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Early voting statistics 10/11/12
GMU ^ | 10/11/12 | me

Posted on 10/11/2012 8:36:54 AM PDT by Ravi

above

(Excerpt) Read more at elections.gmu.edu ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Colorado; US: Iowa; US: North Carolina; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012; obama; romney; ryan
IA: Dems-48%; Repubs-29.7% (376,200 ballots REQUESTED - almost to the 500,000 absentee ballots CAST in 2008). Repubs are outperforming 2008 as of today and closing in on 2010 numbers where dems were 44% of early voting and repubs were 38%. Dems outnumber us as of this morning by under 70,000 in raw totals. It was 97,000 about 10 days ago.

OH: Difference between two parties as of this am is 6.63% in ballots requested. Dems had a 14.17% advantage in 2008. Everything seems to be on the straight and narrow. Cuyahoga dems have requested 115,000 ballots and repubs 46,500 ballots thus far. A difference of 68,500 ballots - still not mathematically possible for them to reach their margin of 258,000 in Cuyahoga in 2008. I predict their margin in Cuyahoga will be 180,000 when all is said and done.

NC: stable (Reps-51.3% requested ballots; Dems-27.3% requested ballots)

CO: see my post from yesterday

1 posted on 10/11/2012 8:37:01 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

What kind of margin will the Dems need in Cuyahoga county to carry the state?


2 posted on 10/11/2012 8:59:11 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: mrs9x

Whatever is needed.


3 posted on 10/11/2012 9:29:50 AM PDT by SarahPalin2012
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To: Ravi

The problem I see with the statistics on this is:

1: How will those absentee ballot dems vote? Are they fed up and voting for Mitt instead?

2: How many Republicans voted dem last time to be historic or clear their conscience that won’t make that same mistake again?

3: Or, how many Dems will vote for the 3rd party libertarian since this is practically a mix between a Democrat and a Republican?

I’m feeling in my heart it will be a landslide against Obama. I might be hoping more, but it’s the only thing keeping me sane!


4 posted on 10/11/2012 9:54:28 AM PDT by jcsjcm (This country was built on exceptionalism and individualism. In God we Trust - Laus Deo)
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To: Ravi
Thanks for the update, everything looks fine so far.
5 posted on 10/11/2012 12:47:18 PM PDT by johnsondavid841
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To: mrs9x

Just a guess:

Under 200,000, we win easily

Between 200,000 to 240,000 it’s a dogfight.

Over 240,000, dems win.


6 posted on 10/11/2012 2:19:08 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

We should be very careful expecting Dim areas to not destroy Republican early votes. They also use early voting as a way to vote multiple locations, like college students and snowbirders.


7 posted on 10/13/2012 6:32:39 AM PDT by Conservativegreatgrandma
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