Skip to comments.Times/Bay News 9/Herald exclusive Florida poll: Romney 51, Obama 44 (mason-dixon poll)
Posted on 10/11/2012 3:24:51 PM PDT by sunmars
Barack Obamas lackluster debate performance last week has dramatically altered the presidential race in Florida, with Mitt Romney opening up a decisive 7 percentage point lead.
Conducted this week found 51 percent of likely Florida voters supporting Romney, 44 percent backing Obama and 4 percent undecided. Thats a major shift from a month ago when the same poll showed Obama leading 48 percent to 47 percent and a direct result of what Obama himself called a bad night at the first debate.
The debate prompted 5 percent of previously undecided voters and 2 percent of Obama backers to move to Romney. Another 2 percent of Obama supporters said they are now undecided because of the debate.
Theres no question in my mind that debate made people stand up and pay attention, and it really wiped away any questions people had about Romney, whether they were undecided or soft for Obama, said Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.
Across the board, from who is better suited to improve the economy, to who will protect Medicare, to looking out for the middle-class, to handling foreign policy, likely Florida voters now favor the former Massachusetts governor over the president.
Its a very big shift since the debate, and where the shifts are taking place are very, very interesting because they are the types of shifts you see in Florida when something starts to break one way or another, said Coker, likening it to when Ronald Reagan shot past Jimmy Carter in 1980.
Take Tampa Bay, the battleground region that invariably mirrors statewide results. A month ago, Obama had a 4 percentage point lead in Tampa Bay. This week, Romney led by 8 percent, 52 to 44. In Central Florida, Romney now leads by 6 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at tampabay.com ...
Montgomery Co. actually GAINED GOP absentee votes when all the rest of OH lost (Ds lost far more). I think Romney is, and has always been, up 3-4 in OH.
Cautious optimism from here on out!
I know you do great work LS, and I enjoy conversing with you about the polls every election year.
You are definitely closer to the ground in Ohio, and have much better insight into what is going on there than I do, and I really respect your opinion. I pray you are correct.
Ohio is the one state that keeps haunting me. I can potentially see everything else falling into place and then Ohio narrowly going for the Kenyan.
Please make sure you keep sharing your good news, because my confidence there still needs some bucking up. ;)
Well said, bro, well said!
WOW even after the fake unemployment rate and the fake unemployment numbers put out by the Obama thugs,maybe voters are smarter than I thought.
Yes that’s it! Do u happen to know their polls numbers for R n O?
That said, to get to my prediction of 320 EVs, Romney is going to have to really squeeze NV and WI. Right now, Ds have a big margin in Clark County, though a significant amount don't vote.
Too many large states (Illinois, California, New York) will be in Obama's column, along with usual liberal states, to make it a blowout. But a reverse of 2008 (53-46) would be sweet.
I don’t. All I know is the last poll they did had Romney up HUGE among middle class, like 14 points or so.
Seems to me we saw barely any polls after the last debate, and even the ones we saw were gamed.
You just wait to see what happens if Joe does well tonight. They’ll have some poll results by they time they start the printing presses tomorrow morning.
If Ryan wins, they’ll find a reason to wait to do more polls.
If Nate the former Daily Koz crackpot pollster is resigned it must be way worse than this !
Nate is a dem push poll expert .
That clown was running around spreading the big lie that
Scott was close to
Losing recall on Election Day .
In the Name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit, Amen.
I think the come back stories are ready written and Martha has her marching orders from Axelrod !!
She hates Ryan .
I can only hope that the rubber stamp nelson is gone gone gone.
Well, too bad for them, but the public can watch these debates, and a lot of people are. Does my heart good too...
Axelrod will go the way of Fisk and other Clinton assholes you never hear of anymore.
Watch MSDNC call this for Obama before the polls close in the panhamdle. It’s the only way they can win this.
Romney *must* get two of Florida, Ohio and Virginia to have any chance with Florida the biggest prize.
Now that the gop-e know that people will follow whoever they choose, I’m afraid it will be Lindsey Graham in 2016!
thank you for the ping, my wife and I have not seen one obama yard sign yet in Flager county Duval or our county St Johns county.
Bill Nelson was a walking, drawling skeleton six years ago.
trust me I drive around y state every day and there is no obama yard signs, hardly ever see more than 3 oabma stickers on cars and the people who voted for him which I know have said not this time.
Obama is a fraud, useless and clueless and only the cult of obama have not woken up to who they are supporting or who he really is , but then again I don;t expect his cult to ever wake up because of their stupidity and only ever wanting to see the letter D