Skip to comments.NV: Current Voter Registration Totals for Washoe & Clark
Posted on 10/13/2012 7:25:03 AM PDT by sf4dubya
For those unaware of the Republican gain in Washoe and the current numbers for Clark, here they are:
Washoe County Registers Record Number of Voters for Nov. 6 General Election
Reno, Nevada. October 8, 2012. Washoe County registered more than 3,500 voters in the past week for the November 6th election, and the County surpassed the previous record of 231,400 for the General Election in 2008 with a current 234,113 registered voters.
Registered Republicans outnumber Democrats 90,331 to 87,960, with 55,822 nonpartisan and minor party voters now registered in the County.
Clark - http://www.clarkcountynv.gov/Depts/election/Documents/Reports/RegStatsPP_Active.pdf
DEM - 379,379 REP - 259,997 NP - 147,923 LIB - 5,233 INA - 36,620 OTH - 4,652
TOTAL - 833,804
(Excerpt) Read more at co.washoe.nv.us ...
How does this compare with 2008 for both the Republicans and the Treasonists?
voter registration Info
2008 CLARK COUNTY
Voting Method Turnout %/Reg
ELECTION DAY TURNOUT 210,264 25.79 %
EARLY VOTE TURNOUT 391,805 48.06 %
MAIL TURNOUT 50,718 6.22 %
Total 652,787 80.08 %
VOTE FOR 1 - PRECINCTS: 1150
Candidate Votes %/Total
IAP - Baldwin, Chuck 1,871 0.29 %
LIB - Barr, Bob 2,733 0.42 %
REP - McCain, John 257,078 39.48 %
GRN - McKinney, Cynthia 903 0.14 %
IND - Nader, Ralph 4,140 0.64 %
DEM - Obama, Barack 380,765 58.47 %
None of These Candidates 3,682 0.57 %
Quite a switcheroo......and without Clark County, Obama’s chances in Nevada are zero. Or, more accurately, well below zero. Outstate is heavily Republican.
Turnout from Washoe/Clark Counties has been about 65-70%. I adjusted my simulation when I found the numbers from the NV SOS website listing the total number of voters (active and inactive) as of Sep 2012. Right now, lists 260,000 in Washoe and 1,008,000 in Clark.
Assuming around a 65% turnout, Washoe vote total should go down to 169,000, while Clark County should be around to 655,200 voters, assuming around a 65% turnout.
Right now, I have Romney with 48% in Washoe and 44% in Clark. The % are the same though. Obama still leads in NV by about 45,000 votes or 52-47%. I don’t see where Romney makes that difference up in NV. He’d have to run at the same level of state support as Sandoval, and I just don’t see that happening for the time being.
Right now I have Obama 505,260/52% Romney 458,838/47%
It’s much closer in OH and IA.
Obama 777,109/50.72% Romney 754,911/49.28%
Romney: 2,781,909/50.11% to 2,769,785/49.89% (Get ready to unleash the lawyers in OH because I don’t see these numbers changing and the victory for either here will be <20K votes unless there is a major gaffe on either side that leads to a blowout.
I am trying to do one for CO today in the format I did for OH, but all their data is in PDFs and I’m having issues transferring it to Excel. My guess in Romney is up slightly more in CO than OH at the moment.
VA/NH not sure if I will get around to doing because results are also reports at city/township level and takes about as much work to do as it would to do a state like GA or TX with too many counties.
FL is proving difficult to do. Being wrong on the turnout with so many voters in most of the 67 counties puts too much margin for error, but I’m trying.
I’m skeptical about NC being in play. No way with the chaos here should this be close. If Romney gets, say, 46% or more in Buncombe County (Asheville), the state will 99% go GOP.
I may do one for MI since they have their stats on the SOS website set up easy to transfer similar to OH. Perhaps WI also.
I think there were more defectors from the GOP in 2008 than we will see this year, and turnout will be surpressed among Dems more than Republicans (enthusiasm factor).
At the same time, increased mail-in voting reduces the enthusiasm factor somewhat, since so little effort is required to vote. In the end, who knows??
In 2008, per CNN in Nevada
McCain got 88R/6D/41I
Obama got 11R/93D/54I (90% White Dems)
Thanks for that. So for a quick comparison:
2008 / 2012 CLARK
DEM 386,935 / 379,379 (- 7,556)
REP 261,717 / 259,997 (+ 1,720)
OTHER/NP 166,538 / 194,428 (+ 27,890)
TOTAL 815,190 / 833,804 (+ 18,614)
2008 / 2012 WASHOE
DEM 92,188 / 87,960 (- 4,228)
REP 90,910 / 90,331 (- 579)
OTHER/NP 48,339 / 55,822 (+ 7,483)
TOTAL 231,437 / 234,113 (+ 2,676)
Why are you using turnout 65% when last election was 78% in Washoe?
To post 4 that answers your question, although there are a few days left to register.
I meant post 10 answers your question. Need more coffee! ;)
Your analysis ignores major GOP voting for Obama in 2008. Do not see that happening this year. Still, interesting info.