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Romney Leads Obama in Nevada, Based on Recent Dane & Associates Poll
Sac Bee ^ | Dane & Associates

Posted on 10/12/2012 3:03:54 PM PDT by libh8er

LAS VEGAS, Oct. 11, 2012 -- /PRNewswire/ -- With the election less than one month away, Mitt Romney leads by 3 points over President Obama in the key battleground state of Nevada. Just prior to the debate in Colorado both candidates increased their presence in Nevada. Mitt Romney opened offices in Hispanic areas of Las Vegas while President Obama personally delivered pizza to his volunteers.

Obama is now suffering the fallout of last week's debate, which is demonstrated in a recent poll conducted by Dane & Associates. Just a week ago, this race was a dead heat, but now after the debate, Romney has moved to 49% to Obama's 46%. "It looks like the voters are making up their minds here in Nevada," says Tony Dane president of Dane & Associates. "Only 3 percent are undecided and 2% are voting for 3rd party candidates."

..............

** This poll has a 3%+- margin of error

(Excerpt) Read more at sacbee.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; nevada; nv2012

1 posted on 10/12/2012 3:03:55 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: libh8er

DOOM!


2 posted on 10/12/2012 3:06:50 PM PDT by Elpasser
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To: libh8er

Too bad Harry was up for re-election 2 yrs ago instead of this Nov. - we could be done with the old fart.


3 posted on 10/12/2012 3:08:33 PM PDT by demkicker (My passion for freedom is stronger than that of Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.)
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To: libh8er

Another Obama locked-up state in question. Interesting.


4 posted on 10/12/2012 3:08:51 PM PDT by Proud2BeRight
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To: libh8er
Greg Anthony, UNLV Runnin' Rebel all time great and former NBA star, has a devastating campaign ad running on the tube.

"I voted for Obama in 2008. Not this time. It's OK for you to switch to Romney, too."

yitbos

5 posted on 10/12/2012 3:09:34 PM PDT by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds." -- Ayn Rand)
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To: libh8er

The same Nevada Mormons who voted for Hairy Reed will be voting for Bishop Romney.


6 posted on 10/12/2012 3:13:03 PM PDT by forgotten man (forgotten man)
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To: libh8er

I think if there is any error in polling this time around, it will be underestimating the Mormon turnout. Romney WAY overperformed in the primary states with relatively heavy Mormon populations. Below are the top 10 percentages for Mormon states and their polling status. Nevada is the key toss-up state with a big enough Mormon vote to push it over the edge to Romney. Mormons also should guarantee Arizona for Romney. Not sure if they can help enough in Montana or Oregon.

Utah 71.76% RED
Idaho 26.63% RED
Wyoming 10.10% RED
Nevada 7.41% TOSS-UP
Arizona 5.45% LEAN RED
Montana 3.58% LEAN BLUE
Hawaii 3.46% BLUE
Oregon 3.15% LEAN BLUE
Washington 3.10% BLUE
Alaska 2.86% RED


7 posted on 10/12/2012 3:15:26 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: libh8er
Obama serves pizza to sycophants in Vegas.

Bush served Thanksgiving in a war zone.


8 posted on 10/12/2012 3:15:29 PM PDT by dancusa (Re-electing Obama is like the Titanic backing up and ramming the iceburg again.)
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To: dancusa

OMG, what I would give to have this guy back!!! :-(


9 posted on 10/12/2012 3:17:00 PM PDT by ObozoMustGo2012
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To: libh8er

Nobody likes a loser. After the debate spanking, Obama has the stink of fail.


10 posted on 10/12/2012 3:19:11 PM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: dancusa

OMG, what I would give to have this guy back!!! :-(


11 posted on 10/12/2012 3:19:26 PM PDT by ObozoMustGo2012
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To: JediJones
Montana 3.58% LEAN BLUE

Romney is at risk of losing Montana? That's new to me...

12 posted on 10/12/2012 3:24:21 PM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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To: paudio

Not in this century.


13 posted on 10/12/2012 3:33:15 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: paudio

Ah, you’re right, that should say LEAN RED.


14 posted on 10/12/2012 3:33:15 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: paudio

I know, Montana is a bit stunning.

I’m surprised Arizona is “Lean Romney” and not totally in his column.


15 posted on 10/12/2012 3:34:10 PM PDT by ObozoMustGo2012
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To: ObozoMustGo2012

This is the map I’m using. I made a mistake on Montana.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html


16 posted on 10/12/2012 3:35:35 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: JediJones

Thanks. You almost gave me heart attack! LOL


17 posted on 10/12/2012 3:36:37 PM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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To: libh8er

Be prepared my friends. The rats are getting cornered and we know what happens when a rat is in a corner, they lash out and fight and attack. We need to make sure Romney and Ryan have the best Secret Service on their sides. Pray for them.


18 posted on 10/12/2012 3:40:56 PM PDT by crazydad (-` sd)
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To: JediJones

Which Montana? Joe Mantegna? LOL!


19 posted on 10/12/2012 3:42:25 PM PDT by dancusa (Re-electing Obama is like the Titanic backing up and ramming the iceburg again.)
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To: ObozoMustGo2012
I’m surprised Arizona is “Lean Romney”

Crap from the east, parts of the midwest and California is pouring into Arizona, especially since the recession begun. Plus the HUD is making a special effort to fill HUD owned homes(lots of them here) with minorities who are being moved from eastern states on section-8 vouchers. This has accelerated like crazy since the last two years. I think the calculation is with enough hispanics (which is why no federal assistance for border security) and enough transplanted minorities AZ will become a future swing state.

20 posted on 10/12/2012 3:43:48 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: libh8er

Tell you what, McCain would have killed for these numbers in 2008.


21 posted on 10/12/2012 3:49:57 PM PDT by toddausauras (FUBO x 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000)
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To: crazydad

However, the response from R2 could be “Fast and Furious”


22 posted on 10/12/2012 4:05:43 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Internals

Don’t know what pct came from Washoe and/or Clark Cos

D+7 sample

52/48 M/F

20% Hispanic in the poll

11% Asians in the poll


23 posted on 10/12/2012 4:09:49 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: libh8er

The commie ‘RATS better send their boy, Stinky Harry, back to Nevada to get his union knuckledraggers in line. Ain’t lookin’ good for Barry.


24 posted on 10/12/2012 4:16:48 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Sorry Algore. It was attitude, NOT altitude.)
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To: forgotten man

It is not the Nevada Mormons who voted for Reid, it is the busloads full of casino union workers who elected him.

Nevada Mormons, like most LDS, are generally a very reliably conservative voting bloc.


25 posted on 10/12/2012 4:23:10 PM PDT by VegasCowboy ("...he wore his gun outside his pants, for all the honest world to feel.")
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To: forgotten man

Not exactly. We have been having a bit of a “Gary Johnson” problem here. We are hoping to get everyone back in the lifeboat after the disastrous primary. There was some party mischief caused by a few who are being dealt with internally. That is why Utah and California has come in to pick up the slack. :)


26 posted on 10/12/2012 4:26:47 PM PDT by GeaugaRepublican ( "DO OBAMA VOTERS EXIST?")
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks libh8er.


27 posted on 10/12/2012 4:31:48 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: LS

We have no shot at winning NV?


28 posted on 10/13/2012 1:00:41 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy

Who said? One NV guy on another thread said that between Washoe and Clark (which has 100,000 D advantage) the Rs have to overcome about 97,000 D votes. I don’t know Nevada at all, but that seems high. Also, I’m not sure what the indies are in NV. If he’s right, it will be tough.


29 posted on 10/13/2012 7:39:02 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: profit_guy

Who said? One NV guy on another thread said that between Washoe and Clark (which has 100,000 D advantage) the Rs have to overcome about 97,000 D votes. I don’t know Nevada at all, but that seems high. Also, I’m not sure what the indies are in NV. If he’s right, it will be tough.


30 posted on 10/13/2012 7:39:12 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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