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Romney Surging in PA (O 47 R 45)
American Spectator ^ | 10/8/12 | American Spectator

Posted on 10/08/2012 3:51:52 PM PDT by NoobRep

Just in.

The Susquehanna Poll (from the Susquehanna Polling and Research folks ) have just released their post-debate poll of Pennsylvania.

Bottom line: Romney is suddenly surging, with Obama leading by a mere two points -- which is to say a "virtual dead heat."

Concludes the poll: There is (my emphasis) "clear evidence the debates have helped solidify the Keystone State as a tossup election in November and one well within Romney's reach."

(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; obama; pa2012; paelection; pennsylvania; romney; swingstates
Moving up fast. Now a toss up.
1 posted on 10/08/2012 3:51:55 PM PDT by NoobRep
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To: NoobRep

Then there’s this:

Pew: Romney Leads By 4 In Post-Debate Survey

http://news.yahoo.com/pew-romney-leads-4-post-debate-survey-200329539—politics.html


2 posted on 10/08/2012 3:57:56 PM PDT by rdl6989 (January 20, 2013 The end of an error.)
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To: NoobRep

Subject is wrong, it’s 47-45.

And Gary Johnson is getting 3%. I heard a radio ad for him last week. I don’t think I’ve heard a Romney or Obama ad yet.


3 posted on 10/08/2012 3:59:52 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: NoobRep
76% of voters said they watched the first televised debate, with a net 2% saying they switched their vote from Obama to Romney based on what they saw.
4 posted on 10/08/2012 4:00:40 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: NoobRep

Mods can you fix headline its 47-45


5 posted on 10/08/2012 4:01:04 PM PDT by NoobRep
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To: JediJones

Johnson will be lucky to get 0.5% of the vote in PA. Most of the Libertarians will either wise up and vote for Romney or stay at home and smoke their weed.


6 posted on 10/08/2012 4:04:31 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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To: NoobRep; LS

ping


7 posted on 10/08/2012 4:04:47 PM PDT by barmag25
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To: NoobRep

Would LOVE to see an analysis of the absentees in PA like we have for OH, NC, and FL. Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?


8 posted on 10/08/2012 4:05:26 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: NoobRep

How is it that President Otard has any support anywhere?


9 posted on 10/08/2012 4:20:43 PM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: rdl6989

Woa..great news. Pew was tied or right behind Rasmussen as most accurate pollster in the 2008 election.


10 posted on 10/08/2012 4:24:23 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: chris37

Public school system and a corrupt national media.


11 posted on 10/08/2012 4:24:47 PM PDT by NoobRep
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To: NoobRep

Since the debate, Romney signs have sprung up in the York suburban area like wild flowers. Quite a few empty chairs, too. I think that if Mitt continues taking it to the slimeball, PA could go Repub,


12 posted on 10/08/2012 4:29:16 PM PDT by CaribCarter
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To: NoobRep

False Flag. Romney, don’t spend a dollar in Pennsylvania. Your heart will just be broken.

Oldplayer


13 posted on 10/08/2012 4:50:59 PM PDT by oldplayer
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To: NoobRep

At least all voters in Pennsylvania are not fooled by Oboomo


14 posted on 10/08/2012 4:52:52 PM PDT by FreedBird
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To: NoobRep

The mother of all meltdowns. its coming. 29 days left.


15 posted on 10/08/2012 5:11:36 PM PDT by SueRae (See it? Hell, I can TASTE November from my house!)
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To: CaribCarter

Same here in Chester County. I picked up a couple of yard signs at a local town festival a week ago and people were actually cheering when I walked back to my car with them. We’ve got momo.


16 posted on 10/08/2012 5:13:49 PM PDT by SueRae (See it? Hell, I can TASTE November from my house!)
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To: oldplayer
False Flag. Romney, don’t spend a dollar in Pennsylvania. Your heart will just be broken.

Even a false flag can be a good investment, although PA doesn't quite make my list. I'd like to see Romney campaign and advertise heavily in every toss up state (CO, FL, IA, MO, NC, NH, NV, OH, VA, and WI), even where he is leading slightly, plus in the "Likely Obama" states of MN, NM, OR, and WA. Throw in the "Safe Obama" states with a competitive Senate race, and we've got a good campaign with a potential big payout, one where Obama also has to split his resources.

17 posted on 10/08/2012 5:15:37 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: NoobRep
Here is another concurrent thread of the Susquehanna Poll and an undervote primary map. Obama is in trouble in Pennsylvania. I believe the state is in play.
18 posted on 10/08/2012 5:29:37 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media.)
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To: CaribCarter

I had to put out a chair.

Here in Central NYState, the GOP office has a total of zero Romney&Ryan signs remaining. They went like hotcakes as soon as they came in. My lawn has a couple other GOP signs plus a chair on it instead.


19 posted on 10/08/2012 7:21:55 PM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll ping.


20 posted on 10/08/2012 8:37:35 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: NoobRep

This is the most important part of the poll I am interested in -— SAMPLING.

Are you registered to vote as a Republican, Democrat, Independent or something else?

1. Republican 305 42%
2. Democrat 348 48%
3. Independent/other 72 10%

Here, we have a D+6 sampling. Is this a fair estimate of voters in Pennsylvania?

Also, this is very revealing:

Do you consider yourself to be conservative or liberal when thinking about politics?

1. Conservative 330 46%
2. Liberal 183 25%
3. Moderate 179 25%
4. Other/undecided 32 04%

If 46% of the sample are Conservative and Romney gets 45% of the survey, that would mean 1% of conservatives are undecided.

It also means a huge portion of moderates are going with Obama ( might as well call them liberals ).


21 posted on 10/08/2012 8:46:46 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: Jet Jaguar

Here’s one part of the poll internals we need to parse:

Which of the following best describes the way you voted in the last general election - straight Republican, mostly Republican, a few more Republicans than Democrats, about equal, a few more Democrats than Republicans, mostly Democrat or straight Democrat? (ONE ANSWER ONLY)

1. Straight Republican 96 13%
2. Mostly Republican 137 19%
3. More R’s than D’s 54 07%
4. About equal 109 15%
5. More D’s than R’s 46 06%
6. Mostly Democrat 106 15%
7. Straight Democrat 157 22%
8. Undecided/Not applicable 19 03%

************

Total Republican: 32%
Total Democrat: 37%

Total Swing: 28%


22 posted on 10/08/2012 8:49:44 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: SeekAndFind

Bump


23 posted on 10/08/2012 8:52:52 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: JediJones

“Subject is wrong, it’s 47-45.
And Gary Johnson is getting 3%. I heard a radio ad for him last week. I don’t think I’ve heard a Romney or Obama ad yet.”

Considering the last poll I saw posted by Rasmussen, this is good news, but Romney still has a roe to hoe to win PA.

If Johnson continues to pull 3% of the vote come election day, neither Obama or Romney may be able to win by a majority. Let’s work some numbers...

With 3% “stolen” by Johnson, that leaves only 5% in the “undecided” category at the moment.

Let’s suppose that tradition rules, and that 5% breaks about 2 to 1 for Romney, giving Romney an additional 3.3% and Obama about 1.7%.

That leaves us with Obama 48.7% and Romney with 48.5%.

If some of the Johnson voters change their mind, and go to Romney, he could squeak out a victory.

If Romney can gain just one more point “up”, and Obama holds steady, Mitt may actually pull this one off. Right now, just too unpredictable to call….


24 posted on 10/08/2012 9:03:44 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: Road Glide
Romney still has a roe to hoe

That's "a row to hoe" as in a row of corn...in the garden.

You're making him hoe fish eggs, or a return on equity.

25 posted on 10/08/2012 9:07:43 PM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate "Republicans Freed the Slaves" Month)
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To: NoobRep

.

LIBERAL REPORTER #1:
Governor Romney do you play golf?

GOVERNOR MITT ROMNEY:
“I did a few times when I was in high school - but that was before I was actively in business.”

LIBERAL REPORTER #1:
“That’s racist!”

LIBERAL REPORTER #2:
Governor Romney did you ever use drugs?

GOVERNOR MITT ROMNEY:
“No.”

LIBERAL REPORTER #2:
“That’s pretty racist!”

LIBERAL REPORTER #3:
Governor Romney did you ever play basketball?

GOVERNOR MITT ROMNEY:
“Yes - With my sons and grandchildren on family gatherings.”

LIBERAL REPORTER #3:
“That’s incredibly racist!”

.


26 posted on 10/09/2012 4:42:04 AM PDT by devolve (----- ------- ------------c.1000_and_c.1620-------- ----------------------------)
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To: FreedBird

True but are there enough to erase the Gimme voters in Philly.....that’s the problem.


27 posted on 10/09/2012 6:22:38 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: oldplayer
False Flag. Romney, don’t spend a dollar in Pennsylvania. Your heart will just be broken.

I concur.

28 posted on 10/09/2012 6:26:04 AM PDT by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: thingumbob

The rural areas are solidly for Romney. They elected Corbett, a Republican for Governor.


29 posted on 10/10/2012 4:40:53 AM PDT by FreedBird
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To: FreedBird
Then I'm looking forward to seeing what happens on Election night in Pennsylvania.....

Ohio finally changed it's Democrat status over the years by discovering the rural vote was Republican as well. Cincinnati has been Republican for forever. The bad news, like Philly, Cleveland has been dimrat for eons and has always been the giant hill of votes that the Republicans have to overcome.

Over the years as Cleveland's rust belt status and horibble Mayors have slowly killed the city and eroded away the jobs, population, and votes, the tipping point has been determined more and more by the turnout in Columbus, which is generally ever so slightly Democrat. If Ohio keeps it close there, then the rural areas carry the state towards the Republicans.

It is my most fervent wish that Pennsylvania has also found some formula of sorts, like Ohio, to finally counter Philidelphia's dominance through out the state.

30 posted on 10/10/2012 9:26:31 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: FreedBird

“The rural areas are solidly for Romney.”

Yeah; they’re real people and don’t want someone taking away their guns, messing with the way they worship, and they need jobs — including those in the coal industry. Romney’s the only guy who can deliver. Too many “takers” in Philly, though, same as in other big cities.


31 posted on 10/10/2012 9:37:17 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam
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