Posted on 10/10/2012 10:32:21 AM PDT by profit_guy
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Badger State finds Obama with 51% support, while Romney picks up 49% of the vote.
In September, Obama held a 49% to 46% advantage over his Republican challenger. In surveys since October of last year, the president has earned 44% to 52% support in the state, while Romney’s support has ranged from 41% to 49%.
Obama defeated Senator John McCain in Wisconsin in 2008 56% to 42%.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
LOL
The singing fat lady isn’t even in the house yet.
“Remember, many of the polls had the recall tied or Walker losing and he ended up win by over 7%... “
They did until about a week or so before the vote. Then the polls came closer to reality and the media was basically conceding that Walker was going to win.
I suspect the same thing will happen here in the polls as we get real close to the election - and in fact it is slowly starting to. The difference is we will not see the MSM admitting it is over for Obama until all the votes are counted
Some percentage of those who voted for Walker said they were voting against the recall on principle, because they thought it was an abuse of the recall concept, not because they liked Walker.
I believe many in the administration and the media have been thinking that Obama is going to lose for quite a while (president's just don't get reelected with an economy is this bad). Then some of them started hoping after the conventions that...maybe...Obama was going to be able to fool enough voters to pull it off. The debate firmly put that notion to bed. Now their only goal from now until election day is make Obama appear like he's still got a chance, they have to. If the base feels that Obama's loss is forgone conclusion, they will sit home and the democrats will lose across the board. The only goal now is to perhaps salvage democrat senate control. That's why you see polls with crazy +8/+10 democrat over-samples, they have to make the race look like it's in the margin of error.
This is effectively a tie in a state Obama should be like 10+ ahead. Not good for Obama.
Rasmussen is predicting an Obama win almost. Sigh.
Splits? if this is D+2 over WIs regular splits, this is already a Romney win.
Nonsense. If the splits are typical Ras splits, at worst it’s a tie. But I don’t think there is one whit of evidence that this is “typical” splits. Everything I see in OH is showing a heavy R turnout and a heavily depressed D turnout.
Dims plus 5 and scotty must keep it close... this is his main earning season.
LLS
If you went by Rasmussens state polls, you would find Obama is ahead in most all of them, now including OH. I dont find that comforting.
Wisconsin ping — disturbing poll
FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.
Wisconsin.....where felons are being allowed to vote.
Rasmussen is not all that accurate at the state level.
Different turnout models for different types of elections.
One thing to remember... the Governor Walker recall was defeated when the students were out of town... I’m optimistic that Romney will carry WI... but that was probably a factor.
Someone posted all the latest Ras state polls, and you are not correct. At worst, it is mixed. Romney is up in FL, NC, Co, VA (as I recall), tied in NV, down one in OH, and just a couple in IA, WI, and NH.
Poll Ping.
Tammy Baldwin pucker factor up 347%!
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