Skip to comments.Susquehanna Poll: Obama 47, Romney 45 (Pennsylvania)
Posted on 10/08/2012 12:58:03 PM PDT by nhwingut
Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by a 2 point margin, identical to his lead in late September according to Susquehanna Polling and Research. But the Republicans debate performance contributed to a 6 point jump in his favorability rating.
In a poll conducted just after the first presidential debate, from Oct. 4 to 6, 47 percent of respondents said they support Obama; 45 percent support Romney. 3 percent support Libertarian Gary Johnson.
The Obama-Romney head-to-head numbers are identical the most recent Susquehanna Polling and Research survey released on Sept. 23. The margin of that poll, commissioned by the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review closely resemble that of another SP&R survey conducted for the Pa. Republican party which showed Obama at a 48 percent to 47 advantage.
When the undecided voters leaning towards a candidate are factored in (breaking 3:1 for Romney), the race narrows to a 1-point Obama lead, 47 percent to 46.
(Excerpt) Read more at politicspa.com ...
Gee there is that 47 percent number again. I think Romney can win PA, before I didn’t think there was a chance he could do it but now I think its definitely possible. Go for the clean sweep!!
I live in Yellow Dog Country in PA and am used to having them in my face crowing all day about how Bob Casey or Ed Rendell is the greatest thing since sliced bread.
I hear NOTHING from them right now. I mean, absolute crickets. And a very large number of these “End the War on Coal” signs has sprung up.
I think we may be about to experience an outbreak of Reagan Democrat Syndrome around here.
I think it is now fair to say that PA is now tighter than a bullfrog’s behind!
If you want on/off the PA Ping List, please freepmail me. Thanks!
Awesome news!! Thanks for the update! I don’t think it will be a Reagan landslide(Since my home state of California is too far gone to be saved unfortunately) but I think Romney will win Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, New Hampshire, and possibly Nevada and Pennsylvania..I will tune into MSNBC just to hear them cry. The only thing I worry about is WHO is counting the ballots, just like with Venezuela last night, it was clear that Chavez lost the election but he had his goons count the votes so at the end he “won” the same thing could happen here
Do they have Obamaphones in PA?
This race is cracklin' like corn bread in a Texas Roadhouse fire. It's closer than moonmen and swiss cheese hot pockets. It's making my fingernails sweat. When the going gets weird, anchor men punt. As we used to say, if a frog had side pockets, he'd carry a handgun.
Romney is going to win Pa. You can continue to whine and complain that he does not have a chance in Pa or in the nation or you can hop on board and join the fun while all the Donkeys hang their heads in shame.
r-34 D-38 I-26. Is this a good sample?
Big time Reagan Democrat transformation is in process as I type. Also, Romney will carry the formerly GOP suburbs—which voted for Obama and John Kerry—surrounding Pa. Also, look for above average turnout in rural and coal country Pa. Look for a typical loss for Romney in Philly but watch him take a higher margin in Philly than for any Republican since Bush 41 in 1988. Romney said he will carry Pa and he knew what he was talking about.
I definitely think that PA is in play. I see hardly any Obama signs in Chester and Delaware counties, in contrast to 2008.
What remains to be see is what effect 140% turnout in Philly will have.
That was Philly’s—not Pa—surrounding suburbs.
These creeps just won't stop lying.
Connecticut is in play.
If Connecticut is in play, Pennsylvania is Romney’s by +2.
Well I don’t deserve 6 buck gas but the Obama loons sure do..and from the reaction Obama received when he was in LA they sure don’t seem to mind paying that much money for gas. They were swooning for him and taking photos of his motorcade, really disgusting to see but the majority of the ones fawning for him were illegals, so that’s Obama’s base who get freebies from the Govt, I doubt any of them have cars
Unfortunately we do have Obamaphones in PA. They have been advertised on local television here.
damn straight. Much obliged.
damn straight. Much obliged.
I am not too sure of that sample. Rat registration is close to 50% in PA. There is only about 6 to 8% independent registration. The race in PA all boils down to turnout ... Depressed turnout in Philadlephia with Delaware, Bucks and Montgomery counties voting for Romney by a big margin to offset the hood vote in Philadelphia. The mid-state looks good for Romney. While not scientific, I took a long drive on Friday, and I saw zero Obama yard signs and bumper stickers. I drove from Mechanicsburg to E-town to Lebanon to Hamburg and back home to Mechanicsburg via interstates.
The race is as hot and tight as a too small bathing suit on a too long car ride back from the beach.
Yep, we not only have them, W PA was the test bed for the "free, obama phone".
Makes me want to perform illegal acts on some politicians.
We still have a shot at PA but if the Voter ID law had been upheld, we would have walked away with it, now, it is iffy.
I'm a poll watcher, and the Voter ID would really have given us great leverage, now, it's just our presence at the polls that will hold down some of the most blatant fraud.
Even without voter ID, poll watchers do make a difference, especially those of us that go into the "hood" as the brothers and sisters really loves us white folk heppen' them vote.
I never go in "nekked".
And why? Because most of them really do love America and see the threat to it from the filth that are in power now.
don’t think so . . not with Phillies 110% turnout for the rats
And this time you cannot judge by the relative number of Obama vs Romney yard signs and bumper stickers because Romney supporters are afraid of vandalism.
You have to judge by the low number of Obama signs and stickers alone.
Aren’t the folk there pretty TICKED OFF about the gas prices?? Does R&R have a slight chance with the horrific gas prices shooting through the roof there? Any outrage? STEAMING outrage??
D+4, probably fair for PA.
Well there was a large tea party gathering yesterday in Westwood, it was really nice to see..people ARE ticked off about the gas prices, just like they were ticked off about missing appointments and having to wait on the freeway for an hour for your majesty to get through but those same people will vote for Obama anyway. Maybe if enough people connected the dots about how Obama’s policies are responsible for the raising gas prices maybe, just maybe some people would wake up..but the media here keeps on blaming the refinery fires up north and a system malfunction at a refinery in Torrance, no one even brings up Obama wanting prices to skyrocket
Big time Reagan Democrat transformation is in process as I type”
Elaborate, with details? Very exciting!!
Ah, the Pennsylvania tease. I sure hope this poll is accurate, but Pennsylvania to Republican presidential candidates is Lucy with the football. I’d rather see Romney spend his cash in Ohio, Virginia and Florida. if Pa. is this close, then he’ll easily win those three states, and be the next president.
Latest numbers on Pennsylvania voter registration from the Secretary of State’s Office are:
D - 50
R - 38
I - 12
This could be a feign by Team Obama, they did it in 2008. Get Romney and Ryan to start spending money and time here. Obama needs PA, Romney does not. Its almost a certainty now that Obama will lose Ohio, Va, NC, Mo, Colorado, Florida , Indiana. The race is over folks with those states, Romney should not waste one dime here. The T section of Pa solid R but here in Western Pa its filled with the worst of the worst urban black vampire culture, white trash wiggers(Yinzers as we call them), union thugs and professional college students and intellectuals, Dem staples. R&R move on, nothing to see here. Go win Florida and win.
you could well be right.....
end of the day it is all about OH, VA, and FL.
Maybe throw in CO.
Yup....PA is a waste of time & money for the GOP. It’s the same old same old every 4 years there. it’s best to keep putting money into Nevada, Colorado & Iowa if we are trying to pull in a purple state.
Thanks. I was a bit low on the independent registration. .
Could we also pick off that idiot Casey?
You've also got the 'bitter clingers' there... PA might get interesting.
I have begun to see Obama ads the last few days on TV.I thought it odd since he is supposed to have this area wrapped up.Bucks County Pa.
Yep, I am also in Bucks Co. and seeing those Obama ads on TV. Very few Obama signs in yards or the “open” street corner areas (there were a LOT in both places last election). I have actually seen Romney stickers on several cars, a couple of yard signs have sprouted up in my neighborhood and saw a bumper sticker today with just the name Obama and a big red slash over it (liked that one!).
See what Mr Dem had to say (#24 of 40). The Democrat white working class loves America. They voted for the Gipper. The majority of them will vote for Romney.
“nekked”. :)My husband wants to help at the polls this year.
I see nothing in Lower Bucks but I talk to people and they are all voting mostly Obama.Union’s and low income.I talked to a teacher in Montgomery County-she said what recession.Her husband is a well know writer in certain circles.He told me Obama is a good Christian man.:)
Where do you live? I live in Montgomery County just over the city line and in 2008, Obama signs were a pretty common sight. Also, inside the city in the Chestnut Hill and Mt. Airy sections, the Obama signs were everywhere. This time, only a smattering in the city and I've literally only seen two in all of Whitemarsh township. Lib and more notably, African American enthusiasm is way down. PA is definitely close - I will not be surprised if Romney wins it. My guess is it depends upon voter fraud in Philly and other union strongholds throughout the Commonwealth.
Are they all going to show up though? Or are they unenthused lazy bones who just think poor folks should vote for the Dem?
Lower Bucks it sucks to see daily Mass goers at the polls working for him.I quit some media because of this.Really mad but some people bought up the air time and gave it back to me.Sometimes you feel like your banging you head against a wall.
They vote,I ask if they vote.They love Obama.
Have you spoken with your pastor? Ours is letting us put the National Right to Life Committee's Candidates stands on life in the bulletins. Maybe your pastor will too. Here's the link - http://www.nrlpac.org/pdf/POTUS%20Comparison.pdf