Skip to comments.Romney, Allen Take The Lead In VA
Posted on 10/11/2012 8:44:08 AM PDT by ReagansRaiders
Pollster John McLaughlin (not to be confused with the pundit) conducted a statewide poll of Virginia for George Allen's senate campaign this Mon. and Tue., surveying 600 likely voters. Unlike media and university polls, McLaughlin works for clients and no candidate wants to hire someone who isn't accurate. John is an ace pollster who I worked closely with for Steve Forbes in 1996, so I know that if he is going public with these numbers he is extremely confident in their accuracy as his entire reputation depends upon it. With that preface, drumroll please...
Romney 51% - Obama 44% - Goode 1%
Allen 49% - Kaine 46%
Complete crosstabs can be found here.
Please be true, please be true, please be true.
I know John’s young brother and partner Jim. He is an honest stand up guy. I believe this.
This looks more like it. I wonder what the party affiliation is for VA?
Good news indeed.
Please Lord, let it be so.
Internals on that poll are pretty consistent with Virginia. A basically even D/R distribution, 19% African-American, and a good male/female ratio.
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Oh my God ! I can’t believe it! Please let it be.
Goode’s not taking as big a bite as many thought he would. Good news.
I’ll do my part.
Run like you are 20 points down in the election right up to the election..NO MATTER WHAT the polls say.
The Goode number convinces me this is accurate
I know Jim Mclaughlin too. I agree with your assessment of him.
I believe these numbers, too.
I think many of the Republican candidates around the country are getting a “Romney bounce.”
The Rising Tide of RACISM in America (TM).
OBAMAPHONE LADY: Say WHAT?
“Please be true, please be true, please be true.”
As my barber said to me yesterday, just like he said 6 months ago, “Romney is going to win in a landslide”.
My barber is almost always right.
Dick Morris mentioned this poll last night on Greta. He said that this pollster is legit and respected. The results may confirm Suffolk’s decision to suspend surveys in VA, NC and FL.
We live in the western Richmond suburbs and have not seen any buzz whatsoever for Goode throughout this campaign. See a few Romney bumperstickers and O’bama bumperstickers now and then. In ‘08 even here in the burbs there were O’bama stickers all over.
Exactly...run like you are behind all the way to election day. No mercy.
Romney 51% - Obama 44% Virginia? WOW! Any chance people were looking for any reason to get out of voting for Obama and the lying democrats? And Romney gave them that reason?
There’s something happening here. What it is ain’t exactly clear ...
Now is the time for R&R to go for the throat. Libya, Fast & Furious, bogus fraud with the labor stats, racist speeches about Katrina...et al.
That would be just about the 2008 number of 20% in Va.
Very reasonable, Obama should get about the same.
And in 2008 I had never seen so many at my polling place in my minority district. I think turnout doubled from usual.
We’ve tightened VoetrID a litltle since 2008.
“...My barber is almost always right....”
Since I’m married to a wonderful woman in the hair-cutting business, let me rephrase what you said, and put it this way to you:
ANYBODY that has the instantaneous capability of giving you a Reverse Mohawk is ALWAYS right (at least until the clippers get put away...)...
So, who are these 2% idiots who will apparently vote Romney/Kaine?
I live in the City of Richmond on the south side. In 2008, there was a huge line to vote, mostly consisting of minorities and younger voters.
I think I will be able to tell how Virginia will go just by how long the line is and the makeup of the line. If the line is similar to the 2004 election, Romney will probably win the state.
Good advice ...
"God please give Paul Ryan the grace, strength, sharpness and quit wit to CONQUER Biden and OVERCOME the moderator's attempts to entrap or ambush him in tonight's debate. Amen."
We don’t register by party in VA.
Very interesting .......
I heard another pollster has pulled out of FL, NC and VA becasue they are no longer even close enough for Obama to have a chance.
Good Lord, i’m not sure I can take 25 more days of polls lol. I hope these are correct but goodness, who do we believe??
Second, this confirms Suffolk Polling's decision to leave VA.
If VA and FL are to be “painted red” then it’s all about OH from here on out, right?
I agree with you. I just heard another poll on my local radio station say that Obama was ahead by 5% in Virginia.
I don’t trust any of these polls.
Yes, as reality closes in, the Goode 5% has shrunk.
Yes, I agree that voters would be backing off of Goode. More importantly for me, though, is that they include him in their numbers. He’s on the ballot, so not including him would make me wonder what the real numbers were.
IOW, they handled this honestly, so probably the rest of it, too.
I know that. But I wonder if there is exit polling data that might have information going back a few years.
Amen and AMEN!
Probably somewhere if you Google it. IMO the race is much closer than this poll indicates. We must break about even in NoVA to win the state.
Mitt Romney supporters may be thrilled and President Obama’s backers chilled by the their respective performances in last week’s Denver debate, but a new Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll suggests voters in three swing states weren’t seriously rocked.
“Romney outfought [Obama] 4-1 in the first debate, according to likely voters in Colorado, Virginia and Wisconsin, said Quinnipiac’s Peter Brown. The shifts are too small to measure, but the races in Wisconsin and Colorado are now too close to call. The president holds his lead in Virginia.
Likely Colorado voters back Romney 48% to Obama’s 47%; those numbers were the reverse in a Sept. 19 poll. In Virginia, Obama leads 51% to 46% now, versus 50%-46% last time. And in Wisconsin, the president is up 50%-47% over Romney, versus 51%-45% in September.
I live in Virginia and oldest daughter is a civil servant. She said that when Romney said in the debate that he was cutting govt workers through attrition, she knew he was going to win the state. She’s heard similar things at work, too.
Do you know which one? I haven’t heard that big of a point difference in a couple of weeks.
I have the exit poll from 2-3 years ago for the McDonnell race and it shows a breakdown of 37 R, 33 D, and 30 I. If so, then Obama is in deep trouble and this race is not even close in reality.
Please, Dear God, may You continue to fill the hearts of those of my beloved Old Dominion to do the right thing...
Quinnipiac lies. They are now about the only poll showing Obumme with a lead in VA.
I believe Romney is going to win and win big. Huge, even. But that said...these next 3.5 weeks are going to be nerve wracking!