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Miami Herald/Tampa Bay Times poll: Sen. Bill Nelson continues to lead Connie Mack, 47-42 percent
Miami Herald ^ | October 12, 2012 | Mary Ellen Klas with Brittany Alana Davis and Tia Mitchell

Posted on 10/13/2012 3:00:56 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

Independent voters and party switchers are providing the edge for Democrat Bill Nelson as he maintains his lead over Republican challenger Connie Mack in the U.S. Senate race.....

Mack narrowed the margin to 47 to 42 percent, three points tighter than it was last month, but the Fort Myers congressman didn’t seem to benefit from the eight-point surge of support for Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney in Florida.

Nelson continues to lead among voters who are not affiliated with any party, getting 51 percent support among independent voters to Mack’s 37 percent.

The Orlando Democrat also enjoys some crossover appeal, with 6 percent of the voters surveyed voting for both Romney and Nelson.

“This isn’t a wave election so you may see some purposeful ticket-splitting because people are a little bit divided in their view over what the parties are offering,’’said Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker.

..........Nelson’s lead may be steady but he’s not out of the woods, said Coker. “Anytime an incumbent is under 50(percent)you sort of have to really watch the race,’’ he said.

The steady number of undecided voters “might give Mack a little bit of hope,’’because more than half of them lean Republican,Coker said.

Among the undecided voters, 4 percent also said they are supporting Romney and 1 percent are supporting President Obama;two percent are undecided in both races.

“There is the potential there for Romney to pull Mack up,’’ Coker said. My only question is,does Mack have the organization and campaign and resources to make it happen? He can’t just rely on coattails.”

The two candidates in the race who are running with no party affiliation—Chris Borgia, an Iraqi war veteran from Fort Lauderdale and Bill Gaylor a Marine Corps veteran from Indian Harbor Beach — drew 3 percent and one percent of the vote respectively......

(Excerpt) Read more at miamiherald.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012election; florida; takebacksenate; ussenaterace
Tampa Bay Times running same article: "The telephone survey of 800 registered Florida voters — all likely to vote in the November election — was conducted Oct. 8-10 for the Tampa Bay Times, Miami Herald, El Nuevo Herald, Bay News 9 and Central Florida News 13. The poll, which included respondents using land-lines and cell phones, was conducted by Mason-Dixon, a nonpartisan, Jacksonville-based company. The margin of error is 3.5 percentage points."
1 posted on 10/13/2012 3:01:02 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I don’t believe the polls. Bat Brain Nelson is OUT.


2 posted on 10/13/2012 3:22:17 AM PDT by DeaconRed (ZERO & JOE think our countries situation is funny. It is NOT Funny. . . .)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
"Sen. Bill Nelson continues to lead Connie Mack, 47-42 percent"

Too bad.

That is the power of liberal incumbency.
Buying votes with taxpayer dollars always pays dividends.


3 posted on 10/13/2012 3:23:31 AM PDT by Iron Munro (Psalm 109:8 "Let his days be few, and let another take his office.")
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To: Iron Munro

Outright fraud helps too


4 posted on 10/13/2012 3:28:02 AM PDT by South Dakota (shut up and drill)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Per conservative newpaper The Apopka Chief here in Florida “10,000 +” people were at the rally in the small town of Apopka last Saturday. The Apopka Chief said the city had only 3 days notice of this event yet look how many people came! Connie Mack was there as well as Dan Webster. I cannot help but think these rallies are helping Connie Mack.


5 posted on 10/13/2012 3:28:59 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (Yuri Bezmenov (KGB Defector) - "Kick The Communists Out of Your Govt. & Don't Accept Their Goodies.")
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To: Iron Munro

Well, the article doesn’t come out and say it, but Nelson is one of Congress’ twelve appropriators, and therefore one of the most powerful members on the Hill. He can and does use the Treasury as his own personal pork barrel for his district, and this is why he keeps getting re-elected. No real surprise here.


6 posted on 10/13/2012 3:36:40 AM PDT by Timber Rattler (Just say NO! to RINOS and the GOP-E)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I take that to be the same poll in which they had Romney well ahead of Obama—not a good sign.

Mack seems worth fighting for despite the whole political dynasty thing, which I’m not generally keen on.

I wonder if there’s some sort of tea party or other last minute boost available.


7 posted on 10/13/2012 4:16:36 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
ticket splitters So we're to believe that many people simultaneously love and hate obamacare? What gives?
8 posted on 10/13/2012 4:36:43 AM PDT by rhinohunter
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Notice our enemies have learned NOT to include the sampling breakdowns. PPP skipped that detail in its report on Nevada and these guys to likewise here.


9 posted on 10/13/2012 5:19:53 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: jmaroneps37

800 registered voters is useless.

Pray for America


10 posted on 10/13/2012 5:24:29 AM PDT by bray (Islam- A billion medieval savages can't be wrong!)
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To: DeaconRed

Nason Dixon is usually pretty good in Florida if I remember correctly. That being said Mack is close to the MOE and making progress


11 posted on 10/13/2012 5:34:09 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: italianquaker

Nason=Mason lol


12 posted on 10/13/2012 5:34:53 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

That’s what happens when the establishment GOP puts up a RINO hack as its candidate...


13 posted on 10/13/2012 6:13:01 AM PDT by JohnLongIsland
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

That would explain all the Nelson signs I don’t see.


14 posted on 10/13/2012 6:39:31 AM PDT by Darth Reardon
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; hoosiermama; flaglady47; Chigirl 26; mickie; Dan Nunn; seekthetruth; ...
Bill Nelson has a devastating personal attack ad against Connie Mack that is playing virtually every day here in Florida. There's no doubt this ad is drawing blood and having a tremendous negative effect on Mack's campaign.

"Would end Medicare", "bar room fighter", "a past of liens and debts", "Hooters promoter", "road rage", "skips big votes", "sense of entitlement"......these are some of the slams against Mack excerpted from Nelson's ad.

Mack's ads are rather bland and uninspiring. It's a wonder that his percentages are as high as they are.

However, I'm convinced that Florida will go big for Romney and, by the grace of God, Mack will slide into home plate hanging onto Mitt's coat tails.

Leni

15 posted on 10/13/2012 6:42:03 AM PDT by MinuteGal
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To: rhinohunter
ticket splitters So we're to believe that many people simultaneously love and hate obamacare? What gives?

Florida is it's own thing. There are going to be a number of older Jews who have little problem with Obamacare but don't like 'bammy's foreign policy and treatment of Israel.

Also, I have heard that Mack has run a weak campaign. You still have to earn the vote, even when you inherit as storied a name as Connie Mack.
16 posted on 10/13/2012 7:02:29 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("I love to watch you talk talk talk, but I hate what I hear you say."--Del Shannon)
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To: MinuteGal

I have to listen to Nelson’s attack ads everyday as well. I keep wondering when Mack is going to go after Nelson. but so far NOTHING. Frustrating, NELSON HAS TO GO!!


17 posted on 10/13/2012 7:32:52 AM PDT by LuvFreeRepublic
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To: MinuteGal
Nelson is correct about Mack being a waste of skin but Nelson has to go

We need a conservative to primary Connie Brat next time out

.

18 posted on 10/13/2012 7:56:21 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

We don’t watch a lot of TV, but I have not seen one Connie Mack ad...just lots of ads that are from the Nelson side and very negative.


19 posted on 10/13/2012 9:16:05 AM PDT by memyselfandi59
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To: MinuteGal

I’m surprised Nelson didn’t accuse him of “not being a baseball fan”!/s;)


20 posted on 10/13/2012 9:24:17 AM PDT by Frank_2001
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To: memyselfandi59

I’m surprise this race is as close as it is. Mack’s been getting hammered relentlessly. He’s either unwilling or able to respond in kind. I don’t think this is the pickup we were all thinking it would be 6 months ago.


21 posted on 10/13/2012 9:28:24 AM PDT by paul544
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To: Frank_2001; mickie
Certainly the last thing that Nelson would want to do is remind voters of Connie Mack III's connection with baseball and his famous grandfather, the great Cornelius Harvey McGillicuddy.

Many younger voters wouldn't know the baseball Mack's name if a truck hit them....so why remind them!

Nelson just has to sit back and watch Mack III at bat in the last of the ninth with his team behind and an 0-2 count on him.

He may strike out....or he'll walk and Mitt will drive him in with a homer.

I don't want to look, LOL.

Leni

22 posted on 10/13/2012 10:32:36 AM PDT by MinuteGal
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To: JohnLongIsland

I am sure you call Romney the same useless name which utterly destroys your claim.


23 posted on 10/13/2012 12:10:52 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: arrogantsob

Thanks for the laugh...


24 posted on 10/13/2012 2:45:44 PM PDT by JohnLongIsland
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To: arrogantsob

“I am sure you call Romney the same useless name which utterly destroys your claim.”

You’re absolutely right. I snicker at the RINO crap that is constantly thrown about at our candidates by people who claim to be Conservatives. I understand the definition of Conservative.
I keep looking for a definition of Republican. I keep wondering who the heck these people are who set the rules as to what a Republican is. We’re supposed to be the party of ideas unless they’re not the same ideas as the name callers. Just last week some of the FReepers were calling Wayne Allyn Root no more than a professional gambler. I cringed. Those name callers couldn’t shine his shoes. They were ignorant of his acheivements. I’m fed up with the lose at any cost crowd.
I know I probably don’t belong at FreeRepublic but I always enjoy the exchange of ideas and thoughts. I respect the process not the name calling.


25 posted on 10/13/2012 3:26:00 PM PDT by FryingPan101 (2016 looms)
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To: JohnLongIsland

So I was right.


26 posted on 10/13/2012 6:48:54 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: FryingPan101

My guess is those who throw the “RINO” appellation around indiscriminately know nothing about the actual history of the GOP. It is one thing to call someone that when he stands squarely opposed to the party’s platform and beliefs but to call those who are NOT that is pathetically stupid.

I always say, for them, 80% of the party is RINO which is clearly impossible.


27 posted on 10/13/2012 6:52:03 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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