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Early/Absentee voting Colorado
gmu/NR ^ | 10/10/12 | me

Posted on 10/10/2012 2:01:16 PM PDT by Ravi

above

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado
KEYWORDS: 2012; obama; romney; ryan
2008: Obama-1.29 million votes (53.7%) McCain-1.07 million votes (44.7%) 1.7 million votes were early/absentee votes in 08. 75% of Colorado votes were cast early. About 80% of the 75% was cast absentee and the other 20% of the 75% was cast in person. So absentee dominates in person overall. For all the early voters in 2008, dems constituted 37.7% and repubs constituted 35.9%. A 2 percent advantage to the dems. Total early vote 2008 was 1.7 million including dems, repubs and indies.

For 2012 thus far, repubs have requested 656,813 ballots and dems 627,064 ballots. We have an abolute lead of about 30,000 in ballot requests. Plus add in the independent requests (don't have that number) and we are quickly approaching total turnout for 08 and probably past all the early voting for 08. I need the number of unaffiliated requests to confirm this.

As of 10/1/12, there were 871,000 registered republicans and 807,000 registered dems and 798,000 unaffiliateds. So 657,000 republicans have requested ballots (75% of republicans are already locked in) and 627,000 dems have requested ballots (77% of dems locked in).

By the end of voter registration in 2008, republicans only had a lead of 12,000 compared to dems. They had caught up to us bigtime in registration then. After that they requested even more ballots than we did in 08 and ended up actually leading us in early voters which was pretty impressive for them by 2%. And of course unaffiliated went for Obama then and you had the makings of a 9 point win for him.

Fast forward to today. We have a much greater registration advantage compared to 2008. It is 64,000 not 12,000 and it was as high as 100,000 during the summer but nonetheless still much greater than 2008. And we are keeping pace with the ballot requests with dems and actually leading them in actual totals even though our percentage is slightly less.

At the close of registration in 08, 3.2 million registered voters and 2.4 million of those voted. That is a turnout of about 75% of registered voters.

Now we have 2.5 million voters on the rolls as of 10/1/12 and the deadline for registration was yesterday. And we are already at 75% of republicans having ballots and 77% of dems having ballots - I think this election is pretty much done. Not many more voters to vote overall. And we know unaffiliateds here in CO are different this year compared to 2008. All we needed to do was make sure republicans vote and they have in spades.

What say you?

1 posted on 10/10/2012 2:01:22 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

How long can people request absentee ballots in Colorado?


2 posted on 10/10/2012 2:06:06 PM PDT by mrs9x
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To: mrs9x

I believe for another few weeks.


3 posted on 10/10/2012 2:07:08 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: mrs9x; Ravi
How long can people request absentee ballots in Colorado?

I'm from PA, if I register as a demonRAT, can I get 10 absentee ballots from CO?

4 posted on 10/10/2012 2:51:49 PM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages, start today.)
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To: USS Alaska
I'm from PA, if I register as a demonRAT, can I get 10 absentee ballots from CO?

Got a Colorado ID then yes.

There is one county in Colorado that had a 110% voter turnout.

5 posted on 10/10/2012 3:01:12 PM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: Ravi

I voted absentee in 2010.

I am not voting to put a white Obama in the White House. I cannot stand the liberal Mitt Happens and am not voting for him.

I won’t stand in any one else’s way but I can’t vote for a candidate with no integrity, principles or beliefs.

That said, I wish fellow Coloradans and Americans the best both in early voting in my state and in November.


6 posted on 10/10/2012 3:43:00 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

Whatever dude...it’s getting old...give it a rest.

Your comment doesn’t if fit the topic of this thread...


7 posted on 10/10/2012 3:57:14 PM PDT by JerseyRepub (I voted for John Kerry before I voted against him!)
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To: goldstategop

Good enough, Goldy. But if the Kenyan is re-elected please don’t bore us with your complaints about him.


8 posted on 10/10/2012 4:08:56 PM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
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To: mrs9x

Absentee ballot deadlines - 50 states.....

http://www.longdistancevoter.org/absentee_ballot_deadlines


9 posted on 10/10/2012 4:17:53 PM PDT by deport
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To: Ravi

Thanks! This is very informative. Great job.


10 posted on 10/10/2012 6:32:16 PM PDT by plushaye (Election 2012 Prayer Force)
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To: Ravi

We’re supposed to get our ballots by the 15th. We’ll no doubt mail them in the next day.


11 posted on 10/10/2012 6:40:54 PM PDT by CodeToad (Padme: "So this is how liberty dies... with thunderous applause.")
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To: Ravi

I absentee/early voted once or twice, but I now make sure I show up on election day, and my son does the same. We go in first thing in the morning, then head for a nice breakfast.


12 posted on 10/10/2012 9:11:01 PM PDT by ican'tbelieveit (School is prison for children who have commited the crime of being born. (attr: St_Thomas_Aquinas))
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To: Ravi

Based on your data analysis of CO and assuming Romney has a 5 point lead among Indies (is that what you’re assuming?), and assuming you think we’ll pick up more crossovers and have slightly higher enthusiasm, what is your best guess at the margin of victory for Romney in CO? Thanks in advance for all your hard work, I am learning a lot!

My calculations say Romney by 100,000-150,000 votes (4-6 points)....


13 posted on 10/21/2012 1:00:53 AM PDT by profit_guy
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