Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Early voting statistics (NC, IA, OH, FL)
GMU ^ | 10/8/12 | me

Posted on 10/08/2012 8:51:32 AM PDT by Ravi

above

(Excerpt) Read more at elections.gmu.edu ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012polls; 2012swingstates; elections; obama; romney; ryan
IA: Republicans have cut ballot request advantage for Dems from 97,000 to about 78,000 in the past week. IA hasn't updated this from Thursday morning. Will be curious to see after their update todya/tomorrow. Dems at 52% and dropping and Repubs at 27% and climbing. Again 2008 for all absentee ballots, Dems were 49% and repubs 28%. So we are about to pass that soon I believe. 33% of votes were absentee approximately (500,000 out of 1.5 million). We are at about 310,000 ballot requests now and could end up north of 600,000.

NC: steady as she goes (repubs 52% of ballot requests and dems 27%). Over 125,000 ballot requests (more than half of 2008's total already). Turned in ballots favor repubs by a slightly greater amount percentage wise. Still need to see where we stand after early voting also. But overall better compared to 2008.

FL: New stuff here. Interesting counties Pinellas and Hillsborough results in thus far. Again caution very early. We may be a little more agressive with absentees than dems here especially since 2010 but they out absenteed us in 2008. With that said, Obama won Hillsborough 53% to McCain's 46% (273,000 to 236,000). In Pinellas, Obama won 53% to McCain's 45% (238,000 to 210,000). Currently with absentee ballot requests, repubs have asked for 53% of ballots and dems 32%. This is again only with 9300 voters thus far (about 1-2% of expected turnout for those counties). So very early but something to watch as those are definitely bellwether counties.

OH: See LS from yesterday. Everything seems to be going well here.

The only thing with OH to me is this whole definition of what a repub or dem means to that spreadsheet. It seems like some counties may have not been very diligent in clarifying what a dem or repub is even if they voted in a particular party primary. So even if you voted in a primary, some counties may be a little sloppy and still list you as unaffiliated - I need clarification how extensive these errors are or whether they are exceptions to the rule.

For FL, IA and NC, repub means repub and dem means dem. Indies are indies. No confusion there as far as I can tell.

1 posted on 10/08/2012 8:51:37 AM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Well of course the Republicans will ‘seem’ to be ahead, the R voter only votes once. We gotta give the chance for the D voters to drive, state-to-state, and accrue their votes. It can take 35 days to span 35 states for the D vote to be totally realized.

C’mon get real. \sarcasm


2 posted on 10/08/2012 9:08:01 AM PDT by George from New England (escaped CT in 2006, now living north of Tampa)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

I wonder if this election will be like the last one where McCain was leading in almost every state until an hour or less before the polls closed then Obama shot to the lead. I went to bed and McCain was ahead, when I woke up Obama was president.


3 posted on 10/08/2012 9:10:57 AM PDT by Americanexpat (�It is going to get even worse now that the)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi
While we all continue to say "it's early," the fact is, the trends just go on and on and on, like the energizer bunny.

IA particularly encouraging, because they supposedly had a 100,000 to 10,000 advantage now it's 78,000.

4 posted on 10/08/2012 9:15:14 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

So, just to clarify in IA, it was 49-28, while now it is 52-27 . . . but all moving in the right direction?


5 posted on 10/08/2012 9:23:29 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Hi Ravi,

What were the latest stats from Ohio yesterday? Wasn’t here. And thanks so much for these useful updates.


6 posted on 10/08/2012 9:24:51 AM PDT by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: LS

49 to 28 was from 2008. We have to improve on that is my goal.


7 posted on 10/08/2012 9:29:52 AM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

ths needs to be put in a table for easier comparison.


8 posted on 10/08/2012 9:30:01 AM PDT by MNDude (OWS Movement RIP)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

I don’t know if it’s still a common practice, but in the 60s and 70s, my parents would register as Democrats so they could vote in the primary for the weakest candidates, but actually were Republicans.......


9 posted on 10/08/2012 9:30:11 AM PDT by Red Badger (Is it just me, or is Hillary! starting to look like Benjamin Franklin?.................)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Trapped Behind Enemy Lines

Search LS and he posted last nite. He has county by county breakdown.


10 posted on 10/08/2012 9:31:45 AM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Americanexpat
I'm completely cynical about elections. I think early voting is a tool used by Democrats to calculate how many votes they need to steal.
11 posted on 10/08/2012 9:41:48 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (ua)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: LS; Jet Jaguar

IA now updated for Monday am: Dems now ahead of us by 74,700 balot requests. So from 97,000 ahead to 74,700 ahead in under two weeks. Dems have now requested 50.8% of ballots and repubs 27.7% of ballots. Dems continue to go down and repubs continue to rise. Let’s see where this ends up. Also now up to 324,000 ballot requests already about 70% of the total for all of 2008.


12 posted on 10/08/2012 9:49:32 AM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Early voting is just another fraud tactic produced and directed by the RATS. Voting should be either absentee ballots or vote on election day.


13 posted on 10/08/2012 10:12:05 AM PDT by kenmcg (t)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Wow, Dems fell 4,000 from this morning’s report and Rs nearly at 08 levels now.


14 posted on 10/08/2012 11:59:58 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy

Don’t buy that. We. have plenty of observers, poll watchers, and lawyers. I prefer all vote on. Election Day, but this is a Dem-initiated idea that is now benefitting Rs.


15 posted on 10/08/2012 12:02:48 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: LS

As I recall, you were very confident of a big GOP win in 2008. With respect, I believe that your confidence in system is misplaced.


16 posted on 10/08/2012 12:05:59 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (ua)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Early Voting, Absentee Voting, anything other than showing up to your polling place on election day ought to be banned. It favors the communists by enabling fraud. The only people that should be allowed alternative voting is members of the military. If you cant show up on the day of election you dont really need to vote anyways.


17 posted on 10/08/2012 12:07:00 PM PDT by TheArizona
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Americanexpat
>>>I wonder if this election will be like the last one where McCain was leading in almost every state until an hour or less before the polls closed then Obama shot to the lead. I went to bed and McCain was ahead, when I woke up Obama was president.

Wasn't the election I was watching. You must have went to bed at 5. It was pretty obvious from pre-polls; exit polls; everything that Obummer was going to win.

18 posted on 10/08/2012 12:18:12 PM PDT by NELSON111
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: NELSON111

I don’t remember anyone getting much from the exit polls and I remember McCain being ahead in a lot of states then WHAM it all went south in a flash. I think we will have to worry about a lot of illegal voting, i.e., people voting more than once, dead people and illegal immigrants voting, that is why the Dems are fighting the voter ID laws.


19 posted on 10/08/2012 12:38:44 PM PDT by Americanexpat (�It is going to get even worse now that the)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy

We didn’t lose in 08 because of too much fraud. We lost because too many Rs voted for Zero. That’s not speculation, that’s the actual numbers we saw on election night. Do you really think that will happen again?


20 posted on 10/08/2012 12:41:08 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: LS

Yup.


21 posted on 10/08/2012 12:48:52 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (ua)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy

I think most here would respectfully disagree with you. All pollsters even with most skewed samples showed Romney retaining over 90% of republicans. That has not changed much in over 3 to 4 months of polling.


22 posted on 10/08/2012 12:50:43 PM PDT by Ravi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll Ping.


23 posted on 10/08/2012 8:06:27 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: LS

.

LIBERAL REPORTER #1:
Governor Romney do you play golf?

GOVERNOR MITT ROMNEY:
“I did a few times when I was in high school - but that was before I was actively in business.”

LIBERAL REPORTER #1:
“That’s racist!”

LIBERAL REPORTER #2:
Governor Romney did you ever use drugs?

GOVERNOR MITT ROMNEY:
“No.”

LIBERAL REPORTER #2:
“That’s pretty racist!”

LIBERAL REPORTER #3:
Governor Romney did you ever play basketball?

GOVERNOR MITT ROMNEY:
“Yes - With my sons and grandchildren on family gatherings.”

LIBERAL REPORTER #3:
“That’s incredibly racist!”

.


24 posted on 10/09/2012 4:46:02 AM PDT by devolve (----- ------- ------------c.1000_and_c.1620-------- ----------------------------)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson