The key is the Kenyan is still several points below 50%.
All the other movement is just statistical noise at this point.
Yeah thats the key, he’s stuck around 47%, not good for an incumbent at all, means people are reluctant, i can see 90% breaking for Romney at the end. Be funny if 47% is exactly where he ended up in Nov.
I think you’re right, we have the incumbent in a tough position. Obama has to really scare people off Romney to somehow keep the undecideds from staying home or going with Romney. He also needs to fire up his base.
I’ve always expected a racial theme to chase blacks to the polls. That can turn off whites, but Obama won’t do it directly.