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NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll: Romney Gains In Key Swing States [OH: 2/3 Early Voting for Obama?}
NBCNews ^ | October 10, 2012 | Domenico Montanaro

Posted on 10/10/2012 9:59:34 PM PDT by Steelfish

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1 posted on 10/10/2012 9:59:41 PM PDT by Steelfish
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To: Steelfish

LoL. LSD News for the OBot.


2 posted on 10/10/2012 10:04:33 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Steelfish

The Official Threat to the Voting Franchise of all American citizens is being Hijacked. Early voting is the first step to double voting. We can’t afford to re-elect this President. Holder only remains in office, because he’s partisan and willing to take the heat because the ultimate goal is revolution. With the nation’s police forces and military behind him Zero will never leave office.


3 posted on 10/10/2012 10:06:42 PM PDT by STD (“Cogito, ergo armatum sum)
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To: Steelfish

Anything from the Obama kiss ass Network I wouldn’t believe..NBC is the biggest bunch of Obama homers I’ve ever seen


4 posted on 10/10/2012 10:07:01 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Steelfish

This extremely early voting is BS. I’m fine with a week before, but 5 weeks? More opportunity for fraud.


5 posted on 10/10/2012 10:10:49 PM PDT by Jake8898
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To: Steelfish

Ohio Dems rushing to vote early for Obama before his next debate performance changes their minds.


6 posted on 10/10/2012 10:13:43 PM PDT by ShasheMac
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To: LS

Ohio PING!


7 posted on 10/10/2012 10:15:02 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Steelfish

Poor Steelfish, been a bad week huh? You finally found something in the polls/voting you can post that looks bad for Romney. Too bad it’s wrong.


8 posted on 10/10/2012 10:16:04 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Jake8898

It’s very much big fraud waiting to happen. There is NO REASON WHAT SO EVER people need to vote over a month away.


9 posted on 10/10/2012 10:18:12 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Ravi

Ohio early voting ping!!


10 posted on 10/10/2012 10:18:44 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Steelfish

Then there are the real numbers: http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/08/Romney-Leads-Absentee-Florida


11 posted on 10/10/2012 10:19:57 PM PDT by piytar (The predator-class is furious that their prey are shooting back.)
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To: Steelfish
Buh bye Obama:



And the reported poll's party breakdown as follows:

D= 39% LoL.
R= 31%
I= 30%

12 posted on 10/10/2012 10:19:57 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Steelfish

13 posted on 10/10/2012 10:20:19 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

This polling firm is not good.

Most accurate final polls in 2008 election

1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)


14 posted on 10/10/2012 10:22:11 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: timestax

15 posted on 10/10/2012 10:22:29 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: timestax

16 posted on 10/10/2012 10:24:58 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: Steelfish

Over 1/2 of respondants were from Cleveland and Cinci...

Party breakdown d=40% r=29% i=29%

Whole poll is BS!


17 posted on 10/10/2012 10:25:14 PM PDT by Anti-Hillary (Barry, Barry quite contrary, how does your government grow?...)
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To: Anti-Hillary

18 posted on 10/10/2012 10:26:34 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: Steelfish

The 2/3 early vote for Obama simply tells me that NBC has gotten a very skewed sample.

Even the Obama campaign came out today and said they were only “up a couple of points”. No way that actually translates into 63% of early votes going for the Kenyan.

I do think Ohio is our biggest challenge this election, but if Romney takes it, he is our next President.


19 posted on 10/10/2012 10:27:14 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: snarkytart

I trust Rasmussen the most and I have already see the polling which shows Romney either tied or leading..I think Romney is winning Ohio, especially the sheer panic I am seeing from my leftist facebook friend who lives in Ohio(I had no idea at the time she was a leftist otherwise I would have never added her) but her facebook postings begging people in Ohio to vote for Obama tells me they are in panic mode..she also posted a photo of one of Obama’s many Ohio campaign offices(The one she volunteers at) and it was EMPTY, not one single person in sight


20 posted on 10/10/2012 10:28:59 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: timestax

21 posted on 10/10/2012 10:34:10 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: timestax

22 posted on 10/10/2012 10:39:29 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: timestax

23 posted on 10/10/2012 10:41:11 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: Steelfish

Yesterday, we heard that Romney was ahead in early vote returns in every state that started voting.

Romney is ahead everywhere, now, even in PA, as of tonight and they are still oversampling Democrats by 8 points.


24 posted on 10/10/2012 10:42:25 PM PDT by Eva (Obama and Hillary lied, Americans died.)
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To: timestax

25 posted on 10/10/2012 10:42:42 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: timestax

26 posted on 10/10/2012 10:48:37 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: timestax

27 posted on 10/10/2012 10:50:14 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: snarkytart

Yeah, really.

If I’d looked at who started the thread, I never would’ve clicked on it.

Same old tiresome crap.


28 posted on 10/10/2012 10:54:07 PM PDT by Salamander (Can't sleep. Clowns will eat me.)
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To: Steelfish

The march Forward to early voting, taken to its natural extreme, leads to “one man one vote” where you vote once for all future elections.


29 posted on 10/10/2012 11:00:59 PM PDT by C210N ("ask not what the candidate can do for you, ask what you can do for the candidate" (Breitbart, 2012))
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To: Steelfish

So the Florida vote they over sampled the Dems by 2 points’ with 20% independents!!!

Ohio they over sampled the Dems by 12% with 29% independents!

Virginia they over sampled by 2% However there are 40% independents..


30 posted on 10/10/2012 11:15:17 PM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: comebacknewt

Marist has been producing pro Obama outliers all year long.


31 posted on 10/11/2012 12:27:41 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Steelfish
One factor that may have pulled the party ID more heavily toward Democrats in this poll was early voting. One-in-five respondents (18 percent) said they have already voted, and, of those, almost two-thirds (63 percent) said they voted for Obama.

What they didn't tell you is Cleveland schools loaded Senior High students on buses and took them to register to vote and vote this past week. During the recent early voting, you could register and vote on the same day. How much illegal voting has happened is anyone's guess and how many Seniors voted democrat to raise the taxes on the school levy is a good question too.

While I am all for teaching kids about voting, they clearly have no idea about the ramifications of voting on the school tax levy. I have no problem with them being encouraged to register to vote either, but since the schools are often closed on election day...they can find their own motivation to get to the polls.

32 posted on 10/11/2012 3:26:13 AM PDT by EBH (0bama is guilty of willful neglect of duty.)
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To: EBH

Hundreds Register to Vote Before Deadline
http://fox8.com/2012/10/09/hundreds-register-to-vote-before-deadline/

About 200 Cleveland school students who just turned 18 organized a trip to the Board of Elections to register.

“It felt real good to know that I could vote for the first time, 18 and that’s what I consider myself of being proud of, really proud that I voted,” said one student.


33 posted on 10/11/2012 3:36:17 AM PDT by EBH (0bama is guilty of willful neglect of duty.)
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To: ShasheMac

My county co-chair said that early voting in Montgomery Co was a huge bust. The Dems had three full floors ready for the register and vote crowd. They expected thousand. Got 1400. That’s not enough.


34 posted on 10/11/2012 3:37:02 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Red Steel

Romney up 8 points over O in indies in OH, a +R state, and trails? Not plausible.


35 posted on 10/11/2012 3:40:57 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Eva

In ABSENTEES in OH, I think total Ds are up-—but you can look at the OH absentee thread and add I up. But few realiz that McCain won OH and most battleground states on Election Day. It is just a matter of keeping it close til them.


36 posted on 10/11/2012 3:45:17 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: EBH

You can repeal the 26th Amendment right along with the 19th.


37 posted on 10/11/2012 3:48:04 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Steelfish

Maybe so they can vote 3 or 4 times before the election.


38 posted on 10/11/2012 4:06:20 AM PDT by b4its2late (A Liberal is a person who will give away everything he doesn't own.)
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To: Steelfish
Marist Poll

Any relation to the Marxist Poll that's been dominating the airwaves of late?

39 posted on 10/11/2012 4:15:21 AM PDT by PapaNew
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To: snarkytart

Most accurate final polls in 2008 election

1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

Thanks. Where did you get this list? My SIL (a hopeless lefty) sent me another ranking showing Rasmussen much lower, but I think that was based on all polls conducted in 2008, not just the final week’s polls etc. The point is I’ve always thought Rasmussen had very accurate polls, so was taken aback by a ranking that suggested a very different picture.


40 posted on 10/11/2012 4:16:44 AM PDT by DrC
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To: Jake8898

I voted yesterday in Iowa. Was surprisingly pleased with the security of the process.
One benefit of voting early: The campaigns stop calling you because they know you have already voted.


41 posted on 10/11/2012 4:18:54 AM PDT by cornfedcowboy (Trust in God, but empty the clip.)
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To: LS

This from another forum...

“Ohio is going to be huge. Tons of Steelworkers are headed to Ohio for last minute campaigning. “


42 posted on 10/11/2012 4:20:06 AM PDT by bluecat6
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To: bluecat6

FreedomWorks has been here for a month on our side.


43 posted on 10/11/2012 4:23:54 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: snarkytart

Party ID for Ohio in this poll

Party ID is D +11 (Dem 40, Rep 29, Ind 29)
2008 was D +8 (Dem 39, Rep: 31, Ind 30) 2004 was R +5 (Dem 35, Rep 40, Ind: 25)


44 posted on 10/11/2012 4:24:01 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/

UnSkewed Avg. 9/24 - 10/4

D+3.3

Romney 48.9
Ubama 45.0

Very good considering the D+3 skew and the fact this goes back to 9/24 before the debate!


45 posted on 10/11/2012 4:32:09 AM PDT by newfreep (Breitbart sent me...)
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To: Steelfish

In my state they must be counting voter fraud because I have still not seen one bozo sign yet and about on average 3 bozo stickers a week on a car.

Contrast this to Romney signs which are all over, stickers on cars about 7 a day


46 posted on 10/11/2012 4:43:03 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: cornfedcowboy

Honest question...What controls are in place to keep them from tossing your ballot in the trash? If they know it’s your ballot and which party you’re registered with, they can assume with about 85% accuracy the candidate voted for.


47 posted on 10/11/2012 5:37:58 AM PDT by Jake8898
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To: DrC

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national.html

You can scan the RCP list of 2008 polling from just before the election and going back into time......


48 posted on 10/11/2012 6:22:32 AM PDT by deport
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To: DrC
Info on polling accuracy
49 posted on 10/11/2012 6:24:16 AM PDT by deport
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To: Steelfish

Well I have undeniable proof that this is poll is quite a bit off: George Mason University keeps track of Ohio early voting ballots returned, and so far only 119,000 (or 2.1% of all votes cast in 2008) have been returned....yet this poll claims 18% of ohio has already voted early. Sorry but they’ve screwed this poll up big time somehow.

Furthermore the electorate is not going to be MORE democratic than in 2008 - it will likely be somewhere between 2008 and 2010 levels, maybe d+2 or 3


50 posted on 10/11/2012 6:26:48 AM PDT by NY4Romney
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