Skip to comments.Obama, Heller lead in Nevada [Enter Gary Johnson 48/47]
Posted on 10/13/2012 4:26:47 AM PDT by GonzoII
PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama's lead in the state falling to 4 points at 51-47. He had led by a 52-43 margin in the middle of last month. That five point decline for Obama is consistent with what we've been seeing in most of our national and state level polling since last week's debate.
Romney's seen a big improvement in his favorability rating. The last time we polled on that in August he was at 46/49 in Nevada and now he's improved a net 7 points to 50/46. The good news for Obama is that his own approval, at 49/48, is slightly better than it was in August as well when he was at 48/49. Romney's climb is more about his own image improving than a decline for Obama.
Romney's big gain over the last month has been with white voters, who he's going from leading 52-45 with to 55-42. He's made gains across the party spectrum, notably increasing his crossover support with Democrats from 10% to 16% and cutting Obama's lead with independents from 15 points down to 7 points.
The main groups fueling Obama's continued lead are Hispanics, who give him a 67-32 advantage, and young voters who favor him 67-33.
When Gary Johnson's included he gets 3% and actually takes mostly from Obama, pulling his lead over Romney down to 48/47. That could be something worth keeping an eye on.
In the Senate race Dean Heller holds a small lead over Shelley Berkley with 47% to her 44%. Independent American Party candidate David Lory VanderBeek gets 4%. Nevadans give Heller narrowly positive approval numbers, with 44% of voters happy with the job he's doing to 42% who disapprove. Berkley's suffering from high negatives with just 40% of voters rating her favorably to 51% who have an unfavorable opinion. Heller's winning independents 47-37 and taking 85% of the Republican vote to Berkley's 76% of Democrats.
PPP is a bullcrap poll, they have no credibility.
Gary Johnson is going to capture most of his votes from people who always abhor voting for the 2 major parties or potheads. The other messageboards I frequent are full of people who are voting Johnson and voted Nader or Peroutka in the recent past.
which will be around 2.0%. In 2008, 2.2% voted for “other”
In 2008, 0bama won Nevada in two counties, Clark (by 19%) and Washoe (by 12.5%) which is a combined 18% of Obamas gross margin. McCain won the rest of Nevada by 20%. If Romney keeps 0bama below 16% in those two counties assuming he does not underperform McCain in the rest of State, Romney will win Nevada.
Well, after Biden was such a d!ck the other night, maybe they think they’re voting for THAT Johnson!
These days lots of liberals like the libertarian candidates. Much of it due to drug legalization plus saying you are a libertarian sounds more cool
So I can see Gary Johnson helping us by stealing from JugEars
If Shelly Berkley cared about Pro-Life Issues, it would say so on her “Issues” page.
I’m only contributing to Pro-Life Senate candidates, in close races, around the nation.
If you apply the Suffolk University/KSNV poll (oversampled RV poll) to the 2008 results 0bama leads in Nevada by 0.1%.
PPP the most discredited push poll Operatopn outside of Zogby - landslide operation !
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