Skip to comments.Behavior Research Center (Who are they?) AZ: 0 44% / R:42%
Posted on 10/13/2012 6:30:31 PM PDT by red in brea
OBAMA PULLS EVEN WITH ROMNEY IN ARIZONA;
After trailing Mitt Romney by as much as eight points in the days immediately following the Presidential debate, the President is now in a statistical tie with Romney in Arizona both as regards the overall electorate and among those mostly likely to cast ballots. While Obama leads Romney by two points in the race for President, the gap is within the studys margin of error and basically means they are in a dead heat. The Democrat candidates are drawing strongly from the ranks of minority voters and especially from Latinos. The credibility of Latino leadership to organize and produce voters via their grass roots campaigns this year will be put to a real test. If Latinos turn out in numbers proportionate to their population, which has never been the case in the past, they could help send a Democrat to the U.S. Senate and revitalize the once long tradition of Arizona having one Democrat and one Republican in the Senate. But if the Latino vote is disproportionately low, the Arizona Senate delegation will almost certainly stay in the GOP column. In a Rocky Mountain Poll completed this week by the Behavior Research Center, President Barack Obama leads Republican challenger Mitt Romney by 42 to 40 percent among all voters and by 44 to 42 percent among those voters who say they are definitely going to participate in the election. Given the 4.4 percent margin of error of this study, we conclude that the race is dead even at this point in time.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
I call BS
Obama has less chance in Arizona than Mitt does in Pennsylvania.
It’s that 14% that’s going to bite their boy, Barry, on the @$$. LOL! Barry ain’t winning AZ. Sorry boys.
He betrayed them ~ or no doubt their leaders have figured that out by now.
This poll has indies going for Obama and more repubs voting for Obama then dem’s for Mitt . Ahhhhh BULLSHIT. Nice try.
Well, here is what they say on page 4 of the survey:
“This Rocky Mountain Poll - Arizona (2012-III-01), is based on 523 interviews with registered voters statewide, conducted between October 4 and 10, 2012. Interviewing was conducted in both English and Spanish by professional interviewers of the Behavior Research Center on either a voters
landline or cell phone.”
523 total sample, registered voters, conducted in English and SPANISH!
ANYONE SEE A PROBLEM WITH THIS SAMPLE????
|Poll||Date||Sample||MoE||Romney (R)||Obama (D)||Spread|
|RCP Average||9/25 - 10/10||--||--||48.3||43.0||Romney +5.3|
|Behavior Research Center*||10/4 - 10/10||LV||4.4||42||44||Obama +2|
|PPP (D)||10/1 - 10/3||595 LV||4.0||53||44||Romney +9|
|HighGround/Moore (R)*||9/25 - 9/26||500 LV||4.0||46||42||Romney +4|
|Rasmussen Reports||9/25 - 9/25||500 LV||4.5||52||42||Romney +10|
Funny if Romney does everything to win all the supposed swing states, and then AZ flips to O and we lose. Hilarious. Romney needs to run a portion of his ads nationally with cheap per capita cable buys, like O knows to do.
Romney needs to run national ads to influence the national conversation, as pinpointed regional advertising is often overwritten by the national mood and conversation. O knows this.
I live in AZ. Neither Romney nor Obama are running ads on the networks here. The local ads by the Dem Senatorial and Congressional Committees are really nasty. Romney will win Az. I hope the rest of the races fall into line.
The African American population in Phoenix has skyrocketed (percentage wise) since Obama took office.
Check out the AZ polls on RCP. This group has polled AZ three times this year and every time has found Obama ahead... and they’re the ONLY poll to do so, ever.
Depends on how many Latinos have dead F&F relatives!
Probably part of planned population redistribution so that we are screwed. I wouldn't put it past them. Add in Hispanics. We're screwed long term and / or soon. What the heck are we going to do?
I have read reports stating the HUD is moving low income minorities from the east and midwest to foreclosed homes in Arizona with section-8 vouchers.
Mesa, AZ, is the largest Mormon enclave this side of Salt Lake. There is no way O can win this state, unless the undocumented vote.
Wow! I’m shocked that Gov. Brewer, AZ state legislators and AZ citizens are allowing this to happen.
In case you haven’t noticed, parts of Mesa are turning ghetto.
Your point? There is economic malaise all over the phoenix greater metro area.
We are presently getting a large influx of disgruntled ex-californians who won't be voting for Obama.