Skip to comments.Nate Silver: Romney now a 60/40 favorite in Florida after addition of Mason-Dixon poll.
Posted on 10/11/2012 9:03:20 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
Florida now in Romney column per Nate Silver (60.1% chance of winning) -- as is Colorado.
Romney is surging hard.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...
Wish I’d bought Romney to win Florida on intrude back when it was nearly nil.
Doubtful. The right has a lock on pessimism.
I think GOP presidential candidates need to visit states like that for at least one solid stop to show the faithful and independents that the candidate is willing to step into the lion's den and show voters that they are not forgotten or considered a hopeless cause.
When the gutless McCain wouldn't even let Palin make stops in Michigan because that state was supposedly lost, it told me that he had no fight in him at all and the race had become a mere formality before the coronation of TOTUS.
Well Romney has been to California a few times not as many as Obama but he has been here.
The weird thing was that while the McCain campaign had completely pulled out of Michigan, they were sending Palin to do rallies in places like Orange County, California, only a couple of weeks before the election. Talk about not making sense.
Doesn’t matter. If he visited Orange County he will carry it but Los Angeles and San Francisco overwhelm the rural parts of the state. And they will again this year.
Well he has been in Northern California as well.
This is the time Romney and Ryan need our prayers and good SS protection. If it looks like Obama is going down big, don’t be surprised of anything that happens. Just be Safe Mitt and Paul.
Detroit has lost 25% yes 25% of its population since 2008 there is not as many to over come as in the past.
Florida is looking good. Virginia is firming up as well.
It is all going to come down to Ohio. Whoever wins there, wins the election.
What a douche he is. I STRONGLY believe OH is fine, and every day seems to bring more evidence.Right now I think it’s about a 3-4 point margin, but possibly higher, as walkers are telling me their indies are going almost 2:1 for Romney.
Yeah, but many of these, including NY, are losing pop and thus electors.
I think you are right about PA, although the big purge of 100,000 mostly from Philly, will make it more interesting. A shift of just 1-2% indies and PA falls.
Remember there has been an exodus of jobs and D voters from OH and MI. In OH the voter purge took out net 375,000 Ds, and absentees show them down in absentees alon by. Whopping NET 175,000 over 08. I am sure something similar is happening in Detroit.
I’m in Ohio (dark blue Cleveland).
In 2008, there were Obama signs and stickers everywhere. There are barely any this year, but many Romney signs. And I get beeped and a thumbs up on my own Romney car sticker almost every day on my drive home.
Yesterday, 3 co—workers, all former obama voters (who voted based on demographics by their own admission) were talking about how bad Obama dropped the ball over Libya. All 3 are voting for Romney.
If the news gets any worse for Obama, we can expect a major commando attack on Libyan based terrorists a week to ten days prior to the vote. I suspect that planning is already under way for this late October “surprise”.
True, and that population is moving to places like Florida and turning the state purple.
I believe PA. has the most seniors.I’d be hitting him about Obamacare.A vote for Obama may end your life prematurely!
I think the “enthusiasm gap” might come into play. I think a lot of blacks just won’t bother to vote this year. At least I hope so.
You win CO, you win NV on nearly identical dynamics — exurban female swing voters, plus Mormons.