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Times/Bay News 9/Herald exclusive Florida poll: Romney 51, Obama 44 (mason-dixon poll)
times bay news ^

Posted on 10/11/2012 3:24:51 PM PDT by sunmars

Barack Obama’s lackluster debate performance last week has dramatically altered the presidential race in Florida, with Mitt Romney opening up a decisive 7 percentage point lead.

Conducted this week found 51 percent of likely Florida voters supporting Romney, 44 percent backing Obama and 4 percent undecided. That’s a major shift from a month ago when the same poll showed Obama leading 48 percent to 47 percent — and a direct result of what Obama himself called a “bad night” at the first debate.

The debate prompted 5 percent of previously undecided voters and 2 percent of Obama backers to move to Romney. Another 2 percent of Obama supporters said they are now undecided because of the debate.

“There’s no question in my mind that debate made people stand up and pay attention, and it really wiped away any questions people had about Romney, whether they were undecided or soft for Obama,” said Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.

Across the board, from who is better suited to improve the economy, to who will protect Medicare, to looking out for the middle-class, to handling foreign policy, likely Florida voters now favor the former Massachusetts governor over the president.

“It’s a very big shift since the debate, and where the shifts are taking place are very, very interesting because they are the types of shifts you see in Florida when something starts to break one way or another,” said Coker, likening it to when Ronald Reagan shot past Jimmy Carter in 1980.

Take Tampa Bay, the battleground region that invariably mirrors statewide results. A month ago, Obama had a 4 percentage point lead in Tampa Bay. This week, Romney led by 8 percent, 52 to 44. In Central Florida, Romney now leads by 6 points.

(Excerpt) Read more at tampabay.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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To: cmsgop

If Nate the former Daily Koz crackpot pollster is resigned it must be way worse than this !
Nate is a dem push poll expert .
That clown was running around spreading the big lie that
Scott was close to
Losing recall on Election Day .


51 posted on 10/11/2012 5:03:28 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: onyx

In the Name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit, Amen.


52 posted on 10/11/2012 5:04:38 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: DoughtyOne

I think the come back stories are ready written and Martha has her marching orders from Axelrod !!
She hates Ryan .


53 posted on 10/11/2012 5:05:04 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: ken5050

I can only hope that the rubber stamp nelson is gone gone gone.


54 posted on 10/11/2012 5:07:09 PM PDT by Donnafrflorida (Thru HIM all things are possible.)
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To: ncalburt

Well, too bad for them, but the public can watch these debates, and a lot of people are. Does my heart good too...

Axelrod will go the way of Fisk and other Clinton assholes you never hear of anymore.


55 posted on 10/11/2012 5:09:26 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Obama got Mitch-Slapped in that first debate. 70% to 19% (Gallop)? That's going to leave a mark.)
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To: sunmars

Watch MSDNC call this for Obama before the polls close in the panhamdle. It’s the only way they can win this.

Romney *must* get two of Florida, Ohio and Virginia to have any chance with Florida the biggest prize.


56 posted on 10/11/2012 5:11:56 PM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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To: sunmars

Now that the gop-e know that people will follow whoever they choose, I’m afraid it will be Lindsey Graham in 2016!


57 posted on 10/11/2012 5:22:02 PM PDT by turn_to
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To: KansasGirl

thank you for the ping, my wife and I have not seen one obama yard sign yet in Flager county Duval or our county St Johns county.


58 posted on 10/11/2012 5:34:56 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: MissMagnolia

Bill Nelson was a walking, drawling skeleton six years ago.


59 posted on 10/11/2012 5:35:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Barack Obama--you are the weakest link. Goodbye!)
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To: yorkiemom

trust me I drive around y state every day and there is no obama yard signs, hardly ever see more than 3 oabma stickers on cars and the people who voted for him which I know have said not this time.

Obama is a fraud, useless and clueless and only the cult of obama have not woken up to who they are supporting or who he really is , but then again I don;t expect his cult to ever wake up because of their stupidity and only ever wanting to see the letter D


60 posted on 10/11/2012 5:37:52 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: sunmars

Barack Obama’s lackluster debate performance last week has dramatically altered the presidential race in Florida, with Mitt Romney opening up a decisive 7 percentage point lead.


All you had to do is see the debate to know why Romney’s in the lead and growing...

http://youtu.be/QlwilbVYvUg


61 posted on 10/11/2012 5:38:26 PM PDT by Pete-R-Bilt (When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace -Jimi Hendrix)
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To: comebacknewt

if we take FL, VA NC then those on the fence in the midwest might want to vote for who looks to be the winner so come on OH, CO, NM, lets take this country back.


62 posted on 10/11/2012 5:42:44 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: cmsgop
"Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight Romney now a 60/40 favorite in Florida after addition of Mason-Dixon poll" I bet Silver had to throw up after having to type that. He'll be one of many leftists who will have to be placed on suicide watch on election night.
63 posted on 10/11/2012 5:55:16 PM PDT by SharpRightTurn ( White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks sunmars.


64 posted on 10/11/2012 6:52:28 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: DoughtyOne

I knew that Martha would do this
My brother in law knows her and hates her.
He said she is a GOP hati g bit@@h


65 posted on 10/11/2012 7:15:38 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: ncalburt

You know what, I don’t even think these morons get how biased they are. She may not have been trying to be neutral, but I’ll bet she was TRYING to be SEEN as neutral. FAIL

She really does look like a hag. Was this truly the best they could do?

They’re all GOP hating asses.


66 posted on 10/11/2012 7:49:26 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (The U. S. Democrat Party, Al Queda's U. S. front organization. And the rank and file has no clue.)
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To: comebacknewt

Don’t worry about it. Ohio will go for Romney. The Disaster has never really led there or in the nation as a whole. We are looking at a landslide, 2010 all over again.
I will be surprised if RR does not win Michigan and Pennsylvania as well.

The balloon has popped.


67 posted on 10/11/2012 10:01:37 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: DoughtyOne

While the moderator clearly had received a serious whipping with the Ugly Stick, she was not that biased and even posed some tough questions to Crazy Joe. He only got about a minute more of time which is not bad since we want him talking. She did not try any “Gotcha” questions on Ryan, either.


68 posted on 10/11/2012 10:09:01 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: OrangeHoof
Romney *must* get two of Florida, Ohio and Virginia to have any chance with Florida the biggest prize.

Suppose, as seems to be the case, that Romney wins Florida AND Virginia. Are there any realistic paths to Romney winning the Presidency without taking Ohio?

69 posted on 10/11/2012 10:28:23 PM PDT by sargon
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To: Perdogg

More good news. Thanks for the ping.


70 posted on 10/11/2012 10:29:52 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: devolve

That boy just wasn’t brought up right, can’t he sit anywhere without putting his feet on the furniture? And what’s with the surly face?
Something’s just not working out for him?
I just can’t wait for when his face isn’t plastered all over the TV every night. I want him to become anonymous and take his place in obscurity where he always should have been.


71 posted on 10/11/2012 11:04:33 PM PDT by Fred Nerks (fair dinkum!)
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To: arrogantsob

I have some areas of concern with regard to her.

You are correct in that she did ask some pointed questions of Biden, and she even followed up with some rather uncomfortable questions and comments as well.

She shouldn’t have allowed Biden to interrupt as he did. That was so ungentlemanly, that it hurt him. So even though she did allow it, it actually cost Biden, something I don’t think she intended.

As for her treatment of Ryan, it did seem to me that several times she interrupted him to change the subject, just as he was venturing into fertile ground.

At one point, she didn’t allow him to respond fully before making a statement, that he wasn’t answering her question. And then she more or less made a statement that he couldn’t provide the answer to her question, so lets move on.

In general terms, I do agree with you to a certain extent, but I think she gave Biden too much latitude, and I don’t really think she gave Ryan a fare shake at times.

Someone during the CNN after game show stated that she didn’t interrupt Biden as she had Ryan, to move on. It was true, and I hadn’t thought of it that way.

There are times when I try to be even handed as you are here, and then someone brings up an aspect that makes me think I probably should have been a bit more critical. Here, I think you probably have a bit more latitude to be more critical, but not to the point of me thinking you’re way off base.

Thanks for the response.


72 posted on 10/12/2012 2:12:55 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (The U. S. Democrat Party, Al Queda's U. S. front organization. And the rank and file has no clue.)
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To: LS

“the Is are going huge for Romney”

How do they know the absentees are going for Romney?


73 posted on 10/12/2012 4:04:56 AM PDT by Heart of Georgia ("Together we will unite America and get this done" - Paul Ryan - August 11, 2012)
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To: Heart of Georgia
They walk the pricncts with lists of Ds, Rs, and Is. Thay know many of the people, but regardless after introducing themselves they ask if the person is planning to vote, and if the answer is yes, they ask for whom. They file a written report to the precinct captain.

Now, I can only speak for my county and the one next to it (important swings counties), but if this is happening in all OH counties, the election is over.

74 posted on 10/12/2012 4:28:03 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Excellent news, thanks!!


75 posted on 10/12/2012 4:49:38 AM PDT by Heart of Georgia ("Together we will unite America and get this done" - Paul Ryan - August 11, 2012)
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To: MissMagnolia

I think that’s just the way he looks...maybe he read some recent polls..like the one in the TampaBayTimes today..


76 posted on 10/12/2012 6:52:29 AM PDT by ken5050 (Barack Obama: An empty suit sitting in an empty chair...)
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To: ken5050

Somebody else also replied that he just looks that way .... the ‘walking corpse’ look probably appeals to Dems so I guess he’s got it ‘going on’. I hope Mack can prevail somehow.


77 posted on 10/12/2012 6:57:50 AM PDT by MissMagnolia (Being powerful is like being a lady. If you have to tell people you are, you aren't. (M.Thatcher))
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To: sargon
Suppose, as seems to be the case, that Romney wins Florida AND Virginia. Are there any realistic paths to Romney winning the Presidency without taking Ohio?

Yes, but it probably means winning some other toss-ups like Colorado, Wisconsin and Iowa. Of the 11 states considered "in play" by most forecasters (CO, FL, IA, MO, NH, NV, NC, OH, PA, VA, WI) Romney is going to need to take 7 or 8 of them to win.

His chances are slimmest in PA and NV. His chances are best in NC and MO. So, of the rest, Romney is going to need to win most of them but FL is probably the only one that is essential.

78 posted on 10/12/2012 7:49:20 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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To: DoughtyOne

My viewpoint is also that there in NOTHING or NO ONE who can take Romney or Ryan off their message. They can hit point after point no matter how often the subject changes or how often they are interrupted. Watching the debates in the primaries make me realize that no one will be able to leave a glove on Romney. Especially not The Disaster.

Hell, half of FR could beat that fraud in a debate even if they were woken up in the dead of night.

I think the moderator was a bit intimidated by the whole thing and I am happy she let Crazy Joe show his ass.


79 posted on 10/12/2012 8:35:57 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: arrogantsob

Saw a cartoon today depicting the mod as so much better than Lehrer. She let Biden get so far out of control, that it was a fricken disaster. There wasn’t much enlightenment here unless you consider watching Biden be pathological is enlightening.


80 posted on 10/13/2012 12:17:50 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Biden disrespect wasn't limited to Ryan. It was an insult to me and every other U. S. Citizen.)
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To: DoughtyOne

Well, for us, watching Crazy Joe was no revelation but for millions who pay little attention to things it was very enlightening, as was watching The Disaster flounder around in the first debate. Biden in NO way helped their cause.


81 posted on 10/13/2012 11:26:11 AM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: arrogantsob

I agree with that. When folks say Biden won, I just laugh. He lost them a lot of votes, and women (an important segment for Obama to win), saw that debate as insulting to their intelligence.

Women hate men with power that abuse it.

FAIL


82 posted on 10/13/2012 11:31:05 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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