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Poll: Romney surges in Pennsylvania
The Washington Times ^ | October 9, 2012 | Dave Boyer

Posted on 10/09/2012 10:35:06 AM PDT by jazusamo

Mitt Romney's strong performance in the first presidential debate may have put Pennsylvania back in play, and closed the gap with President Obama in other battleground states.

A Siena Research Institute Poll on Tuesday showed the Republican nominee trailing Mr. Obama by only three percentage points, 43 percent to 40 percent, in the Keystone State. Other polls prior to the debate had shown Mr. Obama with as much as a 12-point lead.

"Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes suddenly appear to be up for grabs," said poll director Don Levy. "Romney not only has Republican support but now leads in vote-rich areas outside of Philadelphia and also in the central part of the state. With a month and two more debates to go, Pennsylvania's direction on the road to the White House remains in doubt."

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012polls; 2012swingstates; pa2012; paelection; pennsylvania; romney; swingstate

1 posted on 10/09/2012 10:35:16 AM PDT by jazusamo
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To: jazusamo

The usual question is begged -— What is the D/R/I sampling breakdown of this Sienna poll?


2 posted on 10/09/2012 10:36:48 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: jazusamo

Gas + coal = jobs


3 posted on 10/09/2012 10:37:03 AM PDT by Sacajaweau (r)
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To: smoothsailing; randita

PA Ping!


4 posted on 10/09/2012 10:37:30 AM PDT by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: jazusamo

Is he surging everywhere? This is all too good to be true?


5 posted on 10/09/2012 10:37:57 AM PDT by Michigander222
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To: Sacajaweau; jazusamo

” Gas + coal = jobs”

Yep....ether wearing off the voters.


6 posted on 10/09/2012 10:39:03 AM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.)
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To: Sacajaweau

Gas + coal = jobs”

THAT’S RACIST!


7 posted on 10/09/2012 10:39:25 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: jazusamo
The demographics of Philly are all against Romney and almost an auto Obama win...and Philly has no coal or gas in the game.

Now, if you could turn Philly....

It ain't gonna happen.

8 posted on 10/09/2012 10:39:28 AM PDT by Sacajaweau (r)
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To: SeekAndFind; All

Here’s a POLITICS PA piece with a bit more.

http://www.politicspa.com/updated-siena-poll-obama-43-romney-40/42247/


9 posted on 10/09/2012 10:42:26 AM PDT by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: Sacajaweau
I hear you but miracles sometimes do happen.
10 posted on 10/09/2012 10:44:36 AM PDT by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: Sacajaweau

Changed his position on the natural gas fracking in PA. Obama now approves of the fracking in PA. Obama is also behind the Carlyle Group purchase of the Sunoco refinery in Philadelphia. Obama knew he was going to lose PA due to his war on fossil fuels and he made the strategic decision to change those positions, just for the state of PA.

The Carlyle group, of course is 25% owned by the public union pension funds of CA and NY. They are an Obama crony partner, no worse than that, the Carlyle Group is like a private / public partnership, with the government acting as the board of directors.

On the first day of operation, the Carlyle Group execs, told the union workers to thank Obama for their jobs.


11 posted on 10/09/2012 10:46:27 AM PDT by Eva (Obama and Hillary lied, Americans died.)
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To: jazusamo

The dems may need to get 300% turnout in Philly.


12 posted on 10/09/2012 10:47:02 AM PDT by Homer_J_Simpson ("Every nation has the government that it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: jazusamo

ruh, roh: Romney now up slightly in the RCP average of polls. also up in today’s Gallup:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html


13 posted on 10/09/2012 10:47:26 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: jazusamo

Plus fiscal conservatives in the suburbs of Philly are genuinely angry about the economy, and haven’t been sucked into social issues like Romney not openly supporting abortion, despite Obama’s best attempts to do so.

I know many people who thought Bush was a fundamentalist whackjob who are seriously considering voting for Romney.


14 posted on 10/09/2012 10:48:47 AM PDT by Shadow44
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To: Eva

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carlyle_Group
Intersting people in this “Group”!


15 posted on 10/09/2012 10:50:06 AM PDT by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: Sacajaweau
Gas + coal = jobs

Plus he's scared white working class Democrats absolutely shiite-less with is race baiting rhetoric.


16 posted on 10/09/2012 10:50:30 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Sacajaweau

Republicans have never won Philadelphia since FDR. Even in 1972 when Nixon carried a near 20 point margin, Philadelphia was the only county who voted for McGovern.

If you can pick up the suburban counties like Delaware, Chester, Bucks, and Montgomery, then you can pull of a win like 1988.


17 posted on 10/09/2012 10:52:05 AM PDT by Shadow44
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To: ConservativeDude

Bump


18 posted on 10/09/2012 10:53:52 AM PDT by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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Please bump the Freepathon or click above and donate or become a monthly donor!

19 posted on 10/09/2012 10:58:28 AM PDT by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: jazusamo

Cards...

“I’ll open with 1 Obama phone”

“I see your Obama phone and raise you 1 natural gas and 1 coal. Read em and weep”.


20 posted on 10/09/2012 11:08:38 AM PDT by MrDem (Founder: Democrats for Cheney/Palin 2012)
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To: jazusamo

three words:

“I like coal”


21 posted on 10/09/2012 11:08:52 AM PDT by bigbob
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To: jazusamo

I really hope it’s true. However, as a Pennsylvanian I have my doubts. However, if Obama’s internal polls show this same thing, they must be in a panic. If he loses Pennsylvania, he’s done. It’s over. We’ll see how genuine this poll is in the coming days. Neither side is spending money here on political commercials. If they start putting buys in, then we know it’s true.


22 posted on 10/09/2012 11:13:20 AM PDT by Old Teufel Hunden
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To: jazusamo

That’s one state Obama could not afford to lose....


23 posted on 10/09/2012 11:14:54 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: ConservativeDude
* ( Gas + coal = jobs” ) *

" THAT’S RACIST! "

Did anyone say " Crayfish " ? .... nope, not into the belief of debunked theory of Evolution.
24 posted on 10/09/2012 11:17:10 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: Old Teufel Hunden
Thanks, I agree. Obama and crew generally seem to be in a panic since his sorry debate performance, he's losing ground in most polls. I'm looking forward to Thursday to see how badly Ryan thumps Biden.
25 posted on 10/09/2012 11:20:59 AM PDT by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: Homer_J_Simpson

The dems may need to get 300% turnout in Philly.
+++++++++
Impossible. That would be almost a 10% increase from 2008.


26 posted on 10/09/2012 11:21:17 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: Sacajaweau; jazusamo
Now, if you could turn Philly....

Completely out of the question.
The only way to turn Philly is an EMP blast and a 95% die off rate.

But that isn't the salient factor in Pa.
Montgomery County holds the key to Pa.
Just returned from pre election organizing there and its full of hopeless soccer moms with big dumb perma grins plastered on their respective faces, as if all are on high doses of prozac.

I'm not kidding, though if Montgomery flips R, we will take Pa, so its worth serious, all out effort there.

27 posted on 10/09/2012 11:33:17 AM PDT by bill1952 (Choice is an illusion created between those with power - and those without)
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To: bill1952

Completely out of the question.

The only way to turn Philly is an EMP blast and a 95% die off rate.


Born in Philly, and still can’t stop laughing at that one.


28 posted on 10/09/2012 11:35:09 AM PDT by patriotspride
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To: Sacajaweau

That and $400.00 for 100 gallons of Type II heating oil isn’t going over very well either. Lots and lots of homes on kerosene.


29 posted on 10/09/2012 11:55:40 AM PDT by Michael Barnes (Obamaa+ Downgrade)
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To: American Constitutionalist

Based on the # of Louisiana plates in PA working the shale gas wells, crayfish is an apt term.


30 posted on 10/09/2012 12:13:06 PM PDT by relictele
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To: US Navy Vet

What is interesting about the Wiki entry on Carlyle is that they have revised the article since I started posting about it on the WSJ comment boards. I have tried posting articles on FreeRepublic about the Carlyle Group, but could never generate any interest.

Carlyle posted two losing quarters this past year, but continued to invest money in failing companies, including SUNOCO and and a coal train company, which operates around the world but was losing money in New England due to the shut down of coal powered plants. The Genessee Wyoming RR is one of Obama’s favorites because it has the rights to tracks out west that Obama needs to carry coal to new coal terminals in Oregon. Sometimes I wonder if Richard Trumka is directing the investments.


31 posted on 10/09/2012 12:45:19 PM PDT by Eva (Obama and Hillary lied, Americans died.)
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To: jazusamo

Woo-Hoo! More good news! Thanks for the ping, Jaz!


32 posted on 10/09/2012 12:59:27 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

I have to wonder if the dems are faking us out here. They might be trying to get Romney to dilute his campaign resources by focusing outside the “real” swing states.

Last minute changes in strategy may not be a great idea, especially considering how expensive a full tv advertising campaign would be in PA.


33 posted on 10/09/2012 1:27:29 PM PDT by o2bfree (All us minorities got us an Obamaphone!!!)
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To: jazusamo

I TOLD YOU!... I have been telling people for months.. PENNSYLVANIA is winnable IF Romney/Ryan want to fight for it.

This election is not, was not, and never will be close.

The very idea Obama is going to win the Rust Belt or the South or any part of the country where Blue Dogs hold sway is, was and always will be LAUGHABLE!

Obama will not carry one state that he did not get 55% of the popular vote in 2008.. with perhaps the exception of MN. And he will lose other states he got over 55% (WI).

Fight like its neck and neck folks, but the idea this was going to be close was laughable on its face.

Romney got what 90 minutes or so of UNEDITED UNSPUN direct coverage and was able to counter 4+ years of lies and crap and how many hundreds of millions of dollars to create the lie that Obama was competent, and that Romney was evil.

And frankly he didn’t need more than 10 minutes to show the “emperor had no clothes”.

Fight like its neck and neck, but this thing was NEVER close.

PA was clearly in play on the ground, I dont’ know if R/R will come fight for it, but if they do its theres. Obama has alienated so many people with his complete ineptitude that as I have stated, 42-43% is about as good as he can possibly get on election day, and frankly its very possible he may not even get 40%.


34 posted on 10/09/2012 1:37:00 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: fatima; xsmommy; Nowhere Man; South Hawthorne; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; ...

PA Ping!

If you want on/off the PA Ping List, please freepmail me. Thanks!


35 posted on 10/09/2012 1:51:06 PM PDT by randita
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To: HamiltonJay
I've told some relatives and friends in the last two months that I believe Romney will win and that I don't think it'll be a squeaker, he'll win it handily. I've gotten some funny looks and the “I hope you're right” looks and replies.

The closer we've gotten to the election the stronger I feel on this. I don't however think it'll be a blowout like Ronald Reagan's was, there's too many Zer0 worshipers. I still believe there are many more sane people than crazy ones though and few sane ones will vote for this disaster we now have in the WH masquerading as a president.

36 posted on 10/09/2012 2:05:01 PM PDT by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: US Navy Vet

This is the link to the Carlyle story that I posted a couple of months ago.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2925446/posts?page=5

Here’s the direct link to the WSJ blog article:http://blogs.wsj.com/privateequity/2012/08/22/with-jobs-on-the-line-obama-white-house-turned-to-private-equity-to-save-the-day/


37 posted on 10/09/2012 2:36:33 PM PDT by Eva (Obama and Hillary lied, Americans died.)
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To: HamiltonJay

We’re in Indiana County, so it’s pretty much a given that Romney will win here. Even though we have many coal mining communities, we still go red. Still, I was up in the northern part of Pa this past weekend - about 40 miles west of Wilkes Barre - and saw a lot of Romney/Ryan and Tom Smith signs. Didn’t see any Obama though! We crossed over into NY - Vestal - and saw ONE Obama sign and a car with Romney bumper stickers. Saw lots of local politician signs, so the enthusiasm for Obama is not there either. Traveling back down to Indiana County, through Clearfield, we saw lots of “Fire Obama” signs. I’m excited. Barring massive voter fraud, we can deliver Pa for Romney. They’ve been getting lots of requests for Romney signs at our local GOP. Still getting more signs in tomorrow!


38 posted on 10/09/2012 4:07:16 PM PDT by sneakers (Go Sheriff Joe!)
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To: jazusamo

The population distribution today ensures you won’t get a Reagan route in the EC even if you win by a bigger margin. However Obama will not get above 42-43% of the popular vote


39 posted on 10/09/2012 4:07:33 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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