Skip to comments.IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll (R 49 O 44, R +20 w Indies)
Posted on 10/10/2012 11:14:07 AM PDT by nhwingut
Romneys lead widened to 5 points from 2 points on Tuesday, as he continues to chip away at key Obama support.
Romneys edge among independents widened to 20 points from 18 just a day before.
Obamas lead among women narrowed from 10 points to 8 points.
Romney also continues to make inroads among middle-class voters, moving from a 6-point lead against Obama with this group to a 10-point lead.
The current data include only polls taken after Romneys resounding debate win over Obama on Oct. 3.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...
Yep, stay in for about a week, let them get tired of being outraged.
Makes me hopeful.
I don't expect a general race riot, but I am preparing for one. It is, as you say, actually possible this year.
Believe it, Obama had flat out lost close to 10% of his base before the debates, and was down with indies, so an oversample by 8 points, post debate easily would be a 44% floor.
Reality is, Obama has never had any chance of getting over 42-43% of the popular vote in Novemeber, AT BEST. And he very likely could beat Hoover for getting even less of the popular vote than he did in 1932!
Yes, it is not beyond the realm of possibility that Obama will not see 40% of the popular vote on election day.
Obama had to run a FLAWLESS campaign to hit the 42-43% mark, and his campaign was a joke before the debate, the debate just revealed how much of house of cards it was. His actions since have been laughable... flailing and idiotic.
The more he falls, the more frustrated he’ll get, the more frustrated he gets, the more bitter and angry he’ll act.. the more bitter and angry he acts, the farther he’ll fall.
Obama is in a death spiral. Obviously Politics ebb and flow and Obama will get a perk up with the town hall debate, because he won’t lose it as badly as he did the last one, and the press will play it up as he’s back.. and he ruled even if he just does okay.
We’ll see how the next few weeks go, but I said it from the begining, and I say it now... BEST obama can hope for is 42-43% of the popular vote, and its a very real possibility he won’t even see 40%.
It’s slipping away libs, it’s slipping away.
Mitt is up +20 with Indies. If this holds, it will be an early night victory party for the Pubbies.
It is a lovely sight. Romney has secured 95% of Republicans, Zero has only 86% of Dems. Zero has only 83% of his 08 voters. At 83% of 2008’s vote he’d have been under McCain by 2.3 million.
“Obamas still out blathering about a muppet (unless Big Bird is his pet name for Michelle).”
Barry and Axelhead appear more and more desperate. It’s going to be an interesting ride over the next 27 days. I wouldn’t put anything past these hard core Alinskyites, though—you know how aggressive cornered rats can be.
There’s interesting info in the breakdown of the pollees, “sharp”, that you posted.
One thing I noticed, that I saw in another poll out today...that supposedly 18% of self-identified CONSERVATIVES polled are saying they will vote for Obama.
AHEM...does anyone here believe that to be an accurate reflection of reality????????
The stupidity illustrated by this breakdown is breathtaking.
I deeply resent a lot of people who have the privilege to vote. Their intelligence does not merit it.
“supposedly 18% of self-identified CONSERVATIVES polled are saying they will vote for Obama. AHEM...does anyone here believe that to be an accurate reflection of reality????????”
It’s laughable on its face. Either (i) respondees are “messing” with the pollsters, (ii) some of the respondees are so cerebrally challenged that they do not know what “conservative” means, or (iii) the pollsters are cooking some of the numbers
I agree with your three choices to explain that result. And I take some comfort from the fact that even with that preposterous info, Romney still leads in this poll.
As an aside, this is the only pollster that ever called me (that reached me by the call, anyway). Back in either ‘00 or ‘04...one of times W was running, I was polled by this exact poll. I thought the caller did a professional job, but I can’t say what was done with the poll behind the scenes.
But as was pointed out, this poll has been one of the more accurate ones over time.
They haven’t helped by keeping it in the news cycle with a new excuse du jour, each more ridiculous than the next. Then we had “Big Bird! Nyaaah!” and “surprisingly” neither did Zero any good.
Now there are rumblings that changes will be made regarding campaign personnel...hehehe
Unsurprising fact: at least 2% of Democrats are flat-out liars.
“Well see how the next few weeks go, but I said it from the begining, and I say it now... BEST obama can hope for is 42-43% of the popular vote, and its a very real possibility he wont even see 40%.”
Well, I feel pretty good about where we’re at at this point, but I’m not as optimistic as you are. This would definitely be one of those instances where I would LOVE to be wrong.
Under 40% popular vote in a two man race — that would be a wipeout!! I don’t drink anymore, but that may be one occasion where I could break that rule :)
Obozo needs to run that Big Bird ad some more.....that’ll staunch the bleeding. LOL!
Awesome! Come on Nov 6th!