Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll (R 49 O 44, R +20 w Indies)
Investors Business Daily ^ | 10/10/2012 | Staff

Posted on 10/10/2012 11:14:07 AM PDT by nhwingut

Romney’s lead widened to 5 points from 2 points on Tuesday, as he continues to chip away at key Obama support.

Romney’s edge among independents widened to 20 points from 18 just a day before.

Obama’s lead among women narrowed from 10 points to 8 points.

Romney also continues to make inroads among middle-class voters, moving from a 6-point lead against Obama with this group to a 10-point lead.

The current data include only polls taken after Romney’s resounding debate win over Obama on Oct. 3.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; polls
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-76 next last

1 posted on 10/10/2012 11:14:13 AM PDT by nhwingut
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: nhwingut; admin

Headline should be R 49 O 44...

Romney up 5!!


2 posted on 10/10/2012 11:15:24 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

This from a poll sampling 39% Dim, 31% GOP, 30% Ind? Impressive.


3 posted on 10/10/2012 11:19:49 AM PDT by Ingtar (Everyone complains about the weather, but only Liberals try to legislate it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Rasmussen New Hampshire: Romney 48%, Obama 48%


4 posted on 10/10/2012 11:19:55 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut
39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.

My Lord! They oversampled democrats by 8 and still the best they could do is Romney +5%

5 posted on 10/10/2012 11:20:45 AM PDT by apillar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut
White men 28%O 64%R 6%U

Lol! Obama losing white men by a 36 point margin, let this hold up till election day and watch the MSNBC crew's heads explode from screaming racism on election night.

6 posted on 10/10/2012 11:24:56 AM PDT by apillar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ingtar

“This from a poll sampling 39% Dim, 31% GOP, 30% Ind? Impressive.”

I can’t believe Romney is leading by that much with such a lopsided Dim sample. I think this is a bit of an outlier. But I do think the 49-44 lead in this poll is pretty close to the real number as the election stands today based on who will actually turn out. And that would leave about 7% 3rd party or undecided. Expect Romney to get at least half that and he ends up about 52.5%.


7 posted on 10/10/2012 11:29:08 AM PDT by lquist1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Father in heaven, continue to expose, confuse and put the Obumbler camp in disarray! While these evil men depend on the hand of anti-God, anti-Israel, and anti-America humans, we YOUR peopler trust solely in you...FOR you see Lord you ARE our only Source and hope! Thank you Lord for looking down from heaven favorably upon those who seek your face and YOUR HAND in time of need. NOW ON TO VICTORY!!


8 posted on 10/10/2012 11:29:19 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Wow!


9 posted on 10/10/2012 11:29:34 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: RoseofTexas

BTTT!


10 posted on 10/10/2012 11:31:31 AM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: TexasFreeper2009

Btw, I thought the previous poll showed Romney up 3 over Obama in NH.


11 posted on 10/10/2012 11:32:38 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Romney 48.7%
Zero 43.7%

Excellent.

Break-down:

Obama Romney Not Sure

OVERALL
43.7% 48.7% 6.1%

REGION
Northeast 49% 42% 9%
Midwest 47% 47% 4%
South 40% 54% 5%
West 43% 46% 9%

AGE
18-44 50% 44% 6%
45-64 40% 51% 7%
65+ 37% 54% 5%

GENDER
Male 36% 57% 6%
Female 50% 42% 6%

RACE
White 34% 58% 7%
Black/Hispanic 82% 13% 3%

HOUSEHOLD INCOME
Under 30K 50% 44% 5%
30K-50K 46% 49% 4%
50-75K 41% 48% 11%
75K+ 44% 51% 5%

PARTY
Democrats 86% 7% 5%
Republicans 3% 95% 1%
Ind./Other 34% 54% 12%

INVESTOR CLASS
Yes 44% 50% 6%
No 44% 47% 7%

AREA TYPE
Urban 48% 43% 7%
Suburban 47% 46% 6%
Rural 34% 58% 6%

WHITE
White men 28% 64% 6%
White women 39% 52% 7%

BLACK/HISPANIC
Black* 91% 6% 3%
Hispanic* 64% 30% 4%

WOMEN
Single women 58% 37% 5%
Married women 43% 47% 8%

EDUCATION
High School 41% 47% 9%
Some College 42% 52% 5%
College Degree+ 46% 48% 5%

IDEOLOGY
Conservative 18% 76% 5%
Moderate 54% 37% 8%
Liberal 89% 4% 5%

HOUSEHOLD DESCRIPTION
Upper/Upper Middle 52% 41% 7%
Middle 41% 51% 5%
Working 40% 50% 8%
Lower* 50% 45% 6%

RELIGION
Protestant 35% 60% 5%
Catholic 43% 46% 6%
Other Christian 40% 56% 3%
Jewish* 47% 25% 28%
Other* 51% 36% 11%
None 67% 27% 5%

UNION HOUSEHOLD
Yes 59% 33% 6%
No 41% 51% 6%

2008 VOTE
Obama 83% 9% 8%
McCain 2% 94% 4%

Polling period: 10/4 - 10/9

Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%

Sample Size: 757 likely voters (identified from 873 registered voters with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.)

Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx#ixzz28vD6r3tO


12 posted on 10/10/2012 11:32:46 AM PDT by SharpRightTurn ( White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TexasFreeper2009

The hits keep coming... This election turned on a dime. The news is only getting worse for Obozo with Libya.


13 posted on 10/10/2012 11:33:27 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut
I'm a poll addict and I have to say this is the best poll top to bottom I have seen this election.

+8 Dem sampling and a 5 point lead for Romney means that at 2010 or Rasmussen affiliation numbers, Romney would win by 10+.

14 posted on 10/10/2012 11:33:52 AM PDT by sharkshooting
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut
I remember the IBD/TIPP polls from 4 years ago, but didn't remember how well they predicted the outcome.

Ironically, I was the one that posted the final results:

IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Final Estimate. Obama: 51.5%, McCain 44.3%, Other 4.2%

The actual result -- Obama: 52.87%, McCain: 45.60%, Other: 1.53%.

15 posted on 10/10/2012 11:34:27 AM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TexasFreeper2009
Wow. And take a look at this:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2942878/posts

16 posted on 10/10/2012 11:40:59 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: sharkshooting

I think we are looking at a 10+ landslide.


17 posted on 10/10/2012 11:44:14 AM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: SharpRightTurn

Romney wins in EVERY education level? The Disaster supported by ONLY those without h.s. education? I believe it.


18 posted on 10/10/2012 11:46:28 AM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Romney has scored two TDs to go from down 4 to up 10 with 9 min to go in the 4th. But you do not go into the prevent D at this time and you do not seek to run time off the clock. Now you go for the win Big Time. Bring the Blitz Package on D and go run and then deep on play action for another six. Don’t let up till the whistle blows at 00:00.


19 posted on 10/10/2012 11:49:46 AM PDT by xkaydet65
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: LS

And RCP has now moved: New Hamphire, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania all to toss-up status from lean Obama.

Everyday the Obamabots keep crying that his “post debate” bounce will fade soon. And everyday the gap is widening. This is so fun to watch.


20 posted on 10/10/2012 11:49:48 AM PDT by NY4Romney
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: arrogantsob

“The Disaster supported by ONLY those without h.s. education? I believe it.”

The Obamanation also handily takes the godless vote. Or maybe another way to look at it is that the atheists are voting for Zero as their god.


21 posted on 10/10/2012 11:51:23 AM PDT by SharpRightTurn ( White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: All
Title should be changed to 48.7- 43.7, or to 49-44.

I can still remember waiting up late for this poll to give its final numbers in 2008 (I think that was because it had been so accurate in 2004), and giving up and going to bed. I was hoping to see some undecideds move toward McCain, but I was shocked to see the numbers in favor of "that one" when I woke up.

Nice to see another poll with a sizable Romney lead, and TheMagicMarxist so far from 50%.

22 posted on 10/10/2012 11:55:04 AM PDT by BushMeister ("We are a nation that has a government - not the other way around." --Ronald Reagan)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Game over, man. Game over.


23 posted on 10/10/2012 11:55:39 AM PDT by kik5150
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NY4Romney
And RCP has now moved: New Hamphire, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania all to toss-up status from lean Obama.

That's 34 EV's from Obama's total.

24 posted on 10/10/2012 12:06:06 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot (2010 All Over Again. Make it happen. Get Busy!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: SharpRightTurn

LOL Some things crack me up, scratch my head:
Republican: 3% for Obama (???)
Conservative: 13% O (??????????????????????)
Liberal: 3% R (??? but hehe ok)


25 posted on 10/10/2012 12:09:47 PM PDT by time4good
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

27 more days......


26 posted on 10/10/2012 12:12:42 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: apillar

In 2008 McCain won the white vote 55-43. Obama won the male (all races) vote 49-48. If McCain had won 60% of the white vote, he would have won.


27 posted on 10/10/2012 12:12:42 PM PDT by kabar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: KC_Conspirator

It did. 48-45.


28 posted on 10/10/2012 12:12:58 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: kik5150

Yep. The only election that is similar historically (where the polls changed on a dime) was in 1980 - after the Reagan/Carter debate.


29 posted on 10/10/2012 12:15:26 PM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: apillar

Nice! This could be an even bigger margin than in ‘08!

I’m thinking I may have to buy some champagne for election night ;-)


30 posted on 10/10/2012 12:15:43 PM PDT by o2bfree (All us minorities got us an Obamaphone!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: apillar
watch the MSNBC crew's heads explode from screaming racism on election night.

If The One loses there will be deafening cries of "RACISM!" And not just from PMSNBC, but from every MSM outlet.

This is why we have made some contingency plans for Nov. 7th. There is no point putting oneself into harm's way.

31 posted on 10/10/2012 12:17:42 PM PDT by jboot (This isn't your father's America. Stay safe and keep your powder dry.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: jboot

All great news, but no time to get lazy or take it for granted ....putting our HUGE Romney yard sign up this weekend!!


32 posted on 10/10/2012 12:21:18 PM PDT by LibsRJerks
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: SharpRightTurn

Thanks for posting that. The big thing that jumped out at me from that data is that Romney is winning the middle class.

It’s also worth noting that the 2008 vote has now morphed into a 7% swing toward Romney (2% of McCain voters are going O but 9% of O voters are going Romney).

And Obama’s still out blathering about a muppet (unless ‘Big Bird’ is his pet name for Michelle).


33 posted on 10/10/2012 12:39:49 PM PDT by LostInBayport (When there are more people riding in the cart than there are pulling it, the cart stops moving...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: jboot

“This is why we have made some contingency plans for Nov. 7th. There is no point putting oneself into harm’s way.”

Unfortunately, I will be a poll-watcher, in the heart of the beast. (Center Township, Indianapolis). Not as bad as Gary in 2010, but then, we didn’t have the potential for racial riots then, either.


34 posted on 10/10/2012 12:47:14 PM PDT by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

But, but the 47% comment and his stand on big bird...


35 posted on 10/10/2012 12:54:04 PM PDT by Raycpa
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: apillar
They oversampled democrats by 8 and still the best they could do is Romney +5%

That says it all. If this poll is anywhere near accurate, we are going to enjoy November 3 and January 20.

36 posted on 10/10/2012 12:56:43 PM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: apillar

Just be prepared for the

“America is still a racist nation”

crap on the day after.


37 posted on 10/10/2012 12:57:21 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

I’ve been saying since mid-August (about) that it’s gonna be 55 / 45. Just watch.


38 posted on 10/10/2012 12:57:21 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (You didn't build that. The private sector is doing fine. We tried our plan and it worked.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut
When only a Presidential "Face Palm" will suffice.


39 posted on 10/10/2012 1:01:57 PM PDT by spokeshave (The only people better off today than 4 years ago are the Prisoners at Guantanamo.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SharpRightTurn

2008 VOTE
Obama 83% 9% 8%
McCain 2% 94% 4%

So, 9% of those that voted for zero are voting for Romney, and 8% are undecided. That means that 17% have gotten or are getting a clue.

As for the 2% that voted for McCain that are voting for zero - anyone ever met one of these people?


40 posted on 10/10/2012 1:02:36 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: jboot

Yep, stay in for about a week, let them get tired of being outraged.


41 posted on 10/10/2012 1:05:02 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: Ingtar

Makes me hopeful.


42 posted on 10/10/2012 1:09:19 PM PDT by commonguymd (The enemy within is our MSM. War starts there imo. twitter @commonguymd)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: tcrlaf
With any luck you will be safely home before the fireworks.

I don't expect a general race riot, but I am preparing for one. It is, as you say, actually possible this year.

43 posted on 10/10/2012 1:11:12 PM PDT by jboot (This isn't your father's America. Stay safe and keep your powder dry.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: lquist1

Believe it, Obama had flat out lost close to 10% of his base before the debates, and was down with indies, so an oversample by 8 points, post debate easily would be a 44% floor.

Reality is, Obama has never had any chance of getting over 42-43% of the popular vote in Novemeber, AT BEST. And he very likely could beat Hoover for getting even less of the popular vote than he did in 1932!

Yes, it is not beyond the realm of possibility that Obama will not see 40% of the popular vote on election day.

Obama had to run a FLAWLESS campaign to hit the 42-43% mark, and his campaign was a joke before the debate, the debate just revealed how much of house of cards it was. His actions since have been laughable... flailing and idiotic.

The more he falls, the more frustrated he’ll get, the more frustrated he gets, the more bitter and angry he’ll act.. the more bitter and angry he acts, the farther he’ll fall.

Obama is in a death spiral. Obviously Politics ebb and flow and Obama will get a perk up with the town hall debate, because he won’t lose it as badly as he did the last one, and the press will play it up as he’s back.. and he ruled even if he just does okay.

We’ll see how the next few weeks go, but I said it from the begining, and I say it now... BEST obama can hope for is 42-43% of the popular vote, and its a very real possibility he won’t even see 40%.


44 posted on 10/10/2012 1:14:55 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

It’s slipping away libs, it’s slipping away.


45 posted on 10/10/2012 1:15:27 PM PDT by Signalman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Mitt is up +20 with Indies. If this holds, it will be an early night victory party for the Pubbies.


46 posted on 10/10/2012 1:22:19 PM PDT by Signalman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: sharkshooting

It is a lovely sight. Romney has secured 95% of Republicans, Zero has only 86% of Dems. Zero has only 83% of his 08 voters. At 83% of 2008’s vote he’d have been under McCain by 2.3 million.


47 posted on 10/10/2012 1:44:34 PM PDT by UltraV (I use the term Leftist not liberal, because a true liberal would not support government censorship.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: LostInBayport

“Obama’s still out blathering about a muppet (unless ‘Big Bird’ is his pet name for Michelle).”

Barry and Axelhead appear more and more desperate. It’s going to be an interesting ride over the next 27 days. I wouldn’t put anything past these hard core Alinskyites, though—you know how aggressive cornered rats can be.


48 posted on 10/10/2012 1:47:28 PM PDT by SharpRightTurn ( White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: SharpRightTurn; nhwingut

There’s interesting info in the breakdown of the pollees, “sharp”, that you posted.

One thing I noticed, that I saw in another poll out today...that supposedly 18% of self-identified CONSERVATIVES polled are saying they will vote for Obama.

AHEM...does anyone here believe that to be an accurate reflection of reality????????


49 posted on 10/10/2012 2:00:13 PM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: nhwingut

Woot!


50 posted on 10/10/2012 2:10:44 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-76 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson