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Intrade O62%/R38% (vanity)
tatown | 10/10 | tatown

Posted on 10/10/2012 11:25:05 AM PDT by tatown

With the race obviously trending to Romney in a very strong way, how in the heck can Intrade still be showing Obama as a 3 to 2 favorite?? Unless I'm looking at things through total rose colored glasses, it makes no sense!


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; intrade
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To: SampleMan

[ My understanding is that its very difficult for an American to place a bet.

The odds are money odds, not an assessment. Thus more people are betting on O than R. Its that simple.

If you can place a bet, do it. ]

Dammit, how am I supposed to make back the 4K in “economy tax” that i lost this last year.....


41 posted on 10/10/2012 12:21:30 PM PDT by GraceG
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To: SampleMan

I wonder how the American bettors are placing thier cash bets in Las Vegas, Atlantic City, and across the border at Caliente in Tijuana. What are the odds where the Americans bet? My hunch is the Europeans are uninformed and are making stupid pro 0bama bets on Intrade. If you look at the presidential election like a football game, how could an experienced bettor put his cash on an easy 0bama win.


42 posted on 10/10/2012 12:22:39 PM PDT by forgotten man (forgotten man)
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To: forgotten man

intrade is EASY to manipulate, it has zero credibility.


43 posted on 10/10/2012 12:36:33 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: tatown
I've had a theory that George Soros may be manipulating it like he has done with currencies. He may believe Intrade and other betting markets feed back into the real world. He espouses a financial markets theory called reflexivity where perceptions end up affecting reality.
44 posted on 10/10/2012 12:38:00 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: tatown

Maybe Soros owns it.


45 posted on 10/10/2012 12:42:32 PM PDT by manic4organic (We won. Get over it.)
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To: tatown

Look at both charts: Obama down 20% in a week, Romney up almost 20% in a week, only the Iranian currency and Obama poll numbers have changed as much!


46 posted on 10/10/2012 12:47:37 PM PDT by big bad easter bunny (If it weren't for coffee I would still be living with my parents!)
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To: tatown

They consider voter fraud and the democRATs’ ability to recount an election until won.


47 posted on 10/10/2012 12:50:30 PM PDT by South40 ("Islam has a proud tradition of tolerance." - Barack Hussein Obama - Cairo, Egypt, June 4, 2009.)
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
It was O-67% R-33% the day PRIOR to their first debate.

I looked at Intrade almost immediately after the debate. It showed that it dropped that day from O-75% R-25% to O-67% R-33% immediately AFTER the debate. Their historical chart appears to show the big drop prior to the debate, that does not match my recollection or common sense. Fortunately, you don't have to take my word for it because the drop was noticed by FOX the morning after.

http://nation.foxnews.com/intrade/2012/10/04/obama-tanks-intrade-after-debate

48 posted on 10/10/2012 12:52:20 PM PDT by fireman15 (Check your facts before making ignorant statements.)
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To: BarnacleCenturion

That’s exactly right, Europe is still betting Obama will win. They are stupid and only get their news from the MSM. The offshore odds still have Romney at +170. a $100 bet pays you pays $170. That is down from +200 just yesterday. You can even bet the state races, and in FLA Romney is favored.


49 posted on 10/10/2012 1:02:27 PM PDT by Paddy Irish
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To: tatown

Intrade can’t be played without excruciating effort here in the United States. Outside this country, our news cycles have nothing beyond the MSM. They don’t get the alternative media like we do here.


50 posted on 10/10/2012 1:14:18 PM PDT by commonguymd (The enemy within is our MSM. War starts there imo. twitter @commonguymd)
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To: tatown

Easy money to be made, get yours lol. After todays Libya hearings this buying opportunity may not last


51 posted on 10/10/2012 1:39:17 PM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: tatown

Obama still has advantages. The trend still favors the One. I think we’ll have a better idea after the VP debate tomorrow night as to whether the current Romney bounce is for real or simply a passing fad!

What the markets indicate is Obama will still be re-elected. And nothing has happened to change their view about it.


52 posted on 10/10/2012 3:49:56 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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