Skip to comments.Times/Bay News 9/Herald exclusive Florida poll: Romney 51, Obama 44 (mason-dixon poll)
Posted on 10/11/2012 3:24:51 PM PDT by sunmars
Barack Obamas lackluster debate performance last week has dramatically altered the presidential race in Florida, with Mitt Romney opening up a decisive 7 percentage point lead.
Conducted this week found 51 percent of likely Florida voters supporting Romney, 44 percent backing Obama and 4 percent undecided. Thats a major shift from a month ago when the same poll showed Obama leading 48 percent to 47 percent and a direct result of what Obama himself called a bad night at the first debate.
The debate prompted 5 percent of previously undecided voters and 2 percent of Obama backers to move to Romney. Another 2 percent of Obama supporters said they are now undecided because of the debate.
Theres no question in my mind that debate made people stand up and pay attention, and it really wiped away any questions people had about Romney, whether they were undecided or soft for Obama, said Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.
Across the board, from who is better suited to improve the economy, to who will protect Medicare, to looking out for the middle-class, to handling foreign policy, likely Florida voters now favor the former Massachusetts governor over the president.
Its a very big shift since the debate, and where the shifts are taking place are very, very interesting because they are the types of shifts you see in Florida when something starts to break one way or another, said Coker, likening it to when Ronald Reagan shot past Jimmy Carter in 1980.
Take Tampa Bay, the battleground region that invariably mirrors statewide results. A month ago, Obama had a 4 percentage point lead in Tampa Bay. This week, Romney led by 8 percent, 52 to 44. In Central Florida, Romney now leads by 6 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at tampabay.com ...
I think that was SurveyUSA who said that on O’Reilly’s show..said that Romney is winning North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida..said they are pulling people out because there is no point in continuing to poll there
It was Suffolk. This poll supports his conclusion.
Thanks for correcting me..Suffolk, NOT SurveyUSA..my bad got them both confused
Romney over 50% in Florida.
Stick a fork in Obama. This thing is almost over....
Oh. My. God. I. Am. In. Heaven. Over. This.
I just did a cartwheel across my living room without knocking over any furniture.
Means we can say goodbye to Nelson as well...a GOP pick up in the Senate
Be careful now...we need you Nov 6th!
Times is sooo in the tank for Obama..this will be in the FOOD section tomorrow..
Keep praying and turn out the vote on our side.
The Times is a liberal paper and they are showing this poll..WOW it must be REALLY REALLY bad for Obama
Obama’s disapproval = 54%!
Good news ping!
There is a polling establishment out there who has a republican and a democrat pollsters...does anyone here know the name of the polling agency? I believe Rush has mentioned them before and said they are to be reliable.
That was another pollster from Suffolk University.
So many different pollsters, making my head spin lol
When I was watching the first Romney-Obama debate, I was pacing back and forth in my housing, throwing my hands up, screaming, “I can’t believe how good this.”
“This is it. Obama lost the election tonight,” I yelled. And this was after only 30 minutes. I just go better and better.
After all we’ve endured the last four years, my joy is going to be unbounded when Obama is “buried” in a landslide that will break all records. I hope the Democrat Party is also utterly destroyed and discredited for generations to come.
We can only hope that waste of air nelson loses his bid for 6 more years of doing nothing for Florida.
Yeah, polls all over the place. :-) Good though ...confirmation of what Suffolk U. was seeing in Florida. Buh bye Obama
Purple Strategies’ Purple Poll or the politico/gwu Battleground Poll.
I think I heard Rush once mention Ed Geas of the Battleground Poll...
Mason Dixon? They’re usually a good polling firm too.
Saw Nelson today, talking about tonight’s debate to a crowd - he looked skeletal, like he is or has been seriously ill. There have been some folks questioning why he has been out of sight so much lately.
Romney has a two-point lead with Hispanics (46-44)? True, there is a rather large ex-Cuban community in Florida, but still, Obama took 57 percent in 2008. A 13 point drop doesn’t bode well for his campaign.
I know what you mean, but if I try a cartwheel, I’ll take out a wall. LOL
I know what you mean, but if I try a cartwheel, I’ll take out a wall. LOL
I can see Obama losing from my house....
Great news! I hope this election is a landslide. I won’t be able to survive an election night nail-biter.
Mason Dixon is the gold standard of state polls. They really know what they are doing, so I will take this as GREAT news.
My only real worry this cycle remains Ohio. My sense is Romney is probably down just a slight bit there, and I truly believe whoever wins Ohio, wins the election.
Come on Buckeyes. Help us throw the worst President in the history of our country out of the Oval Office!!!!!
I am so praying you’re right!
God bless and keep you.
GO Paul Ryan!!!!
Lord, hear our prayers.
That evil Marxist and his regime must go.
This is what makes me think the MI news that Zero has closed up shop may be correct. He has never led there by more than a couple. If his internals reflect the REALITY that I think Ohio is showing, then he indeed is trailing MI too.
No, that was Suffolk Polling.
I can't see FL going for Romney and not electing Mack. We need five seats to control the Senate (we lose Maine to an Independent). Nebraska, North Dakota and Virginia will be pickups. There are plenty of other races that may go for the GOP. I can even see Casey losing to Smith in PA. (Smith is within 2 pts right now).
You are thinking of the Battleground Poll with Celinda Lake and Ed Goeas.
Montgomery Co. actually GAINED GOP absentee votes when all the rest of OH lost (Ds lost far more). I think Romney is, and has always been, up 3-4 in OH.
Cautious optimism from here on out!
I know you do great work LS, and I enjoy conversing with you about the polls every election year.
You are definitely closer to the ground in Ohio, and have much better insight into what is going on there than I do, and I really respect your opinion. I pray you are correct.
Ohio is the one state that keeps haunting me. I can potentially see everything else falling into place and then Ohio narrowly going for the Kenyan.
Please make sure you keep sharing your good news, because my confidence there still needs some bucking up. ;)
Well said, bro, well said!
WOW even after the fake unemployment rate and the fake unemployment numbers put out by the Obama thugs,maybe voters are smarter than I thought.
Yes that’s it! Do u happen to know their polls numbers for R n O?
That said, to get to my prediction of 320 EVs, Romney is going to have to really squeeze NV and WI. Right now, Ds have a big margin in Clark County, though a significant amount don't vote.
Too many large states (Illinois, California, New York) will be in Obama's column, along with usual liberal states, to make it a blowout. But a reverse of 2008 (53-46) would be sweet.
I don’t. All I know is the last poll they did had Romney up HUGE among middle class, like 14 points or so.
Seems to me we saw barely any polls after the last debate, and even the ones we saw were gamed.
You just wait to see what happens if Joe does well tonight. They’ll have some poll results by they time they start the printing presses tomorrow morning.
If Ryan wins, they’ll find a reason to wait to do more polls.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.