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Susquehanna Poll: Obama 47, Romney 45 (Pennsylvania)
Politics PA ^ | 10/08/2012 | Keegan Gibson

Posted on 10/08/2012 12:58:03 PM PDT by nhwingut

Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by a 2 point margin, identical to his lead in late September according to Susquehanna Polling and Research. But the Republican’s debate performance contributed to a 6 point jump in his favorability rating.

In a poll conducted just after the first presidential debate, from Oct. 4 to 6, 47 percent of respondents said they support Obama; 45 percent support Romney. 3 percent support Libertarian Gary Johnson.

The Obama-Romney head-to-head numbers are identical the most recent Susquehanna Polling and Research survey released on Sept. 23. The margin of that poll, commissioned by the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review closely resemble that of another SP&R survey conducted for the Pa. Republican party which showed Obama at a 48 percent to 47 advantage.

When the undecided voters leaning towards a candidate are factored in (breaking 3:1 for Romney), the race narrows to a 1-point Obama lead, 47 percent to 46.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicspa.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; pa2012; pennsylvania; polls
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1 point race w leaners...
1 posted on 10/08/2012 12:58:05 PM PDT by nhwingut
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To: nhwingut

Gee there is that 47 percent number again. I think Romney can win PA, before I didn’t think there was a chance he could do it but now I think its definitely possible. Go for the clean sweep!!


2 posted on 10/08/2012 1:00:52 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Sarah Barracuda

I live in Yellow Dog Country in PA and am used to having them in my face crowing all day about how Bob Casey or Ed Rendell is the greatest thing since sliced bread.

I hear NOTHING from them right now. I mean, absolute crickets. And a very large number of these “End the War on Coal” signs has sprung up.

I think we may be about to experience an outbreak of Reagan Democrat Syndrome around here.


3 posted on 10/08/2012 1:03:28 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: nhwingut

I think it is now fair to say that PA is now tighter than a bullfrog’s behind!


4 posted on 10/08/2012 1:04:32 PM PDT by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
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To: fatima; xsmommy; Nowhere Man; South Hawthorne; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; ...

PA Ping!

If you want on/off the PA Ping List, please freepmail me. Thanks!


5 posted on 10/08/2012 1:05:58 PM PDT by randita
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Awesome news!! Thanks for the update! I don’t think it will be a Reagan landslide(Since my home state of California is too far gone to be saved unfortunately) but I think Romney will win Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, New Hampshire, and possibly Nevada and Pennsylvania..I will tune into MSNBC just to hear them cry. The only thing I worry about is WHO is counting the ballots, just like with Venezuela last night, it was clear that Chavez lost the election but he had his goons count the votes so at the end he “won” the same thing could happen here


6 posted on 10/08/2012 1:07:08 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: nhwingut

Do they have Obamaphones in PA?


7 posted on 10/08/2012 1:07:29 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
I think it is now fair to say that PA is now tighter than a bullfrog’s behind!

This race is cracklin' like corn bread in a Texas Roadhouse fire. It's closer than moonmen and swiss cheese hot pockets. It's making my fingernails sweat. When the going gets weird, anchor men punt. As we used to say, if a frog had side pockets, he'd carry a handgun.

8 posted on 10/08/2012 1:11:44 PM PDT by Lazamataz (WAAAAAAAAAHHHhhhhh.....)
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To: nhwingut

Romney is going to win Pa. You can continue to whine and complain that he does not have a chance in Pa or in the nation or you can hop on board and join the fun while all the Donkeys hang their heads in shame.


9 posted on 10/08/2012 1:12:36 PM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
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To: randita

r-34 D-38 I-26. Is this a good sample?


10 posted on 10/08/2012 1:14:50 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Big time Reagan Democrat transformation is in process as I type. Also, Romney will carry the formerly GOP suburbs—which voted for Obama and John Kerry—surrounding Pa. Also, look for above average turnout in rural and coal country Pa. Look for a typical loss for Romney in Philly but watch him take a higher margin in Philly than for any Republican since Bush 41 in 1988. Romney said he will carry Pa and he knew what he was talking about.


11 posted on 10/08/2012 1:18:34 PM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
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To: Buckeye McFrog
I think we may be about to experience an outbreak of Reagan Democrat Syndrome around here.

I definitely think that PA is in play. I see hardly any Obama signs in Chester and Delaware counties, in contrast to 2008.

What remains to be see is what effect 140% turnout in Philly will have.

12 posted on 10/08/2012 1:19:28 PM PDT by PapaBear3625 (Charlie Daniels - Payback Time http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWwTJj_nosI)
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To: Combat_Liberalism

That was Philly’s—not Pa—surrounding suburbs.


13 posted on 10/08/2012 1:19:57 PM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
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To: nhwingut
Please.

These creeps just won't stop lying.

14 posted on 10/08/2012 1:21:05 PM PDT by Lazamataz (WAAAAAAAAAHHHhhhhh.....)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Connecticut is in play.

If Connecticut is in play, Pennsylvania is Romney’s by +2.


15 posted on 10/08/2012 1:23:13 PM PDT by kidd
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To: Sarah Barracuda
(Since my home state of California is too far gone to be saved unfortunately) Yes, and they Deserve $6.00 gas!!!
16 posted on 10/08/2012 1:23:58 PM PDT by radioone ( Main Stream Media. The Government built that.)
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To: radioone

Well I don’t deserve 6 buck gas but the Obama loons sure do..and from the reaction Obama received when he was in LA they sure don’t seem to mind paying that much money for gas. They were swooning for him and taking photos of his motorcade, really disgusting to see but the majority of the ones fawning for him were illegals, so that’s Obama’s base who get freebies from the Govt, I doubt any of them have cars


17 posted on 10/08/2012 1:26:25 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: profit_guy

Unfortunately we do have Obamaphones in PA. They have been advertised on local television here.


18 posted on 10/08/2012 1:26:31 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Lazamataz

damn straight. Much obliged.


19 posted on 10/08/2012 1:29:31 PM PDT by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
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To: Lazamataz

damn straight. Much obliged.


20 posted on 10/08/2012 1:29:39 PM PDT by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
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To: crosslink
r-34 D-38 I-26. Is this a good sample?

I am not too sure of that sample. Rat registration is close to 50% in PA. There is only about 6 to 8% independent registration. The race in PA all boils down to turnout ... Depressed turnout in Philadlephia with Delaware, Bucks and Montgomery counties voting for Romney by a big margin to offset the hood vote in Philadelphia. The mid-state looks good for Romney. While not scientific, I took a long drive on Friday, and I saw zero Obama yard signs and bumper stickers. I drove from Mechanicsburg to E-town to Lebanon to Hamburg and back home to Mechanicsburg via interstates.

21 posted on 10/08/2012 1:30:04 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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To: Trapped Behind Enemy Lines; Lazamataz

The race is as hot and tight as a too small bathing suit on a too long car ride back from the beach.


22 posted on 10/08/2012 1:37:28 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: profit_guy
Do they have Obamaphones in PA?

Yep, we not only have them, W PA was the test bed for the "free, obama phone".

Makes me want to perform illegal acts on some politicians.

We still have a shot at PA but if the Voter ID law had been upheld, we would have walked away with it, now, it is iffy.

I'm a poll watcher, and the Voter ID would really have given us great leverage, now, it's just our presence at the polls that will hold down some of the most blatant fraud.

Even without voter ID, poll watchers do make a difference, especially those of us that go into the "hood" as the brothers and sisters really loves us white folk heppen' them vote.

I never go in "nekked".

23 posted on 10/08/2012 1:38:24 PM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages, start today.)
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To: Combat_Liberalism
Big time Reagan Democrat transformation is in process as I type.

And why? Because most of them really do love America and see the threat to it from the filth that are in power now.

24 posted on 10/08/2012 1:39:37 PM PDT by MrDem (Founder: Democrats for Cheney/Palin 2012)
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To: Combat_Liberalism

don’t think so . . not with Phillies 110% turnout for the rats


25 posted on 10/08/2012 1:40:08 PM PDT by 2nd Amendment (Vote Obama for national suicide)
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To: PapaBear3625

And this time you cannot judge by the relative number of Obama vs Romney yard signs and bumper stickers because Romney supporters are afraid of vandalism.

You have to judge by the low number of Obama signs and stickers alone.


26 posted on 10/08/2012 1:41:58 PM PDT by Bobalu (It is not obama we are fighting, it is the media.)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Aren’t the folk there pretty TICKED OFF about the gas prices?? Does R&R have a slight chance with the horrific gas prices shooting through the roof there? Any outrage? STEAMING outrage??


27 posted on 10/08/2012 1:42:23 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: crosslink
r-34 D-38 I-26. Is this a good sample?

D+4, probably fair for PA.

28 posted on 10/08/2012 1:43:14 PM PDT by NeoCaveman ("If I had a son he'd look like B.O.'s lunch" - Rin Tin Tin)
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To: NeoCaveman
D+4, probably fair for PA

D +6 as Martin O'Malley continues to chase them over the Mason-Dixon line with tax hikes.


29 posted on 10/08/2012 1:48:53 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: RoseofTexas

Well there was a large tea party gathering yesterday in Westwood, it was really nice to see..people ARE ticked off about the gas prices, just like they were ticked off about missing appointments and having to wait on the freeway for an hour for your majesty to get through but those same people will vote for Obama anyway. Maybe if enough people connected the dots about how Obama’s policies are responsible for the raising gas prices maybe, just maybe some people would wake up..but the media here keeps on blaming the refinery fires up north and a system malfunction at a refinery in Torrance, no one even brings up Obama wanting prices to skyrocket


30 posted on 10/08/2012 1:49:12 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Combat_Liberalism

Big time Reagan Democrat transformation is in process as I type”

Elaborate, with details? Very exciting!!


31 posted on 10/08/2012 1:50:43 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: nhwingut

Ah, the Pennsylvania tease. I sure hope this poll is accurate, but Pennsylvania to Republican presidential candidates is Lucy with the football. I’d rather see Romney spend his cash in Ohio, Virginia and Florida. if Pa. is this close, then he’ll easily win those three states, and be the next president.


32 posted on 10/08/2012 2:10:06 PM PDT by Mase (Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Latest numbers on Pennsylvania voter registration from the Secretary of State’s Office are:

D - 50
R - 38
I - 12


33 posted on 10/08/2012 2:10:23 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: ConservativeDude

This could be a feign by Team Obama, they did it in 2008. Get Romney and Ryan to start spending money and time here. Obama needs PA, Romney does not. It’s almost a certainty now that Obama will lose Ohio, Va, NC, Mo, Colorado, Florida , Indiana. The race is over folks with those states, Romney should not waste one dime here. The T section of Pa solid R but here in Western Pa it’s filled with the worst of the worst urban black vampire culture, white trash wiggers(Yinzers as we call them), union thugs and professional college students and intellectuals, Dem staples. R&R move on, nothing to see here. Go win Florida and win.


34 posted on 10/08/2012 2:14:36 PM PDT by pburgh01
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To: pburgh01

you could well be right.....

end of the day it is all about OH, VA, and FL.

Maybe throw in CO.


35 posted on 10/08/2012 2:19:28 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: pburgh01

Yup....PA is a waste of time & money for the GOP. It’s the same old same old every 4 years there. it’s best to keep putting money into Nevada, Colorado & Iowa if we are trying to pull in a purple state.


36 posted on 10/08/2012 2:21:50 PM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: comebacknewt

Thanks. I was a bit low on the independent registration. .


37 posted on 10/08/2012 2:44:16 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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To: Combat_Liberalism

Could we also pick off that idiot Casey?


38 posted on 10/08/2012 3:13:41 PM PDT by ken5050 (Barack Obama: An empty suit sitting in an empty chair...)
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To: Buckeye McFrog
I live in Yellow Dog Country in PA and am used to having them in my face crowing all day about how Bob Casey or Ed Rendell is the greatest thing since sliced bread. I hear NOTHING from them right now. I mean, absolute crickets. And a very large number of these “End the War on Coal” signs has sprung up. I think we may be about to experience an outbreak of Reagan Democrat Syndrome around here.

You've also got the 'bitter clingers' there... PA might get interesting.

39 posted on 10/08/2012 4:11:28 PM PDT by GOPJ (You only establish a feel for the line by having crossed it. - - Freeper One Name)
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To: randita

I have begun to see Obama ads the last few days on TV.I thought it odd since he is supposed to have this area wrapped up.Bucks County Pa.


40 posted on 10/08/2012 4:18:52 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: ConservativeInPA
They didn't have the signs out in 08 for Obama but they voted for him.One thing I have not seen is the people around the neighborhood and at the malls to see if you are registered.Tommorrow is last day.Back in 08 a blonde followed my son-in-law all the way to his van.I asked him what she wanted.He said my body:)I think they were getting paid by the name.
41 posted on 10/08/2012 4:29:22 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: fatima

Yep, I am also in Bucks Co. and seeing those Obama ads on TV. Very few Obama signs in yards or the “open” street corner areas (there were a LOT in both places last election). I have actually seen Romney stickers on several cars, a couple of yard signs have sprouted up in my neighborhood and saw a bumper sticker today with just the name Obama and a big red slash over it (liked that one!).


42 posted on 10/08/2012 4:30:48 PM PDT by twyn1
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To: ConservativeDude

See what Mr Dem had to say (#24 of 40). The Democrat white working class loves America. They voted for the Gipper. The majority of them will vote for Romney.


43 posted on 10/08/2012 4:31:49 PM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
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To: USS Alaska

“nekked”. :)My husband wants to help at the polls this year.


44 posted on 10/08/2012 4:33:10 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: twyn1

I see nothing in Lower Bucks but I talk to people and they are all voting mostly Obama.Union’s and low income.I talked to a teacher in Montgomery County-she said what recession.Her husband is a well know writer in certain circles.He told me Obama is a good Christian man.:)


45 posted on 10/08/2012 4:42:57 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: fatima
They didn't have the signs out in 08 for Obama but they voted for him.

Where do you live? I live in Montgomery County just over the city line and in 2008, Obama signs were a pretty common sight. Also, inside the city in the Chestnut Hill and Mt. Airy sections, the Obama signs were everywhere. This time, only a smattering in the city and I've literally only seen two in all of Whitemarsh township. Lib and more notably, African American enthusiasm is way down. PA is definitely close - I will not be surprised if Romney wins it. My guess is it depends upon voter fraud in Philly and other union strongholds throughout the Commonwealth.

46 posted on 10/08/2012 4:45:07 PM PDT by old and tired
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To: fatima
but I talk to people and they are all voting mostly Obama.Union’s and low income.

Are they all going to show up though? Or are they unenthused lazy bones who just think poor folks should vote for the Dem?

47 posted on 10/08/2012 4:47:09 PM PDT by old and tired
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To: old and tired

Lower Bucks it sucks to see daily Mass goers at the polls working for him.I quit some media because of this.Really mad but some people bought up the air time and gave it back to me.Sometimes you feel like your banging you head against a wall.


48 posted on 10/08/2012 4:52:40 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: old and tired

They vote,I ask if they vote.They love Obama.


49 posted on 10/08/2012 4:54:08 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: fatima
Lower Bucks it sucks to see daily Mass goers at the polls working for him

Have you spoken with your pastor? Ours is letting us put the National Right to Life Committee's Candidates stands on life in the bulletins. Maybe your pastor will too. Here's the link - http://www.nrlpac.org/pdf/POTUS%20Comparison.pdf

50 posted on 10/08/2012 4:58:41 PM PDT by old and tired
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