into account the enthusiasm gap.
Just my two cents.
Obama should study for his next job as NBA Commissioner....
>> Weekend effect <<
Wrong. I don’t understand why this myth refuses to die on FR. Rasmussen adjusts his numbers to eliminate any weekend effect.
If we had an honest and even-handed media in this country, Obama would be down 30 points.
Remember what Breitbart said - it is the media that is the enemy.
Your source for this new CNN poll? Nothing about this is posted anywhere else, not even on the CNN website.
Well, if you don’t stop talking about it...
Why? (It concerns me a bit when I read the same thing the Left is saying here.)
You have to learn something about MOE with state polls. They aren’t near as accurate as you make out.
Romney was right about the 47%. The Democrats have managed to build a solid block of dependent voters equaling almost half the country’s population. Once they grant amnesty to the millions of illegals, America will be finished. A country where more than half the population takes from the remainder, will be unable to resist the temptation to take even more. If Romney can’t win now (quite possible) and do something to turn the tide on the destruction of America’s entrepreneurs (possible even if Romney wins), then America will be destroyed from within.
Here’s why the polls are over sampling DemocRATS. People like me. When I get polled I always say I’m a democrat, black, women 19 years old and definitely going to vote.
Then I say I’m voting for Romney. So they are showing more self identified Rats in their polling. Which inflates their expected Rat turnout.
It’s easy to lie to a polster about our demographics, but not as easy to say I’m voting for 0bama. I bet there are many Conservatives doing the same thing.
Let's see how their voter demographics like that one !