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Romney Narrows Vote Gap After Historic Debate Win
Gallup ^ | October 8, 2012 | Jeffrey M. Jones

Posted on 10/08/2012 6:59:12 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

By record-high margin, debate watchers say Romney did better

PRINCETON, NJ -- Registered voters' preferences for president are evenly split in the first three days of Gallup tracking since last Wednesday's presidential debate. In the three days prior to the debate, Barack Obama had a five-percentage-point edge among registered voters.

Gallup typically reports voter presidential preferences in seven-day rolling averages; the latest such average as of Saturday interviewing shows Obama with an average three-point edge, 49% to 46%, among registered voters. This Sept. 30-Oct. 6 field period includes three days before the Oct. 3 debate, the night of the debate itself, and three days after the debate.

Even on this basis, the race has become somewhat more competitive compared with before the first debate.........

(Excerpt) Read more at ...

TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012debates; 2012polls; debate; elections; gallup; polling; romney; romneyryan2012
It's Drudge's morning lead story
1 posted on 10/08/2012 6:59:16 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: All
Breitbart: Battleground Poll: Romney Up 16 with Independents, Up 13 In Enthusiasm

"In 2008, President Barack Obama won the independent vote over John McCain by a margin of eight points, 52-44. This morning, a new Battleground Poll has Mitt Romney massacring Obama among indies by a whopping 16 points, 51-35......"

2 posted on 10/08/2012 7:15:10 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
It is of registered voters and I can not find the internals of party affiliation.
3 posted on 10/08/2012 7:16:44 AM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: Jim from C-Town

Well, it’s Gallup, so you KNOW that they oversample Dems.

4 posted on 10/08/2012 7:22:03 AM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Once they move to their likely voter model, Romney should pull ahead.

5 posted on 10/08/2012 7:45:03 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: comebacknewt

In previous years they switch to the likely voter model on Labor Day. That was a month ago. Why the delay?

6 posted on 10/08/2012 8:15:07 AM PDT by HapaxLegamenon
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To: Jim from C-Town
Can not find the internals for the Gallup daily tracking Presidential preference Gallup poll, but the political ID breakdown (R/D/I) for seperate "who won the debate" Gallup poll looks as follows:
Gallup poll, October 4-5, 2012 - debate poll

Demographics Republican Democrat Independent Poll Numbers
Favor Romney 97.0% 49.0% 70.1% Romney: 71.56% Romney
Favor Obama 1.7% 38.6% 18.6% Obama: 19.89% Obama
Favor Neither 1.3% 12.4% 11.4% Neither: 8.54% Neither
Do not know: 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Do not know: 0.00% Don’t Know
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Total: 100.0%
Poll Information Republican 31.51% Republican
Gallup Democrat 33.24% Democrat
10/4-5/2012 Independent 35.25% Independent
MOE 4.0%
749 Adults 100.0%
password: poll
Sauce.xls All Adults
dvwjr Republican 236 31.51%
Version 1.3 Democrat 249 33.24%
10/27/2000 Independent 264 35.25%
Free Republic Total: 749 100.00%


7 posted on 10/08/2012 8:17:26 AM PDT by dvwjr
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To: HapaxLegamenon

Because if they show Obozo losing he won’t be able to raise any money and Romney could win.

Pray for America

8 posted on 10/08/2012 8:21:15 AM PDT by bray (If you vote for a communist what does that make you?)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Obama isn’t going to be able to suddenly defend his record any better in the next prez two debates.

9 posted on 10/08/2012 8:22:56 AM PDT by goodolemr
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To: goodolemr

I think he will to some degree put up a better defense; but he’ll still be on the defensive and Romney will still look like the more knowledgeable of the two. I also think Obama will try to put Romney on the defensive (taxes/Bain..:) so that he will have to spend his time answering Obamas attacks rather than attacking Obama’s record. Expect Romney to give a quick, clear response to Obama’s attacks and turn it back around to Obama’s record.

10 posted on 10/08/2012 8:47:10 AM PDT by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (I AM ANDREW BREITBART)
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