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Virginia Poll: Romney Leads By 7 Romney 51% Obama 44%)
Breitbart ^ | 10/12/2012 | Tony Lee

Posted on 10/12/2012 7:17:29 AM PDT by nhwingut

Mitt Romney has taken a commanding 7-point lead over President Barack Obama in another Virginia poll.

According to a McLaughlin & Associates poll that had an R+.02 sample, Romney leads Obama in Virginia 51%-44%.

Among independents, Romney beats Obama by 11 points, 50%-39%.

If these numbers hold for Romney, Romney could be free to expand the electoral map and more aggressively make plays for states like Michigan and Pennsylvania that were considered "reaches" just two weeks ago.

In addition, this poll, which has Romney leading by double-digits among independents and has a sample that is more reflective of what the turnout will be in November than other polls, may be a more accurate snapshot of Virginia's electorate than other mainstream media polls.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2012debates; 2012polls; 2012swingstates; 2012veep; polls; va2012; virginia
Suffolk pollster was right. Yesterday Florida (R 51 O 44). Today Virginia (R 51 O 44)...
1 posted on 10/12/2012 7:17:34 AM PDT by nhwingut
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To: nhwingut

Can Ohio be too far behind? Come on O-HI-O!


2 posted on 10/12/2012 7:19:49 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: nhwingut

The Suffolk folks have stopped polling Virginia, Florida and North Carolina. They’ve conceded these states to Romney and deemed spending polling resources there a waste of time and money.


3 posted on 10/12/2012 7:20:35 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: nhwingut

Nate Silver, please pickup the Red Emergency Panic Phone, Nat Silver, please ...


4 posted on 10/12/2012 7:20:58 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: nhwingut

I didn’t believe the polls when we were losing. I don’t believe the polls when we are winning.


5 posted on 10/12/2012 7:21:48 AM PDT by Lazamataz (WAAAAAAAAAHHHhhhhh.....)
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To: nhwingut

I didn’t believe the polls when we were losing. I don’t believe the polls when we are winning.


6 posted on 10/12/2012 7:24:08 AM PDT by Lazamataz (WAAAAAAAAAHHHhhhhh.....)
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To: Lazamataz

Wise man but the Left does believe polls so it is fun to kick them with polls like this.


7 posted on 10/12/2012 7:24:40 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: Lazamataz

My thoughts also.


8 posted on 10/12/2012 7:25:45 AM PDT by squidward
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To: nhwingut

Isn’t McLaughlin very highly respected in the world of polling? He also has George Allen leading 49-46 over Kaine.


9 posted on 10/12/2012 7:26:06 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: nhwingut

Does Virgil Goode show up in the polls? Were he not in the race, it might be something like Repubs 53 to Dems 44but then the Greens or Socialists or whoever else is in there might be getting votes otherwise destined for Obongo.


10 posted on 10/12/2012 7:30:11 AM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (Donate, & walk precincts, not for "Parties", but for individual, principled "Candidates" (& for FR)
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To: InterceptPoint

Nate has been turned over to his depraved mind, if you know what I mean. The truth will not be found there....


11 posted on 10/12/2012 7:31:35 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: nhwingut

I mis-read the title and my heart skipped a beat thinking Obama was bouncing back in this state.


12 posted on 10/12/2012 7:33:08 AM PDT by goodolemr
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To: nhwingut

This is going to be a hugh landslide! : )


13 posted on 10/12/2012 7:35:23 AM PDT by fabian (" And a new day will dawn for those who stand long, and the forests will echo with laughter"you min)
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To: nhwingut

I’m waiting for the ‘bitter clingers’ in PA to step up and make us proud... they’re next.


14 posted on 10/12/2012 7:37:07 AM PDT by GOPJ (You only establish a feel for the line by having crossed it. - - Freeper One Name)
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To: goodolemr; admin

Yeah, best to double check before publishing... The excitement got the better of me. :)

Admin: Please edit headline: Place opening parenthesis before Romney, e.g. (Romney 51 Obama 44). Thanks!!


15 posted on 10/12/2012 7:40:38 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: GOPJ

Ann Romney in Michigan today. We are in play.


16 posted on 10/12/2012 7:45:35 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: Lazamataz

You shouldn’t.

Let them keep the jittery Jakes on our side sane and demoralize the Libs.


17 posted on 10/12/2012 7:47:02 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: nhwingut

Polls are FINALLY reflecting reality, I don’t know what switch was flipped in their analysis, sampling or methodology, but the polls are finally reflecting what was blindingly obvious on the ground from day one.

Obama is DONE.

He has no chance at ANY SOUTHERN STATE! And yes I am including FLORIDA in that.. FL, NC and VA are completely off the table for him.

In the RUST BELT Obama is dead as well.. IA, WI, IN and OH will not go his way.. No chance in hell any of them will. Romney Very likely will Carry MI and a PA suprise is also not out of realm of possibility. Only states that are SAFE in the rust belt for Obama are IL and MN. And if Obama were to lose either one of those, all sorts of states no one is even remotely talking about will go from blue to red as as well.

In fact, with the sole exception of MN, Obama will not carry a single state he got less than 55% of the popular vote in in 2008, and he will lose a few that he did get over 55% in.. WI for example.

This election was never close... Never was going to be close.


18 posted on 10/12/2012 7:49:35 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: crosslink
But its a BATTLEGROUND...A BATTLEGROUND I TELL YOU! Don't call it for Romney yet folks, CNN has it leanng ever so slightly, I mean a slight tilt towards the Facist Republican potential usurper.

Damn the first Tuesday in November is going to be sweet. Shadenfruede Express leavng the station...choo, choo

19 posted on 10/12/2012 7:49:58 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: snarkytart

Ohio is not close folks.. Obama will never pull out of OHIO, no matter how bad it is for him there, because its a must win for him, but he’s never had a chance in hell of winning OH.

PA is sitting at a few point margin, with that being said, Ohio is solidly Romney.

MI and PA are the battleground in the rust belt, and while neither is needed for a win, both are winnable.


20 posted on 10/12/2012 7:55:11 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: nhwingut

Rasmussen has R&R up over 50 in FL too! He’s only got them leading by 1 in the national numbers...maybe he relies too heavily on CA and NY for his national poll.


21 posted on 10/12/2012 7:55:28 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: nhwingut

This is very welcome news.

With VA and FL looking good, it’s time to concentrate on Ohio. With these three states in his favor, Romney has a clear path to victory.

For “extra insurance”, he ought to keep fighting hard in Colorado (a surprise turnaround), Wisconsin, and New Hampshire...


22 posted on 10/12/2012 7:57:03 AM PDT by Road Glide
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To: HamiltonJay

Okay, I choose to believe you..lol
Don’t lead me astray because election night if OH goes to zerO again I’ll find you on here and make you feel bad.
:D


23 posted on 10/12/2012 7:57:40 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: nhwingut

From what I see here in Illinois,I wouldn’t be surprised if Romney takes Illinois. It will be close but I believe possible.


24 posted on 10/12/2012 7:59:38 AM PDT by teletech (Say NO to RINOS!)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

yes...Goode is pulling 1%.


25 posted on 10/12/2012 8:01:20 AM PDT by pgkdan (A vote for anyone but Romney is a vote for obama. GO MITT!!)
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To: nhwingut

I really do believe that Romney was always ahead in VA, but now its just too big a lead to deny and cover up.


26 posted on 10/12/2012 8:01:47 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: nhwingut
poll that had an R+.02 sample

With all the Fedzilla workers in NOVA, can we even muster an R+ anything margin in the state anymore?

27 posted on 10/12/2012 8:03:50 AM PDT by kevao (Is your ocean any lower than it was four years ago?)
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To: snarkytart
OH isn't going to go to Obama... little of the Rust Belt will... Obama has spit on catholics and white working class, guess where those people live and breath? The south, and the rust belt!

I've lived in swpa for 26 years, and I am in Ohio often as well... I can tell you this about PA and OHIO.. If PA is within a few points when it has PHILLY hugely slanting its tilt left... Ohio is safe as can be. Without Philly, PA and OH are nearly identical in a lot of political aspects. Philly though is a huge slant left that PA has to deal with, easily 5 - 8 points of democratic slant overall. So if PA is polling with Obama at a lead of less than 5, Ohio is safely going to go to the Romney.

28 posted on 10/12/2012 8:07:57 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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You could/can use a process of analysis to see that Romney was likely to win FL, VA, MO, IND and NC. Obama had the perfect storm of enthusiasm, a bad candidate on the other side, a MSM going crazy for him and the financial mess. With all THAT he barely won NC, IND and FL.

So with a bad economy, less motivation to vote and an opposition who WANTS to vote and Romney doing pretty well as a candidate, there was little logic to suggest Obama would win NC, IND and FL again. It also is a great indicator for VA, but there is the demographic change going on there and some questions about it changing. Still, Romney is a good candidate to take it back given his appeal to indies.

So I never understood the idea put forth that Obama was the favorite in FL and VA, and even had a prayer in NC. NC was a once in a generation perfect storm.....though admittedly it is changing due to demographics/migration....it isn’t changing THAT much yet.

So that puts everything back in the same old states of Ohio, Colorado, Nevada....with Iowa, Wisconsin and New Hampshire being Romney’s version of Obama winning Fl, Indiana and NC.


29 posted on 10/12/2012 8:15:55 AM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: fabian
This is going to be a hugh landslide! : )

Seriesly!

30 posted on 10/12/2012 8:17:34 AM PDT by Kharis13 (That noise you hear is our Founding Fathers spinning in their graves.)
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To: fabian
This is going to be a hugh landslide! : )

Seriesly!

31 posted on 10/12/2012 8:18:56 AM PDT by Kharis13 (That noise you hear is our Founding Fathers spinning in their graves.)
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To: nhwingut

The ads into Southwest Virginia are broadcast from East Tennessee....... Tuesday and Wednesday nights they were 4 or 5 to 1 by Romney and our PACS.

The Obama ad is very stale about Romney being rich

They have given up on Southwest Virginia that kicked out the democrat congressman in 2010


32 posted on 10/12/2012 8:21:06 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: nhwingut

Way to go, Virginia!

Keep the ground game going locals, and let the national campaign move resources elsewhere.


33 posted on 10/12/2012 9:12:02 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (You didn't build that. The private sector is doing fine. We tried our plan and it worked.)
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To: Kharis13

Yes! and your bases belong to us!


34 posted on 10/12/2012 2:30:15 PM PDT by fabian (" And a new day will dawn for those who stand long, and the forests will echo with laughter"you min)
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To: HamiltonJay
I hope you're right. Sabato was just in Cavuto and he has Ohio as lean Obama. He doesn't have it as a “toss up”?
35 posted on 10/12/2012 2:58:02 PM PDT by HenpeckedCon (What pi$$es me off the most is that POS commie will get a State Funeral!)
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