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Rasmussen Daily Tracking: FRI 10/12/12: R: 48% O: 47%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/12/12 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/12/2012 6:38:30 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate,...

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012debates; 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
Team RR is back in the lead, as the long weekend falls off. Let us see what the polls this weekend show as they will include post VP debate polling.
1 posted on 10/12/2012 6:38:36 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

You won’t know until next Thursday if there is a debate effect and by then we’ll have Obama/Romney round 2 on Tuesday night. So any effect from the VP debate will be all over the shop. Biden did not help himself though last night, that was pitiful to watch.


2 posted on 10/12/2012 6:40:28 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: SoftwareEngineer

The key is the Kenyan is still several points below 50%.

All the other movement is just statistical noise at this point.


3 posted on 10/12/2012 6:40:44 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

The yo-yo action from Ras is annoying. It would be comforting to see Romney solidify that 50% mark.


4 posted on 10/12/2012 6:40:51 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: comebacknewt

Yeah thats the key, he’s stuck around 47%, not good for an incumbent at all, means people are reluctant, i can see 90% breaking for Romney at the end. Be funny if 47% is exactly where he ended up in Nov.


5 posted on 10/12/2012 6:42:27 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Maybe that'll wipe the smirk off of Joe's smarmy face:


6 posted on 10/12/2012 6:44:13 AM PDT by The G Man (The NY Times did "great harm to the United States" - President George W. Bush 6/26/06)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

For those keeping track, today Obama is at -12%


7 posted on 10/12/2012 6:45:54 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: tatown

The pollsters won’t let the real figures flow until the last week, they need to sell more polls........


8 posted on 10/12/2012 6:45:54 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: sunmars

Sunmars,

We should have a decent idea about the effect of this debate, if any in the poll released on Wednesday the 17th.

That poll will include both Monday and Tuesday and thus will be as “fair” to the Republicans as possible

Of course, the Prez debate is on Tuesday night but the first polling from that wont show up till Rasmussen’s Thursday poll.


9 posted on 10/12/2012 6:48:22 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Thank you.


10 posted on 10/12/2012 6:49:10 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: sunmars
The pollsters won’t let the real figures flow until the last week, they need to sell more polls........

Maybe that's it. Make it sound close until the end.

Then make the adjustments to party affiliation the last week, publish and boast until the next cycle.

11 posted on 10/12/2012 6:51:59 AM PDT by cicero2k
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To: cicero2k

notice the uptick in number of polls, this is the month they make masses of money, up the fees and charge monstrous amounts for polling because after Nov 6th, the well dries up for quite a while ,of course they will keep it close to drag extra revenue polls out.


12 posted on 10/12/2012 6:55:25 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Explain how with everything that has happened the last few weeks, including the debates, how is it that obama and Romney are tied.
Yes, tied, a two point separation with a MoE of 4 is tied.


13 posted on 10/12/2012 7:00:50 AM PDT by svcw (Why is one cell on another planet considered life, and in the womb it is not.)
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To: comebacknewt

I think you’re right, we have the incumbent in a tough position. Obama has to really scare people off Romney to somehow keep the undecideds from staying home or going with Romney. He also needs to fire up his base.

I’ve always expected a racial theme to chase blacks to the polls. That can turn off whites, but Obama won’t do it directly.


14 posted on 10/12/2012 7:03:31 AM PDT by Andrei Bulba (No Obama, no way!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

New McLaughlin poll out in Virginia has Romney +7 with a R .02 sample. Romney +11 in VA with Independents.

Suffolk is right.


15 posted on 10/12/2012 7:04:30 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: svcw

What is to expain? The country is divided in two parts with a middle that is increasingly small and or disaffected.


16 posted on 10/12/2012 7:04:57 AM PDT by cajungirl
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To: svcw

What is to expain? The country is divided in two parts with a middle that is increasingly small and or disaffected.


17 posted on 10/12/2012 7:05:09 AM PDT by cajungirl
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To: svcw

This is Rasmussen and I’ve never seen the general election poll with more than a 3 point separation. Maybe it’s just how he does the polling? IDK


18 posted on 10/12/2012 7:08:05 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: svcw
Explain how with everything that has happened the last few weeks, including the debates, how is it that obama and Romney are tied.

Not sure if you've noticed but Romney was down about 3-4 points nationally and down 2-3 in every swing state. In the past week he's taken the lead nationally, and is leading in most every swing state. That's a pretty solid jump in my opinion.

As for why it's close... Obama is a sitting president (bully pulpit), and the first black one (white guilt), who has a corrupt media providing cover. That is not easy to overcome. (If Obama were white, this race would have been over 3 months ago).

But we will win this thing, going away - by 4-5 points.
19 posted on 10/12/2012 7:08:23 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: nhwingut

In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% support to Obama’s 48%. Three percent (3%) are undecided.

This is the fourth day in a row Romney has led the daily Swing State Survey, continuing to reflect the modest bounce he earned from last week’s first presidential debate. Prior to that, the president had led for 17 of the previous 19 days, and the candidates had been tied twice. Virtually all of these findings are based on responses prior to last night’s vice presidential debate.

In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.

In the swing states, Romney now leads 54% to 43% among male voters but trails by a 51% to 45% margin among female voters.


20 posted on 10/12/2012 7:12:59 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: The G Man

Ok. I lol’d.


21 posted on 10/12/2012 7:30:49 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA OR NV = 281EV)
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To: Andrei Bulba
I’ve always expected a racial theme to chase blacks to the polls. That can turn off whites, but Obama won’t do it directly.

If there's one thing Obama doesn't have a shortage of, it's race-baiting surrogates...
22 posted on 10/12/2012 7:42:39 AM PDT by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Four years ago today, Obama led McCain by 7% (51-44). Interesting.


23 posted on 10/12/2012 8:18:31 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: The G Man

So appropriate...

Good one.


24 posted on 10/12/2012 9:14:55 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Biden disrespect wasn't limited to Ryan. It was an insult to me and every other U. S. Citizen.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
I wonder what the other 2 percent says...
25 posted on 10/12/2012 1:37:20 PM PDT by johnsondavid841
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Romney’s spot-on about the 47% who will always vote Democrat. He feels it expedient to back away from that particular truth, but it was and remains the truth. If that wasn’t true then we’d be looking at a total blowout for Romney, but we aren’t. Obama still gets the 47% despite the world blowing up in his face. Wouldn’t it be deliciously ironic if Obama lost with exactly 47% of the vote?


26 posted on 10/12/2012 9:03:48 PM PDT by Gluteus Maximus
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To: snarkytart

Ras has to go with his history of party ID, not the history of Presidential exit turnout polls. He should make the switch soon from D+3 to R+3, or he will miss the mark badly on his accuracy.


27 posted on 10/13/2012 9:11:41 AM PDT by princeofdarkness ( Nobama. No more. No way. November 2012.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

28 posted on 10/13/2012 12:57:37 PM PDT by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

My online poll I started is neck and neck.

http://poll.pollcode.com/bdwc


29 posted on 10/13/2012 4:45:52 PM PDT by Jmathes
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