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Minnesota coming into play? (O47 R43)
American Future Fund ^ | 10/11/12

Posted on 10/13/2012 5:01:53 PM PDT by NoobRep

Key Findings: 1. The Romney-Ryan team is right in the thick of things in Minnesota.

Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan trail Barack Obama and Joe Biden by just four points – 43% Romney/Ryan to 47% Obama/Biden in the Presidential race in Minnesota. While Minnesota is a Democratic state, the Romney/Ryan ticket’s 45%-32% lead over Obama/Biden among Independents makes the state competitive. Romney/Ryan lead 45%-42% among men, but trail 42%-52% among women.

2. While Obama’s image is decent overall, he has real problems with Independents. Romney’s image is 45% favorable/44% unfavorable, which is a little weaker than Obama’s 50% favorable/44% unfavorable image. However, among Independents, Romney has a huge advantage. He has a 50% fav/33% unfav image, while Obama is at a staggeringly bad 36% fav/49% unfav.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanfuturefund.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Minnesota
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; minnesota; mn2012; obama; romney
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Could explain Jill Biden's recent visit. This is a Republican poll and I don't hold hope that we could turn MN but it might indicate exactly what a trainwreck Obama is headed for in a few weeks.
1 posted on 10/13/2012 5:02:01 PM PDT by NoobRep
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To: NorthWoody; Manic_Episode; mikethevike; coder2; AmericanChef; Reaganesque; ER Doc; lesser_satan; ...

WELCOME TO FREE REPUBLIC’S MINNESOTA P;ING LIST!

151 MEMBERS AND GROWING...!

FREEPMAIL ME IF YOU WANT ON OR OFF THIS LIST!


2 posted on 10/13/2012 5:04:02 PM PDT by MplsSteve (General Mills is pro-gay marriage! Boycott their products!)
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To: NoobRep

If Minnesota is truly in play, 0zer0 is finished.


3 posted on 10/13/2012 5:04:43 PM PDT by SDShack (0zer0care = "The Final Solution" - Socialized Euthanasia Healthcare)
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To: NoobRep
O'bummers first four years


4 posted on 10/13/2012 5:06:44 PM PDT by clamper1797 (I mourn for the America I grew up in ..fought for ..and loved ..July 4 1776- June 28 2012)
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To: NoobRep

I still say we’re just watching the polling entities having to move back toward reality, so as not to be destroyed on November 7th.


5 posted on 10/13/2012 5:06:53 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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To: NoobRep

Even if it only means they have to defend their own turf it is a positive sign.


6 posted on 10/13/2012 5:06:56 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: NoobRep

Every state is in play except for a few.


7 posted on 10/13/2012 5:07:05 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: NoobRep

There are a lot of heavy metals in the water there...I’m not saying you won’t run into a very pleasant Minnestotan every now and again.


8 posted on 10/13/2012 5:10:10 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: NoobRep

One more bad debate for Obama and we could see several “blue” states become toss-ups...


9 posted on 10/13/2012 5:10:43 PM PDT by proudpapa
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To: proudpapa

Good news!


10 posted on 10/13/2012 5:11:56 PM PDT by Michigander222
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To: gorush

I don’t know how pleasant I am, but I’m a conservative Minnesotan who is ABO.

Must be the water softener and the filter on the fridge. ;)


11 posted on 10/13/2012 5:13:05 PM PDT by mplsconservative (A non-vote is a vote FOR 0bama.)
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To: NoobRep

i would really hate to believe HALF the voters are THIS STUPID

I guess we will find out

I can (*almost*) forgive some of them for the last election- he was an unknown and it was a historic vote- first black president

but he hid his socialist roots, never mentioned obamacare, never told anyone he would spend half his time kissing muzzie ass


12 posted on 10/13/2012 5:13:14 PM PDT by Mr. K ("The only thing the World would hate more than the USA in charge is the USA NOT in charge")
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To: NoobRep

I’ve been watching the Huffington Post electoral vote count.

Romney is showing the best he has there right now, and the site hasn’t taken recent polling into account.

Every recent movement shown, shows a move in Romney’s direction, and we’re talking six states.

All of a sudden, with undecideds Romney is now competitive for the first time. Note Florida and other states now in play, that aren’t up to date on the chart.

Check out down below on the right, to see the color coded recent moves.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map


13 posted on 10/13/2012 5:13:14 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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To: proudpapa

The fact O couldn’t get above 50% is pretty telling. You’re right though, with a good Romney follow-up debate, polls next week at this time could be very interesting.


14 posted on 10/13/2012 5:14:33 PM PDT by NoobRep
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To: NoobRep

“”””While Minnesota is a Democratic state,”””

I don’t think I would agree with that. The majority of the state is “real” people. Unfortunately we have the liberal cesspools of Minneapolis and St paul to drag us down. Also the union strongholds in the Duluth iron range area that will always vote for any democrat that comes along.

It all comes down to turnout. I just don’t see many hussein yard signs this year. Last time they were everywhere.


15 posted on 10/13/2012 5:14:56 PM PDT by shelterguy
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To: DoughtyOne

Paul Ryan is also in Minneapolis tonight with Michelle Bachmann. Telling?


16 posted on 10/13/2012 5:17:00 PM PDT by NoobRep
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To: shelterguy

I agree. It’s Mpls./St. Paul and Duluth that paint us as a liberal state.

I moved out of Minneapolis just for that reason. Couldn’t stand it anymore. The rest of the state is quite conservative.


17 posted on 10/13/2012 5:17:51 PM PDT by mplsconservative (A non-vote is a vote FOR 0bama.)
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To: mplsconservative

I must admit to living in both Mahnomen and Bemidji in my formative years.


18 posted on 10/13/2012 5:18:21 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: NoobRep

The HufPo has it 51/43. Michigan is listed as 50/43. Ouch!

If Romney holds his own on Tuesday, Obama is going to come unglued.


19 posted on 10/13/2012 5:22:19 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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To: NoobRep

Check this out from MPR.

Polls show that President Barack Obama is ahead in Minnesota, but Republican Party officials say they believe GOP nominee Mitt Romney has a shot at winning the state. If he does, he would be the first Republican to win Minnesota since 1972.

Officials with Obama’s campaign say they believe the state is still competitive and are taking nothing for granted. Obama and Vice President Joe Biden have no scheduled campaign stops in Minnesota over the next three weeks.

Even the Obama team frames the state ‘still competitive’. Ouch.

http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2012/10/13/politics/ryan-fundraiser/


20 posted on 10/13/2012 5:26:01 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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To: DoughtyOne
I still say we’re just watching the polling entities having to move back toward reality, so as not to be destroyed on November 7th.

Yes but they don't want to call Romney too far ahead just in case O can give them something to work with.

21 posted on 10/13/2012 5:29:07 PM PDT by Kenny (<p)
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To: Kenny

I agree. I don’t think he’s going to give them much to work with though, because he hasn’t got a leg to stand on.


22 posted on 10/13/2012 5:30:55 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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To: gorush
Ole and Lena got married in Fargo and were going to honeymoon in Bemidiji. Ole got a little “amorous” and put his hand on Lena's knee. Lena said “Oh Ole, you kin go up farder tan that.” So he drove her to International Falls.

Barb from New Hope, MN

23 posted on 10/13/2012 5:31:18 PM PDT by BarbM (Portuguese Dog--Kenyan president)
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To: DoughtyOne
The new yoga exercise....

Watching a pollster walk backwards through a mine field.

24 posted on 10/13/2012 5:31:54 PM PDT by ptsal (E)
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To: BarbM

:{)


25 posted on 10/13/2012 5:32:43 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: ptsal

LOL


26 posted on 10/13/2012 5:33:28 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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To: DoughtyOne

I hope Team RR have a shoe to drop on Monday...a video, something.


27 posted on 10/13/2012 5:33:28 PM PDT by riri (Plannedopolis-look it up. It's how the elites plan for US to live.)
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To: mplsconservative
I moved out of Minneapolis just for that reason. Couldn’t stand it anymore. The rest of the state is quite conservative.

I don't know, they really infiltrate in deep in the backwoods, too. You can tell who they are. They're these Baby Boomer Hippie Types who weasel into city council, etc., and they start programs that are suppose to "help," but only create more havoc.

For example, there were two guys who moved into my local town, and from the day I met them, one a Brit, the other an obvious wine-sipping elitist, and they've drained more money out of this town than anything. Businesses are boarding up and they want more programs that promote the arts, theatre and music, and somehow that'll "bring back business" to the town. It's frustrating. I really would love to run them out of town on a rail!
28 posted on 10/13/2012 5:34:20 PM PDT by Thorliveshere
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To: NoobRep

RCP’s two credible polls pre-debate had Obama up +10 and +8.

This one at +4 now makes sense.

I know he wasn’t exactly a red meat Tea-Party type, but Norm Coleman should have won in 2008.

Pawlenty was the Govvy there as well for two terms, so there is a semblance of a Republican Party there


29 posted on 10/13/2012 5:35:21 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding")
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To: riri

Libya is the biggest next shoe waiting to hit the floor. Even the Democrat controlled Senate is jumping in with both feet. Ouch!


30 posted on 10/13/2012 5:35:31 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (We should ignore the absurd peripheral, and focus on the absurd Obama. People died. He lied!)
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To: BarbM

(those were the early ‘50’s mind you)


31 posted on 10/13/2012 5:38:15 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: NoobRep
All of this polling movement to R/R has been nice but I put no stock in MN. Ohio really worries me still. PPP is about to post a poll showing 51/46 Obama in OH. From their twitter feed in the last hour:

4m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls Romney hasn't received the favorability bounce in OH that he has elsewhere- 45/51 now, 45/49 2 wks ago: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-51-46-in-ohio.html …

6m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls Our full Ohio poll, which finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 51-46, is now posted: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-51-46-in-ohio.html …

34m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls Pretty sure we're going to do an Ohio poll every week for the duration now- really wish we had one from last weekend to compare to

51m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls D+4 sample on our poll showing Obama up 5 in Ohio. 2008 exit poll was D+8

54m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls @BuzzFeedAndrew Much stronger day for Obama Saturday. Why we don't just do polls in one night generally

57m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls Ohio voters on who do you trust more on the issue of Libya: Obama 51, Romney 43

59m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls One of the reasons Ohio's particularly tough for Romney- looking back voters support the auto bailout 54/37

59m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls Ohio voters think Biden won the debate Thursday night 46-37, including 44-32 with independents

1h PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls 19% of Ohioans say they've already voted and Obama has a 76-24 advantage with them. Romney up 51-45 with folks who haven't voted yet

1h PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls Barack Obama leads our new Ohio poll 51-46, not much different from 2 weeks ago when it was 49-45

1h PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls Barack Obama was a lot stronger in our Saturday Ohio polling than Friday night. We'll have the final results soon

32 posted on 10/13/2012 5:41:23 PM PDT by deltanine
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To: BarbM

(those were the early ‘50’s mind you)


33 posted on 10/13/2012 5:42:42 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: deltanine

PPP is a partisan Democrat pollster. His job is to buck up the morale of the troops. I pay it absolutely no heed and neither should you.


34 posted on 10/13/2012 5:44:44 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: NoobRep
Let's have everyong get away from sniffing the airplane glue. This IS Minnesota.

If we get voter ID after this election, it might come into play in the future. As of now they have already counted enough Obama votes to give him Minnesota.

35 posted on 10/13/2012 5:46:24 PM PDT by stevem
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To: deltanine

I wonder how many people that voted early (before the first debate), now have regrets.


36 posted on 10/13/2012 5:46:56 PM PDT by Irish Eyes
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To: Thorliveshere

Oh we’ve had a couple of them in my little town as well. Surprising, as they’re ex-military guys, not Boomer hippies. Same kind of agenda which is weird in my book.

Maybe the above poster was right about heavy metals in the water. LOL


37 posted on 10/13/2012 5:47:28 PM PDT by mplsconservative (A non-vote is a vote FOR 0bama.)
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To: deltanine

Again, there’s zero trend towards Obama in Ohio. Cuyahoga County has lost half of their registered voters since 2008.

Like above poster said, PPP is a left wing hack job.

Just read this and come to your own conclusions.

http://www.electioninsight.biz/news.html


38 posted on 10/13/2012 5:47:56 PM PDT by NoobRep
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll Ping.


39 posted on 10/13/2012 5:48:57 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: deltanine

They don’t call it the PeePeePoll for no reason. It’s a push poll with a rat slant. Look to their internals.


40 posted on 10/13/2012 5:50:10 PM PDT by mplsconservative (A non-vote is a vote FOR 0bama.)
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To: NoobRep

Thanks, everyone. I am feeling a little bit better.


41 posted on 10/13/2012 5:54:06 PM PDT by deltanine
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To: NoobRep

Thanks, everyone. I am feeling a little bit better.


42 posted on 10/13/2012 5:54:10 PM PDT by deltanine
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To: NoobRep

Thanks, everyone. I am feeling a little bit better.


43 posted on 10/13/2012 5:54:14 PM PDT by deltanine
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To: gorush

I’m familiar with Bemidji, but where is Mahnomen?

My formative years were in South Dakota, though I’ve been in MN for 27. I still don’t know where some small towns are located.


44 posted on 10/13/2012 5:56:38 PM PDT by mplsconservative (A non-vote is a vote FOR 0bama.)
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To: SDShack

The U of Colorado EC modeling study also indicates that MN may be in play.

http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/10/04/updated-election-forecasting-model-still-points-romney-win-university


45 posted on 10/13/2012 6:03:46 PM PDT by irgbar-man (had to sell my good tagline for food)
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To: mplsconservative

It is on the border south of Fargo.


46 posted on 10/13/2012 6:05:11 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: gorush

Thanks. Got my geography lesson for the day. :)


47 posted on 10/13/2012 6:07:39 PM PDT by mplsconservative (A non-vote is a vote FOR 0bama.)
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To: irgbar-man

Be still my heart! If I recall correctly, the man who formulated this model was on the Jason Lewis show. He’s been pretty spot on with his calculations.


48 posted on 10/13/2012 6:11:40 PM PDT by mplsconservative (A non-vote is a vote FOR 0bama.)
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To: mplsconservative

I hear there is a big casino there now. It was mostly dirt roads back in the day...


49 posted on 10/13/2012 6:14:14 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: gorush

Ah. That rings a bell now. Also about the real deal wild rice, I think known as Mahnomen porridge. Great stuff!


50 posted on 10/13/2012 6:23:27 PM PDT by mplsconservative (A non-vote is a vote FOR 0bama.)
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