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To: JediJones

“Subject is wrong, it’s 47-45.
And Gary Johnson is getting 3%. I heard a radio ad for him last week. I don’t think I’ve heard a Romney or Obama ad yet.”

Considering the last poll I saw posted by Rasmussen, this is good news, but Romney still has a roe to hoe to win PA.

If Johnson continues to pull 3% of the vote come election day, neither Obama or Romney may be able to win by a majority. Let’s work some numbers...

With 3% “stolen” by Johnson, that leaves only 5% in the “undecided” category at the moment.

Let’s suppose that tradition rules, and that 5% breaks about 2 to 1 for Romney, giving Romney an additional 3.3% and Obama about 1.7%.

That leaves us with Obama 48.7% and Romney with 48.5%.

If some of the Johnson voters change their mind, and go to Romney, he could squeak out a victory.

If Romney can gain just one more point “up”, and Obama holds steady, Mitt may actually pull this one off. Right now, just too unpredictable to call….


24 posted on 10/08/2012 9:03:44 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: Road Glide
Romney still has a roe to hoe

That's "a row to hoe" as in a row of corn...in the garden.

You're making him hoe fish eggs, or a return on equity.

25 posted on 10/08/2012 9:07:43 PM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate "Republicans Freed the Slaves" Month)
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