everyone says Ohio is THE swing state this year, which Congressional Districts are they talking about?
Ohio - The U.S. Senate seat is up for grabs, with oversampled Ds. Brown leading Mandel, despite a massive campaign to say “Mandel is lying.” Funny how they never say what about, so anyone could actually look it up for themselves. But then again, people who gather their own information aren’t the Demonrats target demographic.
In Congress, Stivers (R, incumbent, Columbus) appears to have a safe lead. Kaptor (D, 9th, incumbent, Toledo) should be safe vs. Samuel Wurzelbacher (Joe the Plumber). Brad Wenstrup (R, beat incumbent Schmidt in primary, southern Ohio) should win vs. William Smith.
About even is Betty Sutton (D, incumbent, northeast Ohio) vs. James Renacci (R, incumbent) but Renacci should win as Obama has campaigned heavily in the district. Bill Johnson (R, incumbent, coal country) has a slim lead vs. Charlie Wilson (D, long-time incumbent). Wilson has not campaigned with Obama in 2012 as Wilson wants to win his old district back. Hereditary Rep. Joyce Beatty (D, Columbus) will ascend to the designated Demonrat district after beating former D Rep. Mary Jo Kilroy, Ted Celeste and Priscilla Tyson.
David Joyce (R, northeast Ohio) is running in Steve LaTourette’s (R) old district, and is a slight favorite vs. Dale Blanchard, who has lost the last ten times he has run for the seat.