Skip to comments.Poll Shows Romney Leading Obama among Jews
Posted on 10/11/2012 3:20:02 PM PDT by Eleutheria5
A tracking poll published Thursday by TIPP for Investors' Business Daily shows the hard-to-believe statistic of 44% support for Mitt Romney among likely Jewish voters, versus 40% for Obama, with 16% undecided.
The statistic is qualified with the comment that it is based on a small sample and should therefore be viewed with caution.
The poll was conducted among 812 likely voters, with an 8% advantage for registered Democrats over Republicans.
If the numbers are in any way close to representing reality, they reflect an unprecedented shift in Jewish voting preferences. Jews have voted overwhelmingly for Democratic presidential candidates for decades. Obama enjoyed 78% of the Jewish vote in the 2008 election.
Jewish support for Obama has been slipping recently. In September, the TIPP poll gave him 59% versus 35% for Romney. That in itself was seen as quite an accomplishment for Romney. It was not far from the 40 percent number in support of Dwight Eisenhower recorded by Jews in 1956, which was the highest backing by Jews for a Republican in nearly a century.
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I don’t know if I understand the term Nazarines in the context of being Jewish
evangelical is considered presstitute code for wacko Christians. I think of it as semantic trick to drive a wedge in to Christianity.
I am unable to divide the Jewish population further than those on Free Republic and those in New York and Florida. The only Jews I know personally are here, Freepers. There are almost none hereabouts
I expect it to be closer than normal, but if we get 35-40%, I'll be very happy.
All I can tell you is that in my heavily liberal Jewish (reformed and secular) town, the Obama...Oy Vey! yard signs outnumber the three or four Obama yard signs I've seen.
For a few weeks, the ONLY yard signs we were seeing were a smattering of anti-Obama signs. Finally, a few Romney signs, then Obama signs started to appear. In the last week, the Romney signs have taken over and there are virtually no Obama. It's unbelievable and a huge departure from the last few presidential elections where the Dems have probably had a slight advantage. I'm in a first ring Philadelphia upper middle class suburb with lots of limosine liberals, many if not most of whom are Jewish.
Don't know if the libs just don't have their signs out yet or if the Obama campaign hasn't been generous with them or what. My Hillary loving Jewish neighbor is voting Romney. She was very upset over the booing of Israel at the Dem convention.
“I dont know if I understand the term Nazarines in the context of being Jewish”
Yes, that’s my point. If they were “evangelical,” they would not be considered Jewish, or would be considered heretical Jewish people.
Perhaps I am losing you in my non-American English. Sorry.
Thank you, and amen.
I would say that at least half of those polls a month or so ago asked for religious affiliation, whether they were robo-calls or had a genuine human being asking the questions.
And don’t forget, we haven’t even had the foreign-policy debate yet, during which Romney will undoubtedly bring up his friendly meeting with Netanyahu this summer in Israel, and the importance of Israel as an ally, etc.
And what will Obama say in response? If he says anything nice about Israel he will antagonize the all-important Louis Farrakhan wing of the Democratic party, so he’ll probably just say a few ‘’uh’’s and ‘’er’’s move on quickly.
I think the breakout of Dems vs GOP is questionable, since Jewish voters are easily 2:1 registered Democrats.
Still I think the results are intersting to say the least.
I can hear Michelle crying from my house.....
For the first time in my life, I am ashamed to be an American. They are not going to vote for my husband, just because he’s made the US into a mockery of its former self in terms of power and prestige internationally; just because the economy remains in the toilet no matter how hard we flush it; just because we spend all our time on vacations and the golf course; just because the dollar isn’t what it used to be and probably never will be again if we can help it; just because we extend a hand to Islam and withdraw one from that Jooo! thing over there shaped like a triangle; just because my thighs make the ground shake when I walk; nobody wants to vote for my husband. RACISM!
I knew I had to read down before posting. That was the first thing that popped into my head.
Most likely that’s the fallacy of the poll. A heavy Democratic bias should be a given in the sample, and instead the pollster uses a light one. But it could have been true, where before it was unthinkable. Thank you scary Kenyan man.
That would be an astounding shift!
That is an excellent point.
I will need more than one poll to believe this but I will take it
Any American Jew that votes for Obama is either insane, stoned, drunk .....or high on too much Kool-Aid consumption!!! I cannot believe that any objective Jewish person would even consider voting for this head to toe, “Jew Hater”, Barack Hussein “Muslim Brotherhood” Obama!!!
Every time I spent time in Israel during my life and see the faces and smiles of little innocent Jewish children playing or being pushed in their carriages by their moms & dads, I think....how could any American Jew vote for this demented man, Obama, that would allow iran to destroy all Jews in a NY moment....and never think twice about it!!!
Shucks, cold, evil hearted. America hater, Obama could care less about our murdered Ambassador and three other American public servants slaughtered in LIBYA by his Muslim buddies, why should he care about a bunch of hated Jews being sent to the Iranian delivered nuclear gas chamber. Sad!!! Sad....that so many American Jews will betray their people, their culture, their history and their heritage!!!
I’ll believe this when I wake up in the morning and see the sun has turned blue and the sky yellow.
” Every time I spent time in Israel during my life and see the faces and smiles of little innocent Jewish children playing or being pushed in their carriages by their moms & dads, I think....how could any American Jew vote for this demented man, Obama, that would allow iran to destroy all Jews in a NY moment....and never think twice about it!!!”
I’m with you all the way.
There is a huge backlash among GenX Jews who were raised secular by their Jewish Boomer parents.
Wen we reject secularism, we get pretty gung ho about it.
I would surmise a good chunk of this is what is left of he Greatest Generation, maybe a few Boomers, and a whole lot of GenX Jews.
It is a start.
It’s easy to understand and hard to imagine.
Wasn’t Reagan’s Jewish support a high water mark?
Wasn’t that less than 35 or 40 percent?
Tablet typos. :/
I’ll believe this when I see it on “Commentary”!
This past weekend I drove thru a area with a large Jewish population. Almost every house had a Obama sign or two on their lawn. A few even had huge Obama banners on the house. Before/after that area, even in MA, you could not find a Obama sign.
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It almost worked for John Kerry!
F. John Kerry was Irish throughout his life and won elections to Congress - until he mysteriously discovered he was actually a Jew the whole time!
Yep. I remember.
- The old Madeline Allbright scenario:
“I’m Kosher already.....!”
BS. JINOS will happily give up their own mothers to be first in line to tell everyone for approval’s sake that they voted for Obama. The real chosen people will indeed vote for Romney. They are, however, not the majority inthis country
Thank you, I am closer to a large group of the chosen people than I am willing to discuss, but you see things when you are with people. You can relate to what they have gone through when you spend time with them and open up to each other.....
If youd like to be on or off, please FR mail me.
have Jews ever supported the conservative by a majority?
maybe pre FDR?
if only a majority of Jews in the media and Hollywood and academia and Madison ave voted conservative it would really mean something
it would change the country's culture back to where it needs to be
ain't gonna happen though...they remain firmly at the enemy vanguard mostly in those pursuits
Bless you. We serve an awesome God. I truly believe we are now moving to what I call a “critical mass”. That is to say that if Romney/Ryan keep on the same course with a slightly tougher and sharper message building each day, that there is nothing Barry Obama and the liberal MSM can do about!! This train is leaving the station!!
This result is an outlier, “Just one day ago, on Wednesday, the TIPP tracking poll (this same poll) showed Obama leading Romney 47%-25%. This makes Thursday’s numbers appear like a wild fluke or a mistake. However, these are the numbers that currently appear on the IBD/TIPP website.”
Nonetheless, I think that it is clear that the Jewish vote is moving significantly this year.
Obama got 78% of the Jewish vote in 2008, and that is not unusual - Jews have been the second most reliable demographic group for the Democrat Party, second only to African-Americans. Unlike AA’s though, Jews are also major players in fundraising, and disproportionally influential culturally.
All the anecdotes that folks have listed are a real phenomena. There are lots of reasons, but I won’t be surprised if Obama’s losses among Jews from 2008 levels is bigger than for any other group (15-25% swing). There is also the potential for a significant lasting realignment, making Jews more of a swing or split demographic, rather than a Democrat lock. We have seen a big swing in contributions from 2008.
Hope on the horizon. Not Obama’s “hope.”
This I cannot believe.
A dear Jewish friend who, for reasons I will never understand, voted for 0 in ‘08 will NOT vote for him this time. She cannot stand what he’s doing to the country and....she LOoOoOves Ryan!!
Glad to hear that, Obama is very pro Islam, Obama is a typical leftist, they all are sympathetic to the cause of Islam and hostile to Isreal and the United States. Glad some people are finally getting it.
Hmm. Mormons and Jews. Perhaps, an interesting commonality between Romney and his old friend from their days at BCG, Benjamin Netanyahu?
Her Thighness Hilary and Madeline Halfbright tried this tactic.
It does help in Florida, but the really big help is all of that money that Obama will not be seeing. That is killing him now and some of that money is likely going to Romney. This president seems to have picked favorites and Israel is not high on that list.
(note to Secret Service, ‘killing’ is a political expression, not a plan or a wish on my part regarding violence - I’m perfectly happy to see this president defeated in his re-election bid, and live out a long life afterwards, doing whatever he wishes)
-——— “from your lips to God’s hear, I hope you’re right.”
I’m guessing they are calling anyone with the last name Goldstien, Katz, Goldberg, Kaplan, etc.
Living in Georgia, my experience with the Jewish crowd is very limited, but in my observations, I would have to agree with you.
Still 55/45 with 45 going to the Republican is excellent.
What % of the Jewish vote did Nixon get in 1972 against McGovern?
Go to the Republican Jewish Coalition Website:
See that there are, in fact, a large number of Conservative Jews including a lot on FR.
I would urge everyone to check out the Catholic Vote and ask why they’re voting RAT.
I’m predicting that the whole population will go 55% to Romney, 45% to 0bama, because people are more fed up with 0bama than they’ll tell a pollster, our base will show up, Independents will break heavily to Romney, and 0bummer’s base won’t show up.
What the Jews will do is vote 63% 0bama. My “Jewish” niece gave a Bat Mitzvah address in which she proclaimed disbelief in G-d, and everyone clapped politely. She works for the 0bama campaign.
Jews in America (in my experience,) believe in G-d less than they believe in the Democrat party.