Skip to comments.Obama Builds N.M. Lead Over Romney (49% to 39%, Johnson 6%)
Posted on 10/14/2012 6:18:38 PM PDT by CedarDave
President Barack Obama leads Republican Mitt Romney by 10 points in the race for New Mexicos five electoral votes, with about three weeks remaining before Election Day, the Journal Poll found.
The Democratic president had 49 percent support in the statewide survey of likely voters, and some who had already voted, compared with 39 percent of voters who said they preferred Romney.
Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party nominee for president, had 6 percent support in the survey. Five percent of New Mexico voters were undecided.
The Journal Poll was conducted Oct. 9-11. The margin of sampling error for the statewide sample of voters is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. Early voting for the Nov. 6 general election started Oct. 9.
Barack Obama has solidified his lead in New Mexico, said Brian Sanderoff, president of Albuquerque-based Research & Polling Inc., which conducted the poll. Hes broadened his lead in the Albuquerque metro area and among independents, and that has led to an increased lead statewide.
(Excerpt) Read more at abqjournal.com ...
Other poll breakdowns:
Democrats: 79% Obama, 11% Romney, 5% Johnson
Republicans: 7% Obama (Idiots!!), 86% Romney, 4% Johnson
Independents: 46% Obama, 30% Romney, 14% Johnson
Anglos: 31%, 51%, 7%
Hispanics: 65% 24%, 4%
By area, Johnson and undecided votes not included:
ABQ Metro: 53% Obama, 34% Romney
NW NM: 39% Obama, 55% Romney
N Central: 66% Obama, 21% Romney
Las Cruces, SW: 50% Obama, 41% Romney
Eastside: 25% Obama, 64% Romney
These results also make it unlikely Republicans will gain US House seats (two of three are currently Democratic; strong conservative Steve Pearce will win his race in SE NM), and the two Senate seats in NM will remain Democratic (one currently held by Tom Udall and Heinrich [even more of a left-wing eco-nazi* than Udall, if possible] likely to win the other.)
(* has ties to convicted eco-terrorist Dave Foreman, but this has been exposed by only one blogger as far as I know [Heinrich Ties to Eco-Terrorists a Well-Kept Secret (NM Dem Senate Candidate]) .
Quite frankly, I think at this point that any state that actually votes to elect Obama should be expelled from the union.
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Let the illegals have that state...
Reporting a poll like this may backfire and depress their lazy Dem asses from actually showing up at the polls, thinking it’s in the bag, so why bother.........
Can I seek asylum in your state once Washington is expelled?
I’d sooner expect California to vote for Romney, at this point. Next!
Given that Obozo is under 50%, given the 3.8% sampling error, given the standard oversampling of Democrats by the in-the-tank for the Kenyan polling outfit, given that some of Johnson’s support will peel by election day, and given that Romney is surging, expect Romney to carry New Mexico. Bush did it in 04 despite Bill Richardson assuring the frantic liberal media that Bush could not and would not win NM. Bush carried NM in 04.
What’s the matter with the Cactus State? It went Republican in 2004.
Front page above the fold in Sunday's ABQ Journal:
I don’t know, Florida has yet to determine its fate. I’m hopeful, but still leary.
I might have to go back to Louisiana.
If anyone is hurt or killed when the left riots because skewed (fraudulent) polling indicated an Obama lead going into election day, the purpetrators of the fraud will have blood on their hands and should all be held accountable.
UC Boulder says NM will go Romney.
Must be a lot of stupid people in NM who think the economy is awesome
Of course, but people could be lying extensively to pollsters..........
How many Mormons live in NM?.......
Changing voter characteristics - more urban (ABQ), more Hispanic, more entitlement mentality. On the other hand, most rural areas don’t have both hands out for government support. The eastside, for example is where the jobs* are currently - large O&G presence, mostly rural with hardscrabble but fiercely independent ranchers.
*Jobs are plentiful but housing is tight - city is now letting construction workers park and live in RV’s on construction sites provided temporary water and sewer permits are approved. Another 112 apartment complex started Friday. “Help wanted” signs everywhere.
Well, compared to where they came from it probably is!........
Looks like the hispanics better turn out since the Whites are going hard Romney.
Pray for America
Does the UC Boulder model factor in demographic shifts in the states? This isn’t their grandmother’s NM, and the recent polls (and where Romney is spending his money) are speaking very supportively of this assertion.
I think Obama should spend plenty of time in New Mexico to consolidate this lead.
Northwest NM has a lot of Mormons and a fair amount live in the ABQ area (they built a temple there about 15 years ago that was open to visitors before consecration or whatever they call it).
New Mexico morons.
I don’t know. Why don’t you go to their site and find out?
Then I take these polls with a block of salt........
I don’t know. Dsertrhino told me in 2008 that the Hispanics thought Barry was a Muslim and was not going to vote for him.
Since this poll was done before Biden’s laughing hyena impersonation, I will ignore it’s implications.........
“Why dont you go to their site and find out?”
I just did and there is no mention of their factoring in demographic shifts/influences. But I realize that doesn’t mean they don’t include these issues in their model.
I make this point because certain voting blocks (blacks, Hispanics, homosexuals and Jews) firmly vote Democrat regardless of economic/income factors. If it were all about unemployment and personal income one would expect California would be a battleground state.
Better than that, how many MORONS live in NM? Glad we decided NOT to retire there. Albuquerque is a hot bed of liberalism. Too bad since the state is really beautiful.
Helping keep mankind warm for 65 years.
Romney and superpacks need to run ads about Fast and Furious and ads with Obama (in his own voice) joking about making the Mexican maids cry when they would trash their dorms.
Johnson has sure turned out to be a putz.
I wore my R-R tee shirt out and about Saturday while my wife and daughter were shopping. We always hit the Goodwills, Salvation Army, Waterfront Mission and other Thrift Shops in our area, plus regular discount stores.
People would come up to me and WHISPER, “I like your shirt!” like they didn’ t want anyone to overhear, or like we were in a secet society.
I’ d get nods and winks and a couple of high fives. It’s like people are truly AFRAID to express ANY SUPPORT for anyone other than Obozo.
This is truly frightening in a country that is founded on Freedom of Speech. I express MY views in an benign and ordinary way, and people react like I have done something extraordinary.
The number of people who did actually say something wanted to keep their voices low and quickly move on was at least encouraging.
I believe people in general are truly fed up with Obama thugs and will turn out on Nov 6 in huge numbers that will devastate the media and democrat party..........
The Romney campaign pulled key staff (and money) out of NM September 20:
Very few Obama/Romney ads except on national cable.
Local ads dominate the 5 and 6 p.m. local news and morning drive stations.
I sure hope you’re right.
OTOH, the media has fed the Rat narrative that if anyone isn’t for Obama, it must be because they are a racist. So that could be the reason for the almost clandestine show of support for your attire.
Thanks Gary - YOU FRIGGIN’ TOOL!
Thanks Gary - YOU FRIGGIN’ TOOL!
New Mexico is slowly, but surely, “tipping left” and turning blue.
It’s now the second state in which Euros are a minority (California was first, of course). The emerging Hispanic majority in NM will not embrace conservatism any time soon, probably never.
Came upon an interesting article the other day at a website that can’t be linked to here on FR. It was a lengthly piece, well documented with charts and graphs, that surveyed the political affiliations of Hispanics, both first-generation immigrants and their native-born children. Amazingly, although large numbers of the immigrants themselves support the liberals, EVEN MORE of their native-born children do. The kids end up being more liberal than the parents. So much for the Pollyannish talk I hear from some to the effect, “just wait, the kids will become more conservative as they get ‘Americanized’”...
As went California, so goes New Mexico. And because the overwhelming number of births in Texas are now to Hispanics (more than 70%), someday Texas will follow, as well.
And elected Susana Martinez Governor in 2010!!
It could be that the rest of us will have to leave.
If at first you don’t secede, try, try again.
Quoting you: Must be a lot of stupid people in NM who think the economy is awesome.
Yes! You are so right. They think the economy is awesome because the NM populace is composed of a disproportionate amount of “takers” instead of producers. As long as those automatic deposits paid for by actual taxpayers keep rolling in, they don’t care. I speak as a frustrated conservative New Mexican.
That is 100% true
Must be a lot of stupid people in NM who think the economy is awesome
Nope. NM showed up as the poorest state in the nation recently and the reason for that is because a lot of people have generations of their family on government assistance.
Those people do not want the freebies to stop.
Certainly looks that way.
A starter job would be a big pay cut