Skip to comments.IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll (R 49 O 44, R +20 w Indies)
Posted on 10/10/2012 11:14:07 AM PDT by nhwingut
Romneys lead widened to 5 points from 2 points on Tuesday, as he continues to chip away at key Obama support.
Romneys edge among independents widened to 20 points from 18 just a day before.
Obamas lead among women narrowed from 10 points to 8 points.
Romney also continues to make inroads among middle-class voters, moving from a 6-point lead against Obama with this group to a 10-point lead.
The current data include only polls taken after Romneys resounding debate win over Obama on Oct. 3.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...
Headline should be R 49 O 44...
Romney up 5!!
This from a poll sampling 39% Dim, 31% GOP, 30% Ind? Impressive.
Rasmussen New Hampshire: Romney 48%, Obama 48%
My Lord! They oversampled democrats by 8 and still the best they could do is Romney +5%
Lol! Obama losing white men by a 36 point margin, let this hold up till election day and watch the MSNBC crew's heads explode from screaming racism on election night.
“This from a poll sampling 39% Dim, 31% GOP, 30% Ind? Impressive.”
I can’t believe Romney is leading by that much with such a lopsided Dim sample. I think this is a bit of an outlier. But I do think the 49-44 lead in this poll is pretty close to the real number as the election stands today based on who will actually turn out. And that would leave about 7% 3rd party or undecided. Expect Romney to get at least half that and he ends up about 52.5%.
Father in heaven, continue to expose, confuse and put the Obumbler camp in disarray! While these evil men depend on the hand of anti-God, anti-Israel, and anti-America humans, we YOUR peopler trust solely in you...FOR you see Lord you ARE our only Source and hope! Thank you Lord for looking down from heaven favorably upon those who seek your face and YOUR HAND in time of need. NOW ON TO VICTORY!!
Btw, I thought the previous poll showed Romney up 3 over Obama in NH.
Obama Romney Not Sure
43.7% 48.7% 6.1%
Northeast 49% 42% 9%
Midwest 47% 47% 4%
South 40% 54% 5%
West 43% 46% 9%
18-44 50% 44% 6%
45-64 40% 51% 7%
65+ 37% 54% 5%
Male 36% 57% 6%
Female 50% 42% 6%
White 34% 58% 7%
Black/Hispanic 82% 13% 3%
Under 30K 50% 44% 5%
30K-50K 46% 49% 4%
50-75K 41% 48% 11%
75K+ 44% 51% 5%
Democrats 86% 7% 5%
Republicans 3% 95% 1%
Ind./Other 34% 54% 12%
Yes 44% 50% 6%
No 44% 47% 7%
Urban 48% 43% 7%
Suburban 47% 46% 6%
Rural 34% 58% 6%
White men 28% 64% 6%
White women 39% 52% 7%
Black* 91% 6% 3%
Hispanic* 64% 30% 4%
Single women 58% 37% 5%
Married women 43% 47% 8%
High School 41% 47% 9%
Some College 42% 52% 5%
College Degree+ 46% 48% 5%
Conservative 18% 76% 5%
Moderate 54% 37% 8%
Liberal 89% 4% 5%
Upper/Upper Middle 52% 41% 7%
Middle 41% 51% 5%
Working 40% 50% 8%
Lower* 50% 45% 6%
Protestant 35% 60% 5%
Catholic 43% 46% 6%
Other Christian 40% 56% 3%
Jewish* 47% 25% 28%
Other* 51% 36% 11%
None 67% 27% 5%
Yes 59% 33% 6%
No 41% 51% 6%
Obama 83% 9% 8%
McCain 2% 94% 4%
Polling period: 10/4 - 10/9
Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%
Sample Size: 757 likely voters (identified from 873 registered voters with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.)
The hits keep coming... This election turned on a dime. The news is only getting worse for Obozo with Libya.
+8 Dem sampling and a 5 point lead for Romney means that at 2010 or Rasmussen affiliation numbers, Romney would win by 10+.
Ironically, I was the one that posted the final results:
The actual result -- Obama: 52.87%, McCain: 45.60%, Other: 1.53%.
I think we are looking at a 10+ landslide.
Romney wins in EVERY education level? The Disaster supported by ONLY those without h.s. education? I believe it.
Romney has scored two TDs to go from down 4 to up 10 with 9 min to go in the 4th. But you do not go into the prevent D at this time and you do not seek to run time off the clock. Now you go for the win Big Time. Bring the Blitz Package on D and go run and then deep on play action for another six. Don’t let up till the whistle blows at 00:00.
And RCP has now moved: New Hamphire, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania all to toss-up status from lean Obama.
Everyday the Obamabots keep crying that his “post debate” bounce will fade soon. And everyday the gap is widening. This is so fun to watch.
“The Disaster supported by ONLY those without h.s. education? I believe it.”
The Obamanation also handily takes the godless vote. Or maybe another way to look at it is that the atheists are voting for Zero as their god.
I can still remember waiting up late for this poll to give its final numbers in 2008 (I think that was because it had been so accurate in 2004), and giving up and going to bed. I was hoping to see some undecideds move toward McCain, but I was shocked to see the numbers in favor of "that one" when I woke up.
Nice to see another poll with a sizable Romney lead, and TheMagicMarxist so far from 50%.
Game over, man. Game over.
That's 34 EV's from Obama's total.
LOL Some things crack me up, scratch my head:
Republican: 3% for Obama (???)
Conservative: 13% O (??????????????????????)
Liberal: 3% R (??? but hehe ok)
27 more days......
In 2008 McCain won the white vote 55-43. Obama won the male (all races) vote 49-48. If McCain had won 60% of the white vote, he would have won.
It did. 48-45.
Yep. The only election that is similar historically (where the polls changed on a dime) was in 1980 - after the Reagan/Carter debate.
Nice! This could be an even bigger margin than in ‘08!
I’m thinking I may have to buy some champagne for election night ;-)
If The One loses there will be deafening cries of "RACISM!" And not just from PMSNBC, but from every MSM outlet.
This is why we have made some contingency plans for Nov. 7th. There is no point putting oneself into harm's way.
All great news, but no time to get lazy or take it for granted ....putting our HUGE Romney yard sign up this weekend!!
Thanks for posting that. The big thing that jumped out at me from that data is that Romney is winning the middle class.
It’s also worth noting that the 2008 vote has now morphed into a 7% swing toward Romney (2% of McCain voters are going O but 9% of O voters are going Romney).
And Obama’s still out blathering about a muppet (unless ‘Big Bird’ is his pet name for Michelle).
“This is why we have made some contingency plans for Nov. 7th. There is no point putting oneself into harm’s way.”
Unfortunately, I will be a poll-watcher, in the heart of the beast. (Center Township, Indianapolis). Not as bad as Gary in 2010, but then, we didn’t have the potential for racial riots then, either.
But, but the 47% comment and his stand on big bird...
That says it all. If this poll is anywhere near accurate, we are going to enjoy November 3 and January 20.
Just be prepared for the
“America is still a racist nation”
crap on the day after.
I’ve been saying since mid-August (about) that it’s gonna be 55 / 45. Just watch.
Obama 83% 9% 8%
McCain 2% 94% 4%
So, 9% of those that voted for zero are voting for Romney, and 8% are undecided. That means that 17% have gotten or are getting a clue.
As for the 2% that voted for McCain that are voting for zero - anyone ever met one of these people?
Yep, stay in for about a week, let them get tired of being outraged.
Makes me hopeful.
I don't expect a general race riot, but I am preparing for one. It is, as you say, actually possible this year.
Believe it, Obama had flat out lost close to 10% of his base before the debates, and was down with indies, so an oversample by 8 points, post debate easily would be a 44% floor.
Reality is, Obama has never had any chance of getting over 42-43% of the popular vote in Novemeber, AT BEST. And he very likely could beat Hoover for getting even less of the popular vote than he did in 1932!
Yes, it is not beyond the realm of possibility that Obama will not see 40% of the popular vote on election day.
Obama had to run a FLAWLESS campaign to hit the 42-43% mark, and his campaign was a joke before the debate, the debate just revealed how much of house of cards it was. His actions since have been laughable... flailing and idiotic.
The more he falls, the more frustrated he’ll get, the more frustrated he gets, the more bitter and angry he’ll act.. the more bitter and angry he acts, the farther he’ll fall.
Obama is in a death spiral. Obviously Politics ebb and flow and Obama will get a perk up with the town hall debate, because he won’t lose it as badly as he did the last one, and the press will play it up as he’s back.. and he ruled even if he just does okay.
We’ll see how the next few weeks go, but I said it from the begining, and I say it now... BEST obama can hope for is 42-43% of the popular vote, and its a very real possibility he won’t even see 40%.
It’s slipping away libs, it’s slipping away.
Mitt is up +20 with Indies. If this holds, it will be an early night victory party for the Pubbies.
It is a lovely sight. Romney has secured 95% of Republicans, Zero has only 86% of Dems. Zero has only 83% of his 08 voters. At 83% of 2008’s vote he’d have been under McCain by 2.3 million.
“Obamas still out blathering about a muppet (unless Big Bird is his pet name for Michelle).”
Barry and Axelhead appear more and more desperate. It’s going to be an interesting ride over the next 27 days. I wouldn’t put anything past these hard core Alinskyites, though—you know how aggressive cornered rats can be.
There’s interesting info in the breakdown of the pollees, “sharp”, that you posted.
One thing I noticed, that I saw in another poll out today...that supposedly 18% of self-identified CONSERVATIVES polled are saying they will vote for Obama.
AHEM...does anyone here believe that to be an accurate reflection of reality????????