Skip to comments.Suffolk pollster: We’re not polling Florida, Virginia, or North Carolina anymore, because ...
Posted on 10/09/2012 7:39:49 PM PDT by Justaham
Original title: Suffolk pollster: Were not polling Florida, Virginia, or North Carolina anymore, because Romneys going to win them
Via Gateway Pundit, Ill give you the RCP averages tonight and leave you to judge. Theyve got Romney by three points in NC (although the latest poll has him up nine), Romney by less than a point in FL, and Obama by less than half a point in VA.
See Guy Benson for more good news in various state polls. Ohio and Pennsylvania are getting tighter.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Isn’t it a little premature to call Florida for any9ne?
I think this is Phy Ops on the Left. They live and die by polls. Having this story out there is going to drive more then a few Leftists into hysteria.
I don’t think I’d call Florida till all the voting precincts have closed in the pan handle.
Good! I’m getting pretty tired of all the calls here in northern VA.
With Biden and Ryan up next I won’t be surprised if Romney is up 10 points by the weekend.
Obama barely won Florida vs MCLAME with a tidal wave of factors behind him. What possible scenario will make him win it this time with every advantage gone?
I listened to the guy saying this. I didn’t buy it. He said, iirc, something about Obama being below 50% being why they can say that Romney will win Fla, Va, and NC.
Romney is pulling away in NC, so I’ll give them that one. Fla and VA remain too close, though.
Seems to me that a smart candidate would take this suffolk prediction with a grain of salt.
These three states have been gone for sometime. Anyone who knows much about southern politics knows that these states would be the first to bail on a socialist.
Obama lost them for sure when he came out for gay marriage in hopes of firing up his left wing base, also known as the New York Times and Washington Post.
Yeah, ignore it like all University and media polling. It is just fun to mess with the Leftists. After a month of “It is all over Obama has won” polling, it fun to put the shoe on the other foot and kick the Left with it.
I agree. Leftist Psyops.
I read something today that says Ryan hasn’t debated anyone since High School.
I saw a video interview with Paul Ryan about 2 weeks ago. He said, in the House of Representatives, they debate a lot, even much more than in the Senate.
I also read an article which mentions he’s been practicing for the debate a lot, in seclusion in Virginia. When he was a young aide to Jack Kemp, he saw a debate where Kemp didn’t practice and blew the debate (like Obama did), and that made an impression on Paul Ryan on how to prepare for a debate.
He didn’t debate anyone to get into congress?
Ah, It’s like riding a bike, if he’s had good training.
And he knows his material, which is a huge percentage of the advantage.
Half Ryan’s brain tied behind his back, to paraphrase Rush.
See, there's this guy named Chad, who likes to hang around after the ballots are counted...
The whackjobs over at Daily Kos ARE NOT HAPPY WITH THIS.
I wouldn’t normally give them the hits, but this is too much schadenfreud to pass up!!
WTF?! Suffolk U. Pollster Commits Professional Malpractice
The problem with Biden is he’s tough to prepare for. He doesn’t just lie, he manufactures the most jaw-dropping, outrageous “facts” you’ve ever heard out of thin air, then pounds the podium and repeats them as if they’re etched-in-stone common knowledge to everyone but you. It’s the one actual talent the man possesses that doesn’t involve large quantities of alcohol.
Make him stand on his head and juggle at the same time and Crazy Joe might have a slight chance.
If Ryan can do this to Obama ,,,Biden is chopped toast.
“Isnt it a little premature to call Florida for anyone?”
Agree. The other two states were never in play, regardless of what the polling says. If NC or VA is lost by Romney, it’s game over anyway, without them - so why bother polling. Both states will be right around 8 point Romney wins by the time the votes are counted.
I worked the phone banks here in Central Virginia last evening and was startled by the turn of events. I had worked them several times earlier in the season but this was the first time since the debates. ID myself as a Vet calling on behalf of Republican Party and ask, “Can Romney and Ryan count on your vote this November?” Much larger number of yes’s and much greater level of enthusiam in their response. Was a pleasant experience compared to earlier times.
The guy also said that the Romney trends were strong (and I think they are seeing the internal stuff that is leaking out of the others-- Romney up big among indies, middle class, now women, plus higher turnout among Rs).
One mor reason to think this is true: this is a smaller outfit than Gallup, Ras, Mason Dixon, and they have to juggle their resources more closely.
Oh and this: there was a little noticed story last week that one of the Zero PACs had pulled out of VA. Naturally, this got no play in the DriveBys.
I agree. I think OH has been gone for some time.
Well you don't have to get snippy about it.
GONE as in R&R wins?
Yes. Look at the FR OH absentee voting threads. You’ll see what I mean.
Nonetheless, Obama simply will not give up on Florida. Better to keep hammering away at it, and not risk a clandestine ploy to get a candidate to pull resources or to give back airtime already scheduled with the media. You know who they’d gladly give that to if it were given up by the republicans.
It is about 27 days to the election, and it’s not time to trust outsiders or to let up in any other way.
I’m an Ohioan and Ohio is not settled.
It is always close, and the nature of our numbers says that last minute surges, voter drives, etc., can have a big impact.
We have 8 million registered voters and in 2008, a big turnout year, only 5.5 million voted.
That means last minute stuff can be really significant.
Or a block of salt. At any rate the obama team isn't writing VA off...I can tell you that. I watched House last night on FOX...the Nats had a night off...and there was an obama commercial every break. Every single one! And every single commercial is an attack on Romney. Every one of them calls him a liar and not one has anything positive about obama. Hope and Change is dead!
Zero will NOT win Hamilton or Franklin counties this time, and he WILL be down massively in Cuyahoga. I think at least 60,000, maybe 70,000 votes.
The old adage: “Don’t count your chickens before they’re hatched.”
Better safe than sorry.
Not saying relax in any sense of the word. But people here freak when the Romney campaign is said to be “pulling ads” out of WI, so turnabout is fair play.
Not true in UT, where they count their Hatch before he chickens out.
” Not true in UT, where they count their Hatch before he chickens out. “
Why FR is so much fun : )
I live in Virginia. Hampton Roads area. No doubt in my mind, even with the constant Mcrini effect that brought G. Allen down, that Obama has no shot in this state. It’s quite evident to me.
Wherever you live, get out and vote as your conscience directs ... and the pollsters be damned.
Lived in central OH most of my life. It’s over for Obama here. In fact I think it was over sometime in late ‘09 for Obama in Ohio.
Ohioans repudiated O in the ‘10 elections with a wave of red. So what’s changed in the last 2 years to suddenly make voters want to revert back to blue? In fact if anything the red wave hasn’t completely crashed on shore.
my predition: OHIO ELECTION NIGHT Romney 55% Obama 44%
I’m SO glad to see that. Years ago I tried in vain to find a Dole yard sign to put up as an optimistic transplant to the state, only to be told by a (seemingly amused) state GOP worker that Ohio was not given any. The FR bumper sticker “You are not alone” said it well.
Thank God and JimRob for FR and freepers.
Just now mentioned — Jamie Dupree on Boortz that Cleveland is one of the top-10 political advertising markets right now.
Perhaps better said, I thank God for JimRob, FR, and freepers.
So, just consider this: Obama won Cleveland by 200,000 votes, maybe much more. And he has to ADVERTISE THERE?????